Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds

Expect Points Between Warriors and Rockets

No. 7 Golden State Warriors (48-34, 24-17 Away) square off against No. 2 Houston Rockets (52-30, 29-12 at Home) in this NBA Playoffs first round game at Toyota Center. The Warriors lead the series 3-1.

We’re heading to the totals after finding that the line is set at a generous 204 points. Expect the Warriors and the Rockets to surpass this number at 1.91.

7 Wins for Warriors in Past 10 H2H Games

Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets went head-to-head on Monday night, with the Warriors triumphing 109-106 at Chase Center.

The top Warriors scorer was Jimmy Butler with 27 points, with Brandin Podziemski getting 26 and Stephen Curry 17. Alperen Sengun recorded 31 points and 10 rebounds for the Rockets, with Fred VanVleet scoring 25 points and Amen Thompson on 17.

In the past 10 games between the teams, the Warriors have won seven.

NBA Reg. Season	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	52	30	0.634	114.3	109.8	4.5	29-12	23-18	13-3	31-21	6-4	3L
Warriors	48	34	0.585	113.8	110.5	3.3	24-17	24-17	5-11	29-23	7-3	1L

View Full Standings

The Warriors have 6 wins and 4 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 108.5 points, 40.5 rebounds, 26.9 assists, 11.0 steals and 3.8 blocks while shooting 44.6% from the field and 79.3% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 103.4 points and 46.8 rebounds per matchup.

Stephen Curry is averaging 24.9 points, 5.6 assists and 4.0 (39.2%) 3-pointers made, while Draymond Green averages 5.7 rebounds.

The Rockets have won 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 110.4 points, 46.9 rebounds, 23.5 assists, 7.4 steals and 5.0 blocks per game while shooting 46.7% from the field and 65.1% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 111.4 points and 39.8 rebounds.

Alperen Sengun is averaging 16.8 points and 8.1 rebounds, Amen Thompson 3.8 assists and Jalen Green 2.2 (34.9%) 3-pointers.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors lineup: Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Jimmy Butler, Draymond Green, Stephen Curry.

Houston Rockets lineup: Amen Thompson, Jalen Green, Fred VanVleet, Dillon Brooks, Alperen Sengun.

Expert NBA Analysis

The NBA predictions are only provided once we have a handle on the team news and the latest form guide. We are also on point when it comes to the most valuable stats.

Key Warriors vs Rockets stats:

• The 204 line has been covered in 15 of the last 20 Warriors games on the road.
• The 204 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Warriors games on the road.
• The 204 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Rockets games at home.
• The 204 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Rockets games.

Warriors vs Rockets Prediction

Over 204 points seems like a realistic outcome for this NBA matchup. We’re taking odds of 1.91 considering that the total line looks to be too low here.

Looking for a bigger payout on your Total wager? Consider the Match Result & Total lines where you combine the winning franchise and Over a certain number of points.

Over 204 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. However, our analysts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Our Pick

Over 204 Points @ 1.91 Bet Now

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Player Props

Jalen Green Over 15.5 Points 1.93

Jalen Green (Rockets) has an average of 20.6 points in the past 5 games at home. There’s an opportunity to wager on Player Points and the line looks attractive, with 1.93 available that it’s covered.

Latest Jalen Green Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

1.79

Under 14.5

1.95

Assists

Over 2.5

1.64

Under 2.5

2.18

Rebounds

Over 4.5

2.17

Under 4.5

1.64

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Stephen Curry Over 4.5 Rebounds 1.89

Stephen Curry (Warriors) has recorded Over 4.5 rebounds in 4 straight games on the road. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Player Rebounds, with this line making appeal at odds of 1.89.

Latest Stephen Curry Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 25.5

1.92

Under 25.5

1.82

Assists

Over 4.5

1.75

Under 4.5

2.00

Rebounds

Over 4.5

1.88

Under 4.5

1.85

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Correct Score Prediction

Warriors 105 - 106 Rockets

There might not be too much between these teams, with our correct score prediction being a 106-105 win for the Rockets. There are enormous odds available when it comes to this pick.

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Think Rockets Likeliest to Win

With the sportsbooks giving them a 65% probability of winning this NBA game, Houston Rockets might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their 1.54 Moneyline betting odds. The market suggests that Golden State Warriors are least likely to win at 2.56.

4 is the spread and 203.5 is the total points line. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. If you're keen on Over 203.5, this selection is available at 1.91.

Consider every angle when placing your basketball bets. The betting sites offer a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the game.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Warriors

2.56

Rockets

1.54

Point Spread

Warriors +4

1.93

Rockets -4

1.89

Total Points

Under 203.5

1.91

Over 203.5

1.91

Stephen Curry Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

Stephen Curry is the market leader to rack up the most points. You can back 1.92 that he gets Over 25.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at 1.82.

