Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds

Back Thunder Against The Spread

No. 4 Denver Nuggets (50-32, 24-17 Away) face No. 1 Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14, 35-6 at Home) in game 5 of this NBA Playoffs Western Conference Semifinal matchup at Paycom Center, with the series being tied 2-2.

Our wager is the Thunder against the spread. Back the favorites off -10.5 at odds of 1.94 and be confident they can cover the line against the Nuggets.

Thunder Overcame Nuggets in Previous Clash

Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder went head-to-head two days ago, with the Thunder claiming a 92-87 victory at Ball Arena.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the way for the Thunder with 25 points, while Aaron Wiggins and Cason Wallace both scored 11. For the Nuggets, Nikola Jokic totaled 27 points and 13 rebounds, with Christian Braun recording 17 points and Jamal Murray 17.

We’ve seen six Thunder wins in the past 10 meetings between the teams.

NBA Reg. Season	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	68	14	0.829	120.5	107.6	12.9	36-6	32-8	12-4	39-13	8-2	4W
Nuggets	50	32	0.61	120.8	116.9	3.9	26-15	24-17	8-8	32-20	5-5	3W

View Full Standings

The Nuggets have 5 wins and 5 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 106.9 points, 45.7 rebounds, 22.6 assists, 7.1 steals and 4.7 blocks while shooting 45.4% from the field and 74.2% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 111.2 points and 42.8 rebounds per contest.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 24.5 points, 13.1 rebounds and 8.0 assists, while Jamal Murray averages 2.5 (40.3%) 3-pointers made.

The Thunder have won 8 and lost 2 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 120.4 points, 48.0 rebounds, 26.3 assists, 10.3 steals and 6.2 blocks per game while shooting 45.3% from the field and 79.3% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 104.0 points and 48.0 rebounds.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 22.1 points and 5.3 assists, while Chet Holmgren has an average of 7.7 rebounds and Isaiah Joe 2.4 (42.9%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets lineup: Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon.

Oklahoma City Thunder lineup: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein.

Expert NBA Analysis

We study the form as a first port of call and also make sure we’re across any injuries before making NBA predictions. Then it’s a case of understanding the sort of narrative that the stats provide.

Key Nuggets vs Thunder stats:

• The -10.5 line has been covered by Thunder in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -10.5 line has been covered by Thunder in 4 of their last 5 games at home.

Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction

We strongly fancy the chances of OKC Thunder beating the underdogs handsomely in this NBA contest. That is why we’re betting the market leaders at -10.5 on the spread at 1.94.

A Bet Builder provides you with the chance to combine the Thunder on the spread with other picks. For every additional selection, the odds are boosted.

Thunder -10.5 Probability

The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 51.5% prospect of winning. However, our analysts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

Our Pick

Thunder -10.5 @ 1.94 Bet Now

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Player Props

Nikola Jokic Under 27.5 Points 1.92

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) has recorded Under 27.5 points in 8 of the past 10 games. It therefore follows that he might fall short on Player Points and you can get 1.92 that he doesn’t cover the line.

Latest Nikola Jokic Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 27.5

1.88

Under 27.5

1.85

Assists

Over 8.5

2.00

Under 8.5

1.76

Rebounds

Over 13.5

1.78

Under 13.5

1.97

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Chet Holmgren Over 9.5 Rebounds 1.80

Chet Holmgren (Thunder) has recorded Over 9.5 rebounds in 3 straight games. If you agree with our verdict that he can cover the line again, then you can land odds of 1.80 that this happens.

Latest Chet Holmgren Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 15.5

1.92

Under 15.5

1.82

Assists

Over 1.5

1.94

Under 1.5

1.82

Rebounds

Over 9.5

1.80

Under 9.5

1.93

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Correct Score Prediction

Nuggets 106 - 121 Thunder

You don’t need a big stake to enjoy a monster return by getting this correct score right. We’re going for the Thunder to claim a 121-106 victory and hopefully this goes close.

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Thunder Win on the Cards According to the Books

Oklahoma City Thunder have short betting odds and they’re overwhelming 1.22 favorites for this NBA game. This means the sportsbooks give them a 82% chance of winning. For those wanting to back Denver Nuggets, you will find 4.50 about the underdogs.

The current spread is 10 and the total points line is 221.5. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. The Over 221.5 selection is available to back at 1.89.

There are a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on this fantastic league and we recommend visiting the top betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Nuggets

4.50

Thunder

1.22

Point Spread

Nuggets +10

1.91

Thunder -10

1.91

Total Points

Under 221.5

1.93

Over 221.5

1.89

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is favorite when it comes to hitting the most buckets. You can get 1.83 that he goes Over 30.5 points and 1.89 when it comes to Under.

