Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz Prediction, Lineups & Odds

Mainz to Cover the Line?

We’re expecting Mainz to perform really well against Dortmund and we’re wagering the away team +0.75 at 2.04 on the Asian Handicap. This means our stake is divided evenly between +0.5 and +1.0.

3-1 Victory for Mainz in Pair’s Previous H2H

Borussia Dortmund have suffered defeat in their last two games. Most recently, a 2-0 scoreline occurred on the road at Red Bull Arena Leipzig against RB Leipzig. The North Rhine-Westphalia club boasted 59% possession and recorded ten shots on target.

Mainz 05 played Freiburg at home in their previous game. It was a 2-2 draw at MEWA Arena. The 05ers were restricted to 45% possession and had four shots on goal, while Jonathan Burkardt and Andreas Hanche-Olsen found the net.

Mainz have claimed consecutive wins over Dortmund and both were home victories at MEWA Arena, featuring 3-1 and 3-0 scorelines. Dortmund have secured four wins, Mainz boast three wins and there have been three draws in the past 10 H2H meetings.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Mainz 05	30	13	8	9	48	36	12	48:36	47
7	Dortmund	30	13	6	11	57	47	10	57:47	45

View Full Table

Dortmund have 3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 16.1 attempts. Niko Kovac's team have averaged 64.3% possession, 586.1 passes and 7.3 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.6 goals from 4.3 shots on goal, 10.3 attempts and 3.7 corners.

Serhou Guirassy leads the way with 7 goals, Maximilian Beier has 2, with Karim Adeyemi and two others on 1. Leading assistor is Pascal Gross with 5, while goalkeeper Gregor Kobel has 2 clean sheets.

Mainz have won 5, lost 3 and drawn 2, averaging 3.9 shots on goal, 9.6 attempts and 1.4 goals. The Rhineland-Palatinate side average 50.9% possession, 451.6 passes, 3.9 corners taken and 4.6 corners against them, while 0.8 goals have been conceded from 12.1 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal.

Jonathan Burkardt and Nadiem Amiri have 3 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Paul Nebel on 2. Anthony Caci and Jae-Sung Lee are the top assist makers on 3, with Robin Zentner recording 4 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Borussia Dortmund confirmed lineup (3-4-1-2): Gregor Kobel (GK), Waldemar Anton, Emre Can, Nico Schlotterbeck, Yan Couto, Salih Özcan, Pascal Groß, Julian Ryerson, Julian Brandt, Karim Adeyemi, Maximilian Beier.

Mainz confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Robin Zentner (GK), Danny da Costa, Moritz Jenz, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Silvan Widmer, Kaishu Sano, Nadiem Amiri, Anthony Caci, Paul Nebel, Jae-Sung Lee, Jonathan Burkardt.

Expert Bundesliga Analysis

The team news that filters through can have a knock-on effect as far as the odds are concerned. We use this information along with the form guide, while the latest stats are also taken into consideration.

Key Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz league stats:

• The +0.75 line has been covered by Mainz in all of their last 5 games.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Mainz in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Mainz in 6 consecutive games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by BVB in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by BVB in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by BVB in 2 consecutive games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by BVB in 4 consecutive games against Mainz.

Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz Prediction

Mainz +0.75 at betting odds of 2.04 look like the best wager in this Bundesliga clash. There’s a growing confidence for this Asian Handicap pick and we expect the visitors to be competitive throughout this contest.

If you’re in the market to boost your price for Mainz covering the line, then think about adding this selection to a Bet Builder along with other legs that you like.

Mainz +0.75 Probability

According to the latest odds, there’s a 49% likelihood of our pick winning. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

Our Pick

Mainz Asian Hcp +0.75 @ 2.04 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Dortmund 2 - 2 Mainz

We think there’s a chance of a 2-2 draw and this can be backed at odds of 12.50. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.

Corners Prediction

Mainz Under 3.5 Corners 1.98

Mainz have had under 3.5 corners in three consecutive games, while the previous 10 Dortmund home matches have seen them concede an average of 2.90 corners. Let’s stick with this betting trend and back Mainz to go under the Team Corners line at a price of 1.98.

Corner Stats

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Dortmund

Total

11.00 7.30 3.70

Home

8.90 6.00 2.90

Away

10.50 5.50 5.00

Mainz

Total

8.50 3.90 4.60

Home

8.00 4.80 3.20

Away

10.10 3.90 6.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

1.73

Under 9.5

2.00

Dortmund Corners

Over 5.5

1.80

Under 5.5

1.91

Mainz Corners

Over 3.5

1.73

Under 3.5

2.00

Most Corners

1

1.46

X

6.75

2

3.05

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Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz Odds

With a 65% chance of winning, Borussia Dortmund are favourites to win this Bundesliga match and they’re available at betting odds of 1.55 with the bookies. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Mainz 05 are trading at 5.50.

A high-scoring match is a possibility and that is reflected in the Over 2.5 Goals odds. If you think both teams will score, then you can back BTTS Yes at 1.70.

To combine various Bundesliga selections within the same match, you will find football betting sites offer a Bet Builder. Start adding the picks you fancy until you’re happy with the overall payout.

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Team Stats

Team News

If you’re looking for Dortmund vs Mainz team news, then we have predicted and confirmed lineups available along with details of any injuries on both sides.

Getting the player information you need is easy thanks to the Bundesliga squads.

Borussia Dortmund Team Page Mainz 05 Team Page

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