Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds

Thunder Against the Spread Look the Value Pick

No. 4 Denver Nuggets (50-32, 24-17 Away) play No. 1 Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14, 35-6 at Home) in game 7 of this NBA Playoffs Western Conference Semifinal series at Paycom Center.

There’s a strong case for backing the Thunder against the spread when they play the Nuggets. The line looks really appealing considering you can get 1.93 when it comes to the favorites at -8.5.

Nuggets Claimed 119-107 Victory in Last H2H

When Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder met on Thursday night, there was a 119-107 victory at Ball Arena for the Nuggets.

Nikola Jokic had 29 points and 14 rebounds for the Nuggets, Jamal Murray scored 25 points, while Christian Braun registered 23 points and 11 rebounds. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander racked up 32 points for the Thunder, Chet Holmgren totaled 19 points and 11 rebounds, with Alex Caruso scoring 10 points.

There has been five wins apiece in the past 10 H2H meetings.

NBA Reg. Season	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	68	14	0.829	120.5	107.6	12.9	36-6	32-8	12-4	39-13	8-2	4W
Nuggets	50	32	0.61	120.8	116.9	3.9	26-15	24-17	8-8	32-20	5-5	3W

View Full Standings

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets lineup: Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon.

Oklahoma City Thunder lineup: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein.

Expert NBA Analysis

Team news plays a valuable role and we’re always monitoring the players who have an injury concern. We’ve also got a handle on the form guide, with lots of data provided which puts you in the picture in terms of stats.

Key Nuggets vs Thunder stats:

• The -8.5 line has been covered by Thunder in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -8.5 line has been covered by Thunder in 15 of their last 20 games at home.

Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction

We are confident that the favorites will cover the spread in this NBA contest. -8.5 seems a generous line and you can get 1.93 that OKC Thunder will win by a bigger margin.

As a betting alternative, you can choose to buy or sell points when it comes to your spread pick. Buy if you want a safer wager and sell to get more juice from the line.

Thunder -8.5 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, there’s a 51.8% likelihood of our pick landing a return. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability close to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

Our Pick

Thunder -8.5 @ 1.93 Bet Now

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Player Props

Nikola Jokic Under 8.5 Assists 1.72

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) has failed to cover the 8.5 assists total in 9 of the past 10 games. Based on this stat, it could be that he doesn’t cover the line and this Player Assists wager is available at 1.72.

Latest Nikola Jokic Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 30.5

1.93

Under 30.5

1.81

Assists

Over 8.5

2.05

Under 8.5

1.72

Rebounds

Over 14.5

1.89

Under 14.5

1.83

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Isaiah Hartenstein Over 10.5 Points 1.93

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder) has racked up Over 10.5 points in 3 straight games at home. It makes sense to bet on him to cover the line and there are odds of 1.93 available for this Player Points wager.

Latest Isaiah Hartenstein Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 10.5

1.89

Under 10.5

1.83

Assists

Over 2.5

1.81

Under 2.5

1.93

Rebounds

Over 8.5

1.73

Under 8.5

2.02

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Nuggets 104 - 115 Thunder

A 115-104 win for the Thunder is clearly a risky wager although this could be an exciting correct score option where there’s the chance to enjoy a huge potential return.

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Thunder Win on the Cards According to the Books

Sportsbooks’ favorites Oklahoma City Thunder are regarded as likeliest victors for this NBA game and the 1.31 about them triumphing means a 76% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. At 3.65, Denver Nuggets are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The current spread is 8.5 and total points is 214.5. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you're keen on Over 214.5, this selection is available at 1.91.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game, you can feast on hundreds of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless and it’s great to have so many options.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Nuggets

3.65

Thunder

1.31

Point Spread

Nuggets +8.5

1.91

Thunder -8.5

1.91

Total Points

Under 214.5

1.91

Over 214.5

1.91

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

In terms of landing the most baskets, favorite Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is available at 1.91 to rack up Over 31.5 points. If you want to go Under, then 1.83 is available.

