Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds

Back Thunder to Get the Job Done

No. 1 Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14, 32-8 Away) face No. 4 Denver Nuggets (50-32, 26-15 at Home) in game 6 of this NBA Playoffs Western Conference Semifinal matchup at Ball Arena. The Thunder lead the series 3-2.

The Thunder should be taken against the spread at -5 with our prediction being for them to achieve a comfortable margin of victory over the Nuggets. Back the favorites at the 1.91 that's available.

112-105 Win for Thunder in Last H2H Battle

Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets clashed two nights ago, with the Thunder winning 112-105 at Paycom Center.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the way for the Thunder with 31 points, while Jalen Williams and Isaiah Hartenstein scored 18 and 15. Nikola Jokic racked up 44 points and 15 rebounds for the Nuggets, with Jamal Murray recording 28 points and Aaron Gordon 13.

The Thunder have triumphed in six of the previous 10 clashes between these teams.

NBA Reg. Season	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	68	14	0.829	120.5	107.6	12.9	36-6	32-8	12-4	39-13	8-2	4W
Nuggets	50	32	0.61	120.8	116.9	3.9	26-15	24-17	8-8	32-20	5-5	3W

View Full Standings

8 wins and 2 losses in the past 10 games. The Thunder are averaging 117.1 points, 47.6 rebounds, 24.5 assists, 9.8 steals and 6.4 blocks while shooting 44.5% from the field and 79.7% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 103.4 points and 47.2 rebounds per contest.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 25.2 points and 6.0 assists, while Chet Holmgren averages 8.5 rebounds and Luguentz Dort 1.8 (28.6%) 3-pointers made.

The Nuggets have won 5 and lost 5 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 107.2 points, 45.6 rebounds, 22.3 assists, 7.3 steals and 4.9 blocks per game while shooting 44.8% from the field and 76.2% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 111.9 points and 43.9 rebounds.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 26.3 points, 13.5 rebounds and 7.5 assists, while Jamal Murray has an average of 2.4 (35.8%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder lineup: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein.

Denver Nuggets lineup: Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon.

Expert NBA Analysis

We always have a keen eye on team news, while our expert NBA handicappers have their finger on the pulse by knowing the latest form. You will also find a compendium of stats which provide some valuable pointers ahead of the action.

Key Thunder vs Nuggets stats:

• The -5 line has been covered by Thunder in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The -5 line has been covered by Thunder in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -5 line has been covered by Thunder in 2 consecutive games.
• The -5 line has been covered by Thunder in 2 consecutive games against Nuggets.

Thunder vs Nuggets Prediction

We’re bullish about OKC Thunder on the spread at -5. They should be able to win this NBA matchup by a comfortable margin and you can get 1.91.

It’s good to explore all avenues and you might prefer bigger odds about the selection you want to make. Go ahead and move the line until you’re happy with the price.

Thunder -5 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick landing a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

Our Pick

Thunder -5 @ 1.91 Bet Now

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Player Props

Nikola Jokic Under 28.5 Points 1.93

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) has recorded an average of 20.4 points in the past 5 home games. It’s anticipated that he might once again fall short of the mark and this Player Points wager is available at 1.93.

Latest Nikola Jokic Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 28.5

1.80

Under 28.5

1.93

Assists

Over 8.5

1.96

Under 8.5

1.78

Rebounds

Over 13.5

1.76

Under 13.5

2.00

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Jamal Murray Over 3.5 Rebounds 1.78

Jamal Murray (Nuggets) has covered the 3.5 rebounds total in 9 of the past 10 games. The stats suggest that he can oblige with our Overs bet and we’re more than happy to take the 1.78 available.

Latest Jamal Murray Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 19.5

1.82

Under 19.5

1.92

Assists

Over 5.5

2.05

Under 5.5

1.72

Rebounds

Over 3.5

1.78

Under 3.5

1.96

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Correct Score Prediction

Thunder 110 - 103 Nuggets

The Thunder might be able to claim a win and we’re siding with a 110-103 scoreline in their favor. A small stake can provide a big return and there are tasty odds available.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Make Thunder Moneyline Favorites

The Oklahoma City Thunder odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are 1.51 betting favorites to land victory in this NBA game which means a 66% chance of winning. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Denver Nuggets are trading at 2.66.

The spread is calculated to be 5, while total points comes in at 217. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. Those that want to back Under 217 can find odds of 1.89 available.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game, you can feast on hundreds of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless and it’s great to have so many options.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Thunder

1.51

Nuggets

2.66

Point Spread

Thunder -5

1.93

Nuggets +5

1.89

Total Points

Under 217

1.89

Over 217

1.93

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Score the Most Points

In terms of scoring most points, favorite Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is available at 1.85 to rack up Over 29.5 points. If you want to go Under, then 1.88 is available.