Player Points

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 25.5

1.92

Under 25.5

1.82

Alperen Sengun (Rockets)

Over 21.5

1.79

Under 21.5

1.94

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 20.5

1.85

Under 20.5

1.88

Jalen Green (Rockets)

Over 14.5

1.79

Under 14.5

1.95

Fred VanVleet (Rockets)

Over 14.5

1.93

Under 14.5

1.81

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 13.5

1.85

Under 13.5

1.88

Dillon Brooks (Rockets)

Over 12.5

1.82

Under 12.5

1.92

Amen Thompson (Rockets)

Over 11.5

1.77

Under 11.5

1.97

Buddy Hield (Warriors)

Over 9.5

1.79

Under 9.5

1.94

Jabari Smith Jr (Rockets)

Over 8.5

1.80

Under 8.5

1.94

Tari Eason (Rockets)

Over 7.5

1.75

Under 7.5

2.02

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 7.5

1.81

Under 7.5

1.93

Moses Moody (Warriors)

Over 4.5

1.71

Under 4.5

2.06

Player Assists

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 5.5

2.05

Under 5.5

1.72

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 4.5

1.75

Under 4.5

2.00

Alperen Sengun (Rockets)

Over 4.5

2.04

Under 4.5

1.72

Fred VanVleet (Rockets)

Over 4.5

1.83

Under 4.5

1.92

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 3.5

1.85

Under 3.5

1.88

Amen Thompson (Rockets)

Over 3.5

1.72

Under 3.5

2.05

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 3.5

1.63

Under 3.5

2.20

Jalen Green (Rockets)

Over 2.5

1.64

Under 2.5

2.18

Dillon Brooks (Rockets)

Over 1.5

2.05

Under 1.5

1.71

Player Rebounds

Alperen Sengun (Rockets)

Over 11.5

2.02

Under 11.5

1.74

Amen Thompson (Rockets)

Over 6.5

1.75

Under 6.5

2.00

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 6.5

1.77

Under 6.5

1.97

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 5.5

1.83

Under 5.5

1.91

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 5.5

1.94

Under 5.5

1.80

Jabari Smith Jr (Rockets)

Over 5.5

2.02

Under 5.5

1.74

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 4.5

1.88

Under 4.5

1.85

Jalen Green (Rockets)

Over 4.5

2.17

Under 4.5

1.64

Fred VanVleet (Rockets)

Over 3.5

2.23

Under 3.5

1.61

Dillon Brooks (Rockets)

Over 3.5

2.02

Under 3.5

1.75

Buddy Hield (Warriors)

Over 3.5

2.18

Under 3.5

1.63

Micro Betting

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to basketball micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Field Goal. Check out the live team, score and player props to see if you can find an angle.

Best Betting Offers

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Houston Rockets Confirmed Lineup

1 Amen Thompson

4 Jalen Green

5 Fred VanVleet

9 Dillon Brooks

28 Alperen Sengun

Golden State Warriors Confirmed Lineup

2 Brandin Podziemski

7 Buddy Hield

10 Jimmy Butler

23 Draymond Green

30 Stephen Curry

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season 2024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	61	21	0.744	116.3	107.2	9.1	28-13	33-8	14-2	39-13	8-2	2W
Knicks	51	31	0.622	115.8	111.7	4.1	27-14	24-17	12-4	34-18	6-4	1W
Raptors	30	52	0.366	110.9	115.2	-4.3	18-23	12-29	8-8	21-31	5-5	2L
Nets	26	56	0.317	105.1	112.2	-7.1	12-29	14-27	3-13	14-37	3-7	3L
76ers	24	58	0.293	109.6	115.8	-6.2	12-29	12-29	3-13	15-37	1-9	2L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Cavaliers	64	18	0.78	121.9	112.4	9.5	34-7	30-11	12-4	41-11	6-4	1L
Pacers	50	32	0.61	117.4	115.1	2.3	29-12	21-20	10-6	29-22	8-2	1W
Bucks	48	34	0.585	115.5	113	2.5	28-14	20-20	9-7	31-21	8-2	8W
Pistons	44	38	0.537	115.5	113.6	1.9	22-19	22-19	5-11	29-23	4-6	2L
Bulls	39	43	0.476	117.8	119.4	-1.6	18-23	21-20	4-12	28-24	7-3	3W