Player Points

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 31.5

1.91

Under 31.5

1.83

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 30.5

1.93

Under 30.5

1.81

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 22.5

1.92

Under 22.5

1.82

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 19.5

1.85

Under 19.5

1.88

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 14.5

1.80

Under 14.5

1.93

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 13.5

1.83

Under 13.5

1.89

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 13.5

1.85

Under 13.5

1.88

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 10.5

1.79

Under 10.5

1.95

Russell Westbrook (Nuggets)

Over 10.5

1.80

Under 10.5

1.94

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 10.5

1.89

Under 10.5

1.83

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 9.5

2.00

Under 9.5

1.76

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 7.5

1.77

Under 7.5

1.97

Player Assists

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 8.5

2.05

Under 8.5

1.72

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 6.5

1.70

Under 6.5

2.08

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

1.65

Under 5.5

2.15

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 4.5

1.68

Under 4.5

2.10

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

2.20

Under 3.5

1.63

Russell Westbrook (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

1.74

Under 3.5

2.02

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

1.84

Under 2.5

1.92

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 2.5

1.81

Under 2.5

1.93

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 2.5

1.70

Under 2.5

2.10

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 1.5

2.02

Under 1.5

1.75

Player Rebounds

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 14.5

1.89

Under 14.5

1.83

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 9.5

1.88

Under 9.5

1.85

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 8.5

1.73

Under 8.5

2.02

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 6.5

1.96

Under 6.5

1.78

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 6.5

1.85

Under 6.5

1.89

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 5.5

1.92

Under 5.5

1.82

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

1.68

Under 5.5

2.10

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

2.10

Under 4.5

1.68

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 4.5

1.64

Under 4.5

2.17

Russell Westbrook (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

2.12

Under 4.5

1.67

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 3.5

2.34

Under 3.5

1.57

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 2.5

1.64

Under 2.5

2.17

Micro Betting

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, team and player props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Best Betting Offers

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder Confirmed Lineup

2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

5 Luguentz Dort

7 Chet Holmgren

8 Jalen Williams

55 Isaiah Hartenstein

Denver Nuggets Confirmed Lineup

0 Christian Braun

1 Michael Porter Jr.

15 Nikola Jokic

27 Jamal Murray

32 Aaron Gordon

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season 2024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	61	21	0.744	116.3	107.2	9.1	28-13	33-8	14-2	39-13	8-2	2W
Knicks	51	31	0.622	115.8	111.7	4.1	27-14	24-17	12-4	34-18	6-4	1W
Raptors	30	52	0.366	110.9	115.2	-4.3	18-23	12-29	8-8	21-31	5-5	2L
Nets	26	56	0.317	105.1	112.2	-7.1	12-29	14-27	3-13	14-37	3-7	3L
76ers	24	58	0.293	109.6	115.8	-6.2	12-29	12-29	3-13	15-37	1-9	2L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Cavaliers	64	18	0.78	121.9	112.4	9.5	34-7	30-11	12-4	41-11	6-4	1L
Pacers	50	32	0.61	117.4	115.1	2.3	29-12	21-20	10-6	29-22	8-2	1W
Bucks	48	34	0.585	115.5	113	2.5	28-14	20-20	9-7	31-21	8-2	8W
Pistons	44	38	0.537	115.5	113.6	1.9	22-19	22-19	5-11	29-23	4-6	2L
Bulls	39	43	0.476	117.8	119.4	-1.6	18-23	21-20	4-12	28-24	7-3	3W

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	41	41	0.5	105.4	105.5	-0.1	22-19	19-22	12-4	31-21	7-3	1L
Hawks	40	42	0.488	118.2	119.3	-1.1	21-19	19-23	10-6	30-22	5-5	3W
Heat	37	45	0.451	110.6	110	0.6	19-22	18-23	10-6	24-28	6-4	1L
Hornets	19	63	0.232	105.1	114.2	-9.1	12-29	7-34	1-15	10-42	1-9	7L
Wizards	18	64	0.22	108	120.4	-12.4	8-33	10-31	7-9	13-39	2-8	1W