Player Points

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 29.5

1.85

Under 29.5

1.88

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 28.5

1.80

Under 28.5

1.93

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 20.5

1.87

Under 20.5

1.87

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 19.5

1.82

Under 19.5

1.92

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 16.5

1.87

Under 16.5

1.87

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 14.5

1.88

Under 14.5

1.85

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 12.5

1.93

Under 12.5

1.81

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 11.5

1.93

Under 11.5

1.81

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 10.5

1.82

Under 10.5

1.92

Russell Westbrook (Nuggets)

Over 10.5

1.97

Under 10.5

1.77

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 8.5

1.81

Under 8.5

1.93

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 8.5

1.96

Under 8.5

1.78

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder)

Over 5.5

1.79

Under 5.5

1.95

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 5.5

2.04

Under 5.5

1.74

Peyton Watson (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

2.00

Under 4.5

1.75

Player Assists

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 8.5

1.96

Under 8.5

1.78

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 7.5

2.02

Under 7.5

1.74

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

2.05

Under 5.5

1.72

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 4.5

1.72

Under 4.5

2.05

Russell Westbrook (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

1.85

Under 3.5

1.88

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

1.57

Under 2.5

2.30

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

1.93

Under 2.5

1.81

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 2.5

1.57

Under 2.5

2.28

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 2.5

2.08

Under 2.5

1.70

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 1.5

1.92

Under 1.5

1.84

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 1.5

1.80

Under 1.5

1.97

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 0.5

1.66

Under 0.5

2.17

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 0.5

1.50

Under 0.5

2.52

Player Rebounds

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 13.5

1.76

Under 13.5

2.00

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 9.5

2.05

Under 9.5

1.72

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 9.5

1.94

Under 9.5

1.80

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 6.5

1.83

Under 6.5

1.92

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 5.5

1.80

Under 5.5

1.94

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

1.75

Under 5.5

2.02

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

1.81

Under 5.5

1.93

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 4.5

1.81

Under 4.5

1.93

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

1.78

Under 3.5

1.96

Russell Westbrook (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

2.07

Under 3.5

1.70

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 2.5

1.57

Under 2.5

2.28

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 2.5

1.66

Under 2.5

2.14

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder)

Over 2.5

2.10

Under 2.5

1.70

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 2.5

2.26

Under 2.5

1.61

Micro Betting

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, basketball micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on the Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Best Betting Offers

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets Confirmed Lineup

0 Christian Braun

1 Michael Porter Jr.

15 Nikola Jokic

27 Jamal Murray

32 Aaron Gordon

Oklahoma City Thunder Confirmed Lineup

2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

5 Luguentz Dort

7 Chet Holmgren

8 Jalen Williams

55 Isaiah Hartenstein

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season 2024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	61	21	0.744	116.3	107.2	9.1	28-13	33-8	14-2	39-13	8-2	2W
Knicks	51	31	0.622	115.8	111.7	4.1	27-14	24-17	12-4	34-18	6-4	1W
Raptors	30	52	0.366	110.9	115.2	-4.3	18-23	12-29	8-8	21-31	5-5	2L
Nets	26	56	0.317	105.1	112.2	-7.1	12-29	14-27	3-13	14-37	3-7	3L
76ers	24	58	0.293	109.6	115.8	-6.2	12-29	12-29	3-13	15-37	1-9	2L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Cavaliers	64	18	0.78	121.9	112.4	9.5	34-7	30-11	12-4	41-11	6-4	1L
Pacers	50	32	0.61	117.4	115.1	2.3	29-12	21-20	10-6	29-22	8-2	1W
Bucks	48	34	0.585	115.5	113	2.5	28-14	20-20	9-7	31-21	8-2	8W
Pistons	44	38	0.537	115.5	113.6	1.9	22-19	22-19	5-11	29-23	4-6	2L
Bulls	39	43	0.476	117.8	119.4	-1.6	18-23	21-20	4-12	28-24	7-3	3W

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	41	41	0.5	105.4	105.5	-0.1	22-19	19-22	12-4	31-21	7-3	1L
Hawks	40	42	0.488	118.2	119.3	-1.1	21-19	19-23	10-6	30-22	5-5	3W
Heat	37	45	0.451	110.6	110	0.6	19-22	18-23	10-6	24-28	6-4	1L
Hornets	19	63	0.232	105.1	114.2	-9.1	12-29	7-34	1-15	10-42	1-9	7L
Wizards	18	64	0.22	108	120.4	-12.4	8-33	10-31	7-9	13-39	2-8	1W