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	41	41	0.5	105.4	105.5	-0.1	22-19	19-22	12-4	31-21	7-3	1L
Hawks	40	42	0.488	118.2	119.3	-1.1	21-19	19-23	10-6	30-22	5-5	3W
Heat	37	45	0.451	110.6	110	0.6	19-22	18-23	10-6	24-28	6-4	1L
Hornets	19	63	0.232	105.1	114.2	-9.1	12-29	7-34	1-15	10-42	1-9	7L
Wizards	18	64	0.22	108	120.4	-12.4	8-33	10-31	7-9	13-39	2-8	1W

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	68	14	0.829	120.5	107.6	12.9	36-6	32-8	12-4	39-13	8-2	4W
Nuggets	50	32	0.61	120.8	116.9	3.9	26-15	24-17	8-8	32-20	5-5	3W
Timberwolves	49	33	0.598	114.3	109.3	5	25-16	24-17	11-5	33-19	8-2	3W
Trail Blazers	36	46	0.439	110.9	113.9	-3	22-19	14-27	6-10	19-33	4-6	1W
Jazz	17	65	0.207	111.9	121.2	-9.3	10-31	7-34	3-13	8-44	1-9	2L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Clippers	50	32	0.61	112.9	108.2	4.7	30-11	20-21	9-7	29-23	9-1	8W
Lakers	50	32	0.61	113.4	112.2	1.2	31-10	19-22	12-4	36-16	6-4	1L
Warriors	48	34	0.585	113.8	110.5	3.3	24-17	24-17	5-11	29-23	7-3	1L
Kings	40	42	0.488	115.7	115.3	0.4	20-21	20-21	5-11	26-26	5-5	1W
Suns	36	46	0.439	113.6	116.6	-3	24-17	12-29	9-7	22-30	1-9	1L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	52	30	0.634	114.3	109.8	4.5	29-12	23-18	13-3	31-21	6-4	3L
Grizzlies	48	34	0.585	121.7	116.9	4.8	26-15	22-19	11-5	27-24	4-6	1W
Mavericks	39	43	0.476	114.2	115.4	-1.2	22-18	17-25	8-8	23-29	4-6	1L
Spurs	34	48	0.415	113.9	116.7	-2.8	20-21	14-27	5-11	22-30	3-7	1W
Pelicans	21	61	0.256	109.8	119.3	-9.5	14-27	7-34	3-13	13-38	2-8	7L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Cavaliers	64	18	0.78	121.9	112.4	9.5	34-7	30-11	12-4	41-11	6-4	1L
Celtics	61	21	0.744	116.3	107.2	9.1	28-13	33-8	14-2	39-13	8-2	2W
Knicks	51	31	0.622	115.8	111.7	4.1	27-14	24-17	12-4	34-18	6-4	1W
Pacers	50	32	0.61	117.4	115.1	2.3	29-12	21-20	10-6	29-22	8-2	1W
Bucks	48	34	0.585	115.5	113	2.5	28-14	20-20	9-7	31-21	8-2	8W
Pistons	44	38	0.537	115.5	113.6	1.9	22-19	22-19	5-11	29-23	4-6	2L
Magic	41	41	0.5	105.4	105.5	-0.1	22-19	19-22	12-4	31-21	7-3	1L
Hawks	40	42	0.488	118.2	119.3	-1.1	21-19	19-23	10-6	30-22	5-5	3W
Bulls	39	43	0.476	117.8	119.4	-1.6	18-23	21-20	4-12	28-24	7-3	3W
Heat	37	45	0.451	110.6	110	0.6	19-22	18-23	10-6	24-28	6-4	1L
Raptors	30	52	0.366	110.9	115.2	-4.3	18-23	12-29	8-8	21-31	5-5	2L
Nets	26	56	0.317	105.1	112.2	-7.1	12-29	14-27	3-13	14-37	3-7	3L
76ers	24	58	0.293	109.6	115.8	-6.2	12-29	12-29	3-13	15-37	1-9	2L
Hornets	19	63	0.232	105.1	114.2	-9.1	12-29	7-34	1-15	10-42	1-9	7L
Wizards	18	64	0.22	108	120.4	-12.4	8-33	10-31	7-9	13-39	2-8	1W