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	68	14	0.829	120.5	107.6	12.9	36-6	32-8	12-4	39-13	8-2	4W
Nuggets	50	32	0.61	120.8	116.9	3.9	26-15	24-17	8-8	32-20	5-5	3W
Timberwolves	49	33	0.598	114.3	109.3	5	25-16	24-17	11-5	33-19	8-2	3W
Trail Blazers	36	46	0.439	110.9	113.9	-3	22-19	14-27	6-10	19-33	4-6	1W
Jazz	17	65	0.207	111.9	121.2	-9.3	10-31	7-34	3-13	8-44	1-9	2L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Clippers	50	32	0.61	112.9	108.2	4.7	30-11	20-21	9-7	29-23	9-1	8W
Lakers	50	32	0.61	113.4	112.2	1.2	31-10	19-22	12-4	36-16	6-4	1L
Warriors	48	34	0.585	113.8	110.5	3.3	24-17	24-17	5-11	29-23	7-3	1L
Kings	40	42	0.488	115.7	115.3	0.4	20-21	20-21	5-11	26-26	5-5	1W
Suns	36	46	0.439	113.6	116.6	-3	24-17	12-29	9-7	22-30	1-9	1L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	52	30	0.634	114.3	109.8	4.5	29-12	23-18	13-3	31-21	6-4	3L
Grizzlies	48	34	0.585	121.7	116.9	4.8	26-15	22-19	11-5	27-24	4-6	1W
Mavericks	39	43	0.476	114.2	115.4	-1.2	22-18	17-25	8-8	23-29	4-6	1L
Spurs	34	48	0.415	113.9	116.7	-2.8	20-21	14-27	5-11	22-30	3-7	1W
Pelicans	21	61	0.256	109.8	119.3	-9.5	14-27	7-34	3-13	13-38	2-8	7L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Cavaliers	64	18	0.78	121.9	112.4	9.5	34-7	30-11	12-4	41-11	6-4	1L
Celtics	61	21	0.744	116.3	107.2	9.1	28-13	33-8	14-2	39-13	8-2	2W
Knicks	51	31	0.622	115.8	111.7	4.1	27-14	24-17	12-4	34-18	6-4	1W
Pacers	50	32	0.61	117.4	115.1	2.3	29-12	21-20	10-6	29-22	8-2	1W
Bucks	48	34	0.585	115.5	113	2.5	28-14	20-20	9-7	31-21	8-2	8W
Pistons	44	38	0.537	115.5	113.6	1.9	22-19	22-19	5-11	29-23	4-6	2L
Magic	41	41	0.5	105.4	105.5	-0.1	22-19	19-22	12-4	31-21	7-3	1L
Hawks	40	42	0.488	118.2	119.3	-1.1	21-19	19-23	10-6	30-22	5-5	3W
Bulls	39	43	0.476	117.8	119.4	-1.6	18-23	21-20	4-12	28-24	7-3	3W
Heat	37	45	0.451	110.6	110	0.6	19-22	18-23	10-6	24-28	6-4	1L
Raptors	30	52	0.366	110.9	115.2	-4.3	18-23	12-29	8-8	21-31	5-5	2L
Nets	26	56	0.317	105.1	112.2	-7.1	12-29	14-27	3-13	14-37	3-7	3L
76ers	24	58	0.293	109.6	115.8	-6.2	12-29	12-29	3-13	15-37	1-9	2L
Hornets	19	63	0.232	105.1	114.2	-9.1	12-29	7-34	1-15	10-42	1-9	7L
Wizards	18	64	0.22	108	120.4	-12.4	8-33	10-31	7-9	13-39	2-8	1W