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	68	14	0.829	120.5	107.6	12.9	36-6	32-8	12-4	39-13	8-2	4W
Nuggets	50	32	0.61	120.8	116.9	3.9	26-15	24-17	8-8	32-20	5-5	3W
Timberwolves	49	33	0.598	114.3	109.3	5	25-16	24-17	11-5	33-19	8-2	3W
Trail Blazers	36	46	0.439	110.9	113.9	-3	22-19	14-27	6-10	19-33	4-6	1W
Jazz	17	65	0.207	111.9	121.2	-9.3	10-31	7-34	3-13	8-44	1-9	2L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Clippers	50	32	0.61	112.9	108.2	4.7	30-11	20-21	9-7	29-23	9-1	8W
Lakers	50	32	0.61	113.4	112.2	1.2	31-10	19-22	12-4	36-16	6-4	1L
Warriors	48	34	0.585	113.8	110.5	3.3	24-17	24-17	5-11	29-23	7-3	1L
Kings	40	42	0.488	115.7	115.3	0.4	20-21	20-21	5-11	26-26	5-5	1W
Suns	36	46	0.439	113.6	116.6	-3	24-17	12-29	9-7	22-30	1-9	1L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	52	30	0.634	114.3	109.8	4.5	29-12	23-18	13-3	31-21	6-4	3L
Grizzlies	48	34	0.585	121.7	116.9	4.8	26-15	22-19	11-5	27-24	4-6	1W
Mavericks	39	43	0.476	114.2	115.4	-1.2	22-18	17-25	8-8	23-29	4-6	1L
Spurs	34	48	0.415	113.9	116.7	-2.8	20-21	14-27	5-11	22-30	3-7	1W
Pelicans	21	61	0.256	109.8	119.3	-9.5	14-27	7-34	3-13	13-38	2-8	7L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Cavaliers	64	18	0.78	121.9	112.4	9.5	34-7	30-11	12-4	41-11	6-4	1L
Celtics	61	21	0.744	116.3	107.2	9.1	28-13	33-8	14-2	39-13	8-2	2W
Knicks	51	31	0.622	115.8	111.7	4.1	27-14	24-17	12-4	34-18	6-4	1W
Pacers	50	32	0.61	117.4	115.1	2.3	29-12	21-20	10-6	29-22	8-2	1W
Bucks	48	34	0.585	115.5	113	2.5	28-14	20-20	9-7	31-21	8-2	8W
Pistons	44	38	0.537	115.5	113.6	1.9	22-19	22-19	5-11	29-23	4-6	2L
Magic	41	41	0.5	105.4	105.5	-0.1	22-19	19-22	12-4	31-21	7-3	1L
Hawks	40	42	0.488	118.2	119.3	-1.1	21-19	19-23	10-6	30-22	5-5	3W
Bulls	39	43	0.476	117.8	119.4	-1.6	18-23	21-20	4-12	28-24	7-3	3W
Heat	37	45	0.451	110.6	110	0.6	19-22	18-23	10-6	24-28	6-4	1L
Raptors	30	52	0.366	110.9	115.2	-4.3	18-23	12-29	8-8	21-31	5-5	2L
Nets	26	56	0.317	105.1	112.2	-7.1	12-29	14-27	3-13	14-37	3-7	3L
76ers	24	58	0.293	109.6	115.8	-6.2	12-29	12-29	3-13	15-37	1-9	2L
Hornets	19	63	0.232	105.1	114.2	-9.1	12-29	7-34	1-15	10-42	1-9	7L
Wizards	18	64	0.22	108	120.4	-12.4	8-33	10-31	7-9	13-39	2-8	1W