Player Points

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 30.5

1.83

Under 30.5

1.89

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 27.5

1.88

Under 27.5

1.85

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 21.5

1.92

Under 21.5

1.82

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 19.5

1.93

Under 19.5

1.81

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 15.5

1.82

Under 15.5

1.92

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 15.5

1.92

Under 15.5

1.82

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 12.5

1.94

Under 12.5

1.79

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 11.5

1.95

Under 11.5

1.79

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 10.5

1.77

Under 10.5

1.97

Russell Westbrook (Nuggets)

Over 10.5

1.89

Under 10.5

1.83

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 8.5

1.79

Under 8.5

1.95

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder)

Over 8.5

2.00

Under 8.5

1.77

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 7.5

1.78

Under 7.5

1.96

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 5.5

1.91

Under 5.5

1.83

Player Assists

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 8.5

2.00

Under 8.5

1.76

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 7.5

1.75

Under 7.5

2.00

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 5.5

2.15

Under 5.5

1.66

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

1.75

Under 5.5

2.00

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 3.5

2.12

Under 3.5

1.67

Russell Westbrook (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

1.97

Under 3.5

1.77

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

1.60

Under 2.5

2.25

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

2.38

Under 2.5

1.54

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 2.5

1.85

Under 2.5

1.88

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 1.5

1.94

Under 1.5

1.82

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 1.5

1.64

Under 1.5

2.20

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 0.5

1.54

Under 0.5

2.35

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 0.5

1.57

Under 0.5

2.30

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder)

Over 0.5

1.61

Under 0.5

2.25

Player Rebounds

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 13.5

1.78

Under 13.5

1.97

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 9.5

1.80

Under 9.5

1.93

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 9.5

2.04

Under 9.5

1.73

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 7.5

2.02

Under 7.5

1.73

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 5.5

1.68

Under 5.5

2.10

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

1.77

Under 5.5

2.00

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

1.70

Under 5.5

2.08

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 4.5

1.85

Under 4.5

1.88

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

2.20

Under 4.5

1.63

Russell Westbrook (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

2.12

Under 3.5

1.68

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 2.5

1.60

Under 2.5

2.25

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder)

Over 2.5

1.65

Under 2.5

2.20

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 2.5

1.68

Under 2.5

2.10

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 2.5

2.09

Under 2.5

1.71

Micro Betting

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to basketball micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Field Goal. Check out the live team, score and player props to see if you can find an angle.

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Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder Confirmed Lineup

2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

5 Luguentz Dort

7 Chet Holmgren

8 Jalen Williams

55 Isaiah Hartenstein

Denver Nuggets Confirmed Lineup

0 Christian Braun

1 Michael Porter Jr.

15 Nikola Jokic

27 Jamal Murray

32 Aaron Gordon

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season 2024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	61	21	0.744	116.3	107.2	9.1	28-13	33-8	14-2	39-13	8-2	2W
Knicks	51	31	0.622	115.8	111.7	4.1	27-14	24-17	12-4	34-18	6-4	1W
Raptors	30	52	0.366	110.9	115.2	-4.3	18-23	12-29	8-8	21-31	5-5	2L
Nets	26	56	0.317	105.1	112.2	-7.1	12-29	14-27	3-13	14-37	3-7	3L
76ers	24	58	0.293	109.6	115.8	-6.2	12-29	12-29	3-13	15-37	1-9	2L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Cavaliers	64	18	0.78	121.9	112.4	9.5	34-7	30-11	12-4	41-11	6-4	1L
Pacers	50	32	0.61	117.4	115.1	2.3	29-12	21-20	10-6	29-22	8-2	1W
Bucks	48	34	0.585	115.5	113	2.5	28-14	20-20	9-7	31-21	8-2	8W
Pistons	44	38	0.537	115.5	113.6	1.9	22-19	22-19	5-11	29-23	4-6	2L
Bulls	39	43	0.476	117.8	119.4	-1.6	18-23	21-20	4-12	28-24	7-3	3W

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	41	41	0.5	105.4	105.5	-0.1	22-19	19-22	12-4	31-21	7-3	1L
Hawks	40	42	0.488	118.2	119.3	-1.1	21-19	19-23	10-6	30-22	5-5	3W
Heat	37	45	0.451	110.6	110	0.6	19-22	18-23	10-6	24-28	6-4	1L
Hornets	19	63	0.232	105.1	114.2	-9.1	12-29	7-34	1-15	10-42	1-9	7L
Wizards	18	64	0.22	108	120.4	-12.4	8-33	10-31	7-9	13-39	2-8	1W