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	68	14	0.829	120.5	107.6	12.9	36-6	32-8	12-4	39-13	8-2	4W
Rockets	52	30	0.634	114.3	109.8	4.5	29-12	23-18	13-3	31-21	6-4	3L
Lakers	50	32	0.61	113.4	112.2	1.2	31-10	19-22	12-4	36-16	6-4	1L
Nuggets	50	32	0.61	120.8	116.9	3.9	26-15	24-17	8-8	32-20	5-5	3W
Clippers	50	32	0.61	112.9	108.2	4.7	30-11	20-21	9-7	29-23	9-1	8W
Warriors	48	34	0.585	113.8	110.5	3.3	24-17	24-17	5-11	29-23	7-3	1L
Timberwolves	49	33	0.598	114.3	109.3	5	25-16	24-17	11-5	33-19	8-2	3W
Grizzlies	48	34	0.585	121.7	116.9	4.8	26-15	22-19	11-5	27-24	4-6	1W
Kings	40	42	0.488	115.7	115.3	0.4	20-21	20-21	5-11	26-26	5-5	1W
Mavericks	39	43	0.476	114.2	115.4	-1.2	22-18	17-25	8-8	23-29	4-6	1L
Suns	36	46	0.439	113.6	116.6	-3	24-17	12-29	9-7	22-30	1-9	1L
Trail Blazers	36	46	0.439	110.9	113.9	-3	22-19	14-27	6-10	19-33	4-6	1W
Spurs	34	48	0.415	113.9	116.7	-2.8	20-21	14-27	5-11	22-30	3-7	1W
Pelicans	21	61	0.256	109.8	119.3	-9.5	14-27	7-34	3-13	13-38	2-8	7L
Jazz	17	65	0.207	111.9	121.2	-9.3	10-31	7-34	3-13	8-44	1-9	2L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	68	14	0.829	120.5	107.6	12.9	36-6	32-8	12-4	39-13	8-2	4W
Cavaliers	64	18	0.78	121.9	112.4	9.5	34-7	30-11	12-4	41-11	6-4	1L
Celtics	61	21	0.744	116.3	107.2	9.1	28-13	33-8	14-2	39-13	8-2	2W
Rockets	52	30	0.634	114.3	109.8	4.5	29-12	23-18	13-3	31-21	6-4	3L
Knicks	51	31	0.622	115.8	111.7	4.1	27-14	24-17	12-4	34-18	6-4	1W
Nuggets	50	32	0.61	120.8	116.9	3.9	26-15	24-17	8-8	32-20	5-5	3W
Pacers	50	32	0.61	117.4	115.1	2.3	29-12	21-20	10-6	29-22	8-2	1W
Lakers	50	32	0.61	113.4	112.2	1.2	31-10	19-22	12-4	36-16	6-4	1L
Clippers	50	32	0.61	112.9	108.2	4.7	30-11	20-21	9-7	29-23	9-1	8W
Timberwolves	49	33	0.598	114.3	109.3	5	25-16	24-17	11-5	33-19	8-2	3W
Grizzlies	48	34	0.585	121.7	116.9	4.8	26-15	22-19	11-5	27-24	4-6	1W
Bucks	48	34	0.585	115.5	113	2.5	28-14	20-20	9-7	31-21	8-2	8W
Warriors	48	34	0.585	113.8	110.5	3.3	24-17	24-17	5-11	29-23	7-3	1L
Pistons	44	38	0.537	115.5	113.6	1.9	22-19	22-19	5-11	29-23	4-6	2L
Magic	41	41	0.5	105.4	105.5	-0.1	22-19	19-22	12-4	31-21	7-3	1L
Hawks	40	42	0.488	118.2	119.3	-1.1	21-19	19-23	10-6	30-22	5-5	3W
Kings	40	42	0.488	115.7	115.3	0.4	20-21	20-21	5-11	26-26	5-5	1W
Bulls	39	43	0.476	117.8	119.4	-1.6	18-23	21-20	4-12	28-24	7-3	3W
Mavericks	39	43	0.476	114.2	115.4	-1.2	22-18	17-25	8-8	23-29	4-6	1L
Heat	37	45	0.451	110.6	110	0.6	19-22	18-23	10-6	24-28	6-4	1L
Suns	36	46	0.439	113.6	116.6	-3	24-17	12-29	9-7	22-30	1-9	1L
Trail Blazers	36	46	0.439	110.9	113.9	-3	22-19	14-27	6-10	19-33	4-6	1W
Spurs	34	48	0.415	113.9	116.7	-2.8	20-21	14-27	5-11	22-30	3-7	1W
Raptors	30	52	0.366	110.9	115.2	-4.3	18-23	12-29	8-8	21-31	5-5	2L
Nets	26	56	0.317	105.1	112.2	-7.1	12-29	14-27	3-13	14-37	3-7	3L
76ers	24	58	0.293	109.6	115.8	-6.2	12-29	12-29	3-13	15-37	1-9	2L
Pelicans	21	61	0.256	109.8	119.3	-9.5	14-27	7-34	3-13	13-38	2-8	7L
Hornets	19	63	0.232	105.1	114.2	-9.1	12-29	7-34	1-15	10-42	1-9	7L
Wizards	18	64	0.22	108	120.4	-12.4	8-33	10-31	7-9	13-39	2-8	1W
Jazz	17	65	0.207	111.9	121.2	-9.3	10-31	7-34	3-13	8-44	1-9	2L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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