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	68	14	0.829	120.5	107.6	12.9	36-6	32-8	12-4	39-13	8-2	4W
Rockets	52	30	0.634	114.3	109.8	4.5	29-12	23-18	13-3	31-21	6-4	3L
Lakers	50	32	0.61	113.4	112.2	1.2	31-10	19-22	12-4	36-16	6-4	1L
Nuggets	50	32	0.61	120.8	116.9	3.9	26-15	24-17	8-8	32-20	5-5	3W
Clippers	50	32	0.61	112.9	108.2	4.7	30-11	20-21	9-7	29-23	9-1	8W
Warriors	48	34	0.585	113.8	110.5	3.3	24-17	24-17	5-11	29-23	7-3	1L
Timberwolves	49	33	0.598	114.3	109.3	5	25-16	24-17	11-5	33-19	8-2	3W
Grizzlies	48	34	0.585	121.7	116.9	4.8	26-15	22-19	11-5	27-24	4-6	1W
Kings	40	42	0.488	115.7	115.3	0.4	20-21	20-21	5-11	26-26	5-5	1W
Mavericks	39	43	0.476	114.2	115.4	-1.2	22-18	17-25	8-8	23-29	4-6	1L
Suns	36	46	0.439	113.6	116.6	-3	24-17	12-29	9-7	22-30	1-9	1L
Trail Blazers	36	46	0.439	110.9	113.9	-3	22-19	14-27	6-10	19-33	4-6	1W
Spurs	34	48	0.415	113.9	116.7	-2.8	20-21	14-27	5-11	22-30	3-7	1W
Pelicans	21	61	0.256	109.8	119.3	-9.5	14-27	7-34	3-13	13-38	2-8	7L
Jazz	17	65	0.207	111.9	121.2	-9.3	10-31	7-34	3-13	8-44	1-9	2L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	68	14	0.829	120.5	107.6	12.9	36-6	32-8	12-4	39-13	8-2	4W
Cavaliers	64	18	0.78	121.9	112.4	9.5	34-7	30-11	12-4	41-11	6-4	1L
Celtics	61	21	0.744	116.3	107.2	9.1	28-13	33-8	14-2	39-13	8-2	2W
Rockets	52	30	0.634	114.3	109.8	4.5	29-12	23-18	13-3	31-21	6-4	3L
Knicks	51	31	0.622	115.8	111.7	4.1	27-14	24-17	12-4	34-18	6-4	1W
Nuggets	50	32	0.61	120.8	116.9	3.9	26-15	24-17	8-8	32-20	5-5	3W
Pacers	50	32	0.61	117.4	115.1	2.3	29-12	21-20	10-6	29-22	8-2	1W
Lakers	50	32	0.61	113.4	112.2	1.2	31-10	19-22	12-4	36-16	6-4	1L
Clippers	50	32	0.61	112.9	108.2	4.7	30-11	20-21	9-7	29-23	9-1	8W
Timberwolves	49	33	0.598	114.3	109.3	5	25-16	24-17	11-5	33-19	8-2	3W
Grizzlies	48	34	0.585	121.7	116.9	4.8	26-15	22-19	11-5	27-24	4-6	1W
Bucks	48	34	0.585	115.5	113	2.5	28-14	20-20	9-7	31-21	8-2	8W
Warriors	48	34	0.585	113.8	110.5	3.3	24-17	24-17	5-11	29-23	7-3	1L
Pistons	44	38	0.537	115.5	113.6	1.9	22-19	22-19	5-11	29-23	4-6	2L
Magic	41	41	0.5	105.4	105.5	-0.1	22-19	19-22	12-4	31-21	7-3	1L
Hawks	40	42	0.488	118.2	119.3	-1.1	21-19	19-23	10-6	30-22	5-5	3W
Kings	40	42	0.488	115.7	115.3	0.4	20-21	20-21	5-11	26-26	5-5	1W
Bulls	39	43	0.476	117.8	119.4	-1.6	18-23	21-20	4-12	28-24	7-3	3W
Mavericks	39	43	0.476	114.2	115.4	-1.2	22-18	17-25	8-8	23-29	4-6	1L
Heat	37	45	0.451	110.6	110	0.6	19-22	18-23	10-6	24-28	6-4	1L
Suns	36	46	0.439	113.6	116.6	-3	24-17	12-29	9-7	22-30	1-9	1L
Trail Blazers	36	46	0.439	110.9	113.9	-3	22-19	14-27	6-10	19-33	4-6	1W
Spurs	34	48	0.415	113.9	116.7	-2.8	20-21	14-27	5-11	22-30	3-7	1W
Raptors	30	52	0.366	110.9	115.2	-4.3	18-23	12-29	8-8	21-31	5-5	2L
Nets	26	56	0.317	105.1	112.2	-7.1	12-29	14-27	3-13	14-37	3-7	3L
76ers	24	58	0.293	109.6	115.8	-6.2	12-29	12-29	3-13	15-37	1-9	2L
Pelicans	21	61	0.256	109.8	119.3	-9.5	14-27	7-34	3-13	13-38	2-8	7L
Hornets	19	63	0.232	105.1	114.2	-9.1	12-29	7-34	1-15	10-42	1-9	7L
Wizards	18	64	0.22	108	120.4	-12.4	8-33	10-31	7-9	13-39	2-8	1W
Jazz	17	65	0.207	111.9	121.2	-9.3	10-31	7-34	3-13	8-44	1-9	2L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

Next Predictions

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