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	68	14	0.829	120.5	107.6	12.9	36-6	32-8	12-4	39-13	8-2	4W
Nuggets	50	32	0.61	120.8	116.9	3.9	26-15	24-17	8-8	32-20	5-5	3W
Timberwolves	49	33	0.598	114.3	109.3	5	25-16	24-17	11-5	33-19	8-2	3W
Trail Blazers	36	46	0.439	110.9	113.9	-3	22-19	14-27	6-10	19-33	4-6	1W
Jazz	17	65	0.207	111.9	121.2	-9.3	10-31	7-34	3-13	8-44	1-9	2L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Clippers	50	32	0.61	112.9	108.2	4.7	30-11	20-21	9-7	29-23	9-1	8W
Lakers	50	32	0.61	113.4	112.2	1.2	31-10	19-22	12-4	36-16	6-4	1L
Warriors	48	34	0.585	113.8	110.5	3.3	24-17	24-17	5-11	29-23	7-3	1L
Kings	40	42	0.488	115.7	115.3	0.4	20-21	20-21	5-11	26-26	5-5	1W
Suns	36	46	0.439	113.6	116.6	-3	24-17	12-29	9-7	22-30	1-9	1L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	52	30	0.634	114.3	109.8	4.5	29-12	23-18	13-3	31-21	6-4	3L
Grizzlies	48	34	0.585	121.7	116.9	4.8	26-15	22-19	11-5	27-24	4-6	1W
Mavericks	39	43	0.476	114.2	115.4	-1.2	22-18	17-25	8-8	23-29	4-6	1L
Spurs	34	48	0.415	113.9	116.7	-2.8	20-21	14-27	5-11	22-30	3-7	1W
Pelicans	21	61	0.256	109.8	119.3	-9.5	14-27	7-34	3-13	13-38	2-8	7L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Cavaliers	64	18	0.78	121.9	112.4	9.5	34-7	30-11	12-4	41-11	6-4	1L
Celtics	61	21	0.744	116.3	107.2	9.1	28-13	33-8	14-2	39-13	8-2	2W
Knicks	51	31	0.622	115.8	111.7	4.1	27-14	24-17	12-4	34-18	6-4	1W
Pacers	50	32	0.61	117.4	115.1	2.3	29-12	21-20	10-6	29-22	8-2	1W
Bucks	48	34	0.585	115.5	113	2.5	28-14	20-20	9-7	31-21	8-2	8W
Pistons	44	38	0.537	115.5	113.6	1.9	22-19	22-19	5-11	29-23	4-6	2L
Magic	41	41	0.5	105.4	105.5	-0.1	22-19	19-22	12-4	31-21	7-3	1L
Hawks	40	42	0.488	118.2	119.3	-1.1	21-19	19-23	10-6	30-22	5-5	3W
Bulls	39	43	0.476	117.8	119.4	-1.6	18-23	21-20	4-12	28-24	7-3	3W
Heat	37	45	0.451	110.6	110	0.6	19-22	18-23	10-6	24-28	6-4	1L
Raptors	30	52	0.366	110.9	115.2	-4.3	18-23	12-29	8-8	21-31	5-5	2L
Nets	26	56	0.317	105.1	112.2	-7.1	12-29	14-27	3-13	14-37	3-7	3L
76ers	24	58	0.293	109.6	115.8	-6.2	12-29	12-29	3-13	15-37	1-9	2L
Hornets	19	63	0.232	105.1	114.2	-9.1	12-29	7-34	1-15	10-42	1-9	7L
Wizards	18	64	0.22	108	120.4	-12.4	8-33	10-31	7-9	13-39	2-8	1W

