South East Melbourne Phoenix vs New Zealand Breakers Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds

Phoenix Worthy Favorites

It’s time to go for South East Melbourne against the spread, especially with an attractive -7 line at 1.90. Our prediction is that this can be comfortably achieved in their meeting with New Zealand.

88-62 Phoenix Triumph in Previous H2H

South East Melbourne Phoenix won last time out by a 113-102 scoreline. It was on the road against Cairns Taipans.

New Zealand Breakers claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 85-75 win occurred against Tasmania JackJumpers.

The last head-to-head saw South East Melbourne claim a 88-62 win over New Zealand. It’s been six South East Melbourne wins in the past 10 games beween these teams.

NBL	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  SEM Phoenix	16	12	2694	2553	141	10-4	6-8	1W
9  NZ Breakers	10	18	2403	2554	-151	6-8	4-10	1W

View Full Standings

Expert NBL Analysis

The NBL recommendations are only made once we have established the latest team news. It’s also important to study the form and investigate the most relevant stats to get the full picture.

Key South East Melbourne vs New Zealand league stats:

• The -7 line has been covered by SEM Phoenix in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -7 line has been covered by SEM Phoenix in 3 consecutive games.
• The +7 line hasn’t been covered by NZ Breakers in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +7 line hasn’t been covered by NZ Breakers in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +7 line hasn’t been covered by NZ Breakers in 2 consecutive games on the road.

SEM Phoenix vs NZ Breakers Prediction

South East Melbourne are capable of covering the -7 line. We’re confident of a strong showing in this NBL contest and a bet on the point spread could be the best play at 1.90.

If you want bigger odds, then you can move the line by selling points. Choose how many points to sell until you are happy with the juice available.

Phoenix -7 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 52.6% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

Our Pick

SEM Phoenix -7 @ 1.90 Bet Now

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Player Props

Nathan Sobey Over 4.5 Assists 1.87

Nathan Sobey (South East Melbourne) can be wagered to have Over 4.5 assists at 1.87. He looks capable of covering the line and that leads us to taking this Player Assists bet.

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Matthew Hurt Under 7.5 Rebounds 1.75

Matthew Hurt (South East Melbourne) can be wagered to register Under 7.5 rebounds at 1.75. We’re pretty confident that this Player Rebounds wager will end up falling short of the line.

Correct Score Prediction

SEM Phoenix 98 - 88 NZ Breakers

Rather than betting on SEM Phoenix to win, there’s the option to try your luck when it comes to the correct score lines. Take a chance on a 98-88 triumph in their favor.

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs New Zealand Breakers Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Phoenix Favorites to Win According to the Books

South East Melbourne Phoenix are regarded as having a 75% chance of winning this NBL game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at 1.33. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, New Zealand Breakers are trading at 3.30.

The current spread is 7 and total points is 190.5. Basketball fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. Those expecting a low total can back Under 190.5 at 1.90.

Fans of the highest level basketball league in Australia and New Zealand are spoilt for choice thanks to the many game lines and team props which are available for every contest. Head to the betting sites and find the best value wagers.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

SEM Phoenix

1.33

NZ Breakers

3.30

Point Spread

SEM Phoenix -7

1.90

NZ Breakers +7

1.90

Total Points

Under 190.5

1.90

Over 190.5

1.90

Matthew Hurt Favorite to Get Most Points

Matthew Hurt is the market leader to rack up the most points. You can back 1.87 that this player gets Over 22.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at the same odds.

Player Points

Matthew Hurt (SEM Phoenix)

Over 22.5

1.87

Under 22.5

1.87

Nathan Sobey (SEM Phoenix)

Over 20.5

1.87

Under 20.5

1.87

Parker Jackson-Cartwright (NZ Breakers)

Over 18.5

1.87

Under 18.5

1.87

Sam Mennenga (NZ Breakers)

Over 15.5

1.92

Under 15.5

1.82

Joe Wieskamp (SEM Phoenix)

Over 13.5

1.87

Under 13.5

1.87

Tacko Fall (NZ Breakers)

Over 11.5

1.90

Under 11.5

1.85

Player Assists

Parker Jackson-Cartwright (NZ Breakers)

Over 6.5

1.85

Under 6.5

1.90

Nathan Sobey (SEM Phoenix)

Over 4.5

1.87

Under 4.5

1.87

Player Rebounds

Matthew Hurt (SEM Phoenix)

Over 7.5

2.00

Under 7.5

1.75

Tacko Fall (NZ Breakers)

Over 7.5

1.95

Under 7.5

1.80

Sam Mennenga (NZ Breakers)

Over 5.5

1.80

Under 5.5

1.95

Best Betting Offers

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest NBL regular season and play-off games stats.

NBL Table Select Season 2024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/20201997

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Illawarra Hawks	18	9	2750	2488	262	9-4	9-5	1W
2  Melbourne United	18	10	2668	2559	109	8-6	10-4	3W
3  Perth Wildcats	17	11	2791	2707	84	9-5	8-6	2W
4  SEM Phoenix	16	12	2694	2553	141	10-4	6-8	1W
5  Sydney Kings	16	12	2555	2462	93	7-7	9-5	2L
6  Adelaide 36ers	13	15	2632	2684	-52	9-6	4-9	2L
7  JackJumpers	12	16	2345	2470	-125	8-5	4-11	6L
8  Brisbane Bullets	12	16	2590	2738	-148	6-8	6-8	1W
9  NZ Breakers	10	18	2403	2554	-151	6-8	4-10	1W
10  Cairns Taipans	7	20	2378	2591	-213	3-11	4-9	1L

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