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	68	14	0.829	120.5	107.6	12.9	36-6	32-8	12-4	39-13	8-2	4W
Rockets	52	30	0.634	114.3	109.8	4.5	29-12	23-18	13-3	31-21	6-4	3L
Lakers	50	32	0.61	113.4	112.2	1.2	31-10	19-22	12-4	36-16	6-4	1L
Nuggets	50	32	0.61	120.8	116.9	3.9	26-15	24-17	8-8	32-20	5-5	3W
Clippers	50	32	0.61	112.9	108.2	4.7	30-11	20-21	9-7	29-23	9-1	8W
Warriors	48	34	0.585	113.8	110.5	3.3	24-17	24-17	5-11	29-23	7-3	1L
Timberwolves	49	33	0.598	114.3	109.3	5	25-16	24-17	11-5	33-19	8-2	3W
Grizzlies	48	34	0.585	121.7	116.9	4.8	26-15	22-19	11-5	27-24	4-6	1W
Kings	40	42	0.488	115.7	115.3	0.4	20-21	20-21	5-11	26-26	5-5	1W
Mavericks	39	43	0.476	114.2	115.4	-1.2	22-18	17-25	8-8	23-29	4-6	1L
Suns	36	46	0.439	113.6	116.6	-3	24-17	12-29	9-7	22-30	1-9	1L
Trail Blazers	36	46	0.439	110.9	113.9	-3	22-19	14-27	6-10	19-33	4-6	1W
Spurs	34	48	0.415	113.9	116.7	-2.8	20-21	14-27	5-11	22-30	3-7	1W
Pelicans	21	61	0.256	109.8	119.3	-9.5	14-27	7-34	3-13	13-38	2-8	7L
Jazz	17	65	0.207	111.9	121.2	-9.3	10-31	7-34	3-13	8-44	1-9	2L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	68	14	0.829	120.5	107.6	12.9	36-6	32-8	12-4	39-13	8-2	4W
Cavaliers	64	18	0.78	121.9	112.4	9.5	34-7	30-11	12-4	41-11	6-4	1L
Celtics	61	21	0.744	116.3	107.2	9.1	28-13	33-8	14-2	39-13	8-2	2W
Rockets	52	30	0.634	114.3	109.8	4.5	29-12	23-18	13-3	31-21	6-4	3L
Knicks	51	31	0.622	115.8	111.7	4.1	27-14	24-17	12-4	34-18	6-4	1W
Nuggets	50	32	0.61	120.8	116.9	3.9	26-15	24-17	8-8	32-20	5-5	3W
Pacers	50	32	0.61	117.4	115.1	2.3	29-12	21-20	10-6	29-22	8-2	1W
Lakers	50	32	0.61	113.4	112.2	1.2	31-10	19-22	12-4	36-16	6-4	1L
Clippers	50	32	0.61	112.9	108.2	4.7	30-11	20-21	9-7	29-23	9-1	8W
Timberwolves	49	33	0.598	114.3	109.3	5	25-16	24-17	11-5	33-19	8-2	3W
Grizzlies	48	34	0.585	121.7	116.9	4.8	26-15	22-19	11-5	27-24	4-6	1W
Bucks	48	34	0.585	115.5	113	2.5	28-14	20-20	9-7	31-21	8-2	8W
Warriors	48	34	0.585	113.8	110.5	3.3	24-17	24-17	5-11	29-23	7-3	1L
Pistons	44	38	0.537	115.5	113.6	1.9	22-19	22-19	5-11	29-23	4-6	2L
Magic	41	41	0.5	105.4	105.5	-0.1	22-19	19-22	12-4	31-21	7-3	1L
Hawks	40	42	0.488	118.2	119.3	-1.1	21-19	19-23	10-6	30-22	5-5	3W
Kings	40	42	0.488	115.7	115.3	0.4	20-21	20-21	5-11	26-26	5-5	1W
Bulls	39	43	0.476	117.8	119.4	-1.6	18-23	21-20	4-12	28-24	7-3	3W
Mavericks	39	43	0.476	114.2	115.4	-1.2	22-18	17-25	8-8	23-29	4-6	1L
Heat	37	45	0.451	110.6	110	0.6	19-22	18-23	10-6	24-28	6-4	1L
Suns	36	46	0.439	113.6	116.6	-3	24-17	12-29	9-7	22-30	1-9	1L
Trail Blazers	36	46	0.439	110.9	113.9	-3	22-19	14-27	6-10	19-33	4-6	1W
Spurs	34	48	0.415	113.9	116.7	-2.8	20-21	14-27	5-11	22-30	3-7	1W
Raptors	30	52	0.366	110.9	115.2	-4.3	18-23	12-29	8-8	21-31	5-5	2L
Nets	26	56	0.317	105.1	112.2	-7.1	12-29	14-27	3-13	14-37	3-7	3L
76ers	24	58	0.293	109.6	115.8	-6.2	12-29	12-29	3-13	15-37	1-9	2L
Pelicans	21	61	0.256	109.8	119.3	-9.5	14-27	7-34	3-13	13-38	2-8	7L
Hornets	19	63	0.232	105.1	114.2	-9.1	12-29	7-34	1-15	10-42	1-9	7L
Wizards	18	64	0.22	108	120.4	-12.4	8-33	10-31	7-9	13-39	2-8	1W
Jazz	17	65	0.207	111.9	121.2	-9.3	10-31	7-34	3-13	8-44	1-9	2L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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