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	68	14	0.829	120.5	107.6	12.9	36-6	32-8	12-4	39-13	8-2	4W
Rockets	52	30	0.634	114.3	109.8	4.5	29-12	23-18	13-3	31-21	6-4	3L
Lakers	50	32	0.61	113.4	112.2	1.2	31-10	19-22	12-4	36-16	6-4	1L
Nuggets	50	32	0.61	120.8	116.9	3.9	26-15	24-17	8-8	32-20	5-5	3W
Clippers	50	32	0.61	112.9	108.2	4.7	30-11	20-21	9-7	29-23	9-1	8W
Warriors	48	34	0.585	113.8	110.5	3.3	24-17	24-17	5-11	29-23	7-3	1L
Timberwolves	49	33	0.598	114.3	109.3	5	25-16	24-17	11-5	33-19	8-2	3W
Grizzlies	48	34	0.585	121.7	116.9	4.8	26-15	22-19	11-5	27-24	4-6	1W
Kings	40	42	0.488	115.7	115.3	0.4	20-21	20-21	5-11	26-26	5-5	1W
Mavericks	39	43	0.476	114.2	115.4	-1.2	22-18	17-25	8-8	23-29	4-6	1L
Suns	36	46	0.439	113.6	116.6	-3	24-17	12-29	9-7	22-30	1-9	1L
Trail Blazers	36	46	0.439	110.9	113.9	-3	22-19	14-27	6-10	19-33	4-6	1W
Spurs	34	48	0.415	113.9	116.7	-2.8	20-21	14-27	5-11	22-30	3-7	1W
Pelicans	21	61	0.256	109.8	119.3	-9.5	14-27	7-34	3-13	13-38	2-8	7L
Jazz	17	65	0.207	111.9	121.2	-9.3	10-31	7-34	3-13	8-44	1-9	2L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	68	14	0.829	120.5	107.6	12.9	36-6	32-8	12-4	39-13	8-2	4W
Cavaliers	64	18	0.78	121.9	112.4	9.5	34-7	30-11	12-4	41-11	6-4	1L
Celtics	61	21	0.744	116.3	107.2	9.1	28-13	33-8	14-2	39-13	8-2	2W
Rockets	52	30	0.634	114.3	109.8	4.5	29-12	23-18	13-3	31-21	6-4	3L
Knicks	51	31	0.622	115.8	111.7	4.1	27-14	24-17	12-4	34-18	6-4	1W
Nuggets	50	32	0.61	120.8	116.9	3.9	26-15	24-17	8-8	32-20	5-5	3W
Pacers	50	32	0.61	117.4	115.1	2.3	29-12	21-20	10-6	29-22	8-2	1W
Lakers	50	32	0.61	113.4	112.2	1.2	31-10	19-22	12-4	36-16	6-4	1L
Clippers	50	32	0.61	112.9	108.2	4.7	30-11	20-21	9-7	29-23	9-1	8W
Timberwolves	49	33	0.598	114.3	109.3	5	25-16	24-17	11-5	33-19	8-2	3W
Grizzlies	48	34	0.585	121.7	116.9	4.8	26-15	22-19	11-5	27-24	4-6	1W
Bucks	48	34	0.585	115.5	113	2.5	28-14	20-20	9-7	31-21	8-2	8W
Warriors	48	34	0.585	113.8	110.5	3.3	24-17	24-17	5-11	29-23	7-3	1L
Pistons	44	38	0.537	115.5	113.6	1.9	22-19	22-19	5-11	29-23	4-6	2L
Magic	41	41	0.5	105.4	105.5	-0.1	22-19	19-22	12-4	31-21	7-3	1L
Hawks	40	42	0.488	118.2	119.3	-1.1	21-19	19-23	10-6	30-22	5-5	3W
Kings	40	42	0.488	115.7	115.3	0.4	20-21	20-21	5-11	26-26	5-5	1W
Bulls	39	43	0.476	117.8	119.4	-1.6	18-23	21-20	4-12	28-24	7-3	3W
Mavericks	39	43	0.476	114.2	115.4	-1.2	22-18	17-25	8-8	23-29	4-6	1L
Heat	37	45	0.451	110.6	110	0.6	19-22	18-23	10-6	24-28	6-4	1L
Suns	36	46	0.439	113.6	116.6	-3	24-17	12-29	9-7	22-30	1-9	1L
Trail Blazers	36	46	0.439	110.9	113.9	-3	22-19	14-27	6-10	19-33	4-6	1W
Spurs	34	48	0.415	113.9	116.7	-2.8	20-21	14-27	5-11	22-30	3-7	1W
Raptors	30	52	0.366	110.9	115.2	-4.3	18-23	12-29	8-8	21-31	5-5	2L
Nets	26	56	0.317	105.1	112.2	-7.1	12-29	14-27	3-13	14-37	3-7	3L
76ers	24	58	0.293	109.6	115.8	-6.2	12-29	12-29	3-13	15-37	1-9	2L
Pelicans	21	61	0.256	109.8	119.3	-9.5	14-27	7-34	3-13	13-38	2-8	7L
Hornets	19	63	0.232	105.1	114.2	-9.1	12-29	7-34	1-15	10-42	1-9	7L
Wizards	18	64	0.22	108	120.4	-12.4	8-33	10-31	7-9	13-39	2-8	1W
Jazz	17	65	0.207	111.9	121.2	-9.3	10-31	7-34	3-13	8-44	1-9	2L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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