Derby County FC

Football England - EFL Championship Pride Park Sat 3 May 19:30

Stoke City FC

  1. Prediction
  2. Odds
  3. Stats
  4. Team News
  5. Lineups
  6. Injuries
  7. Squads
  8. Table

Rams Value to Beat Potters

We’re heading to the Full-Time Result market and selecting Derby to land a victory, with odds of 2.00 looking generous. We think they should be able to overcome Stoke over ninety minutes.

Stoke Won 2-1 in Teams’ Last Meeting

Derby County have won back-to-back games. A 1-0 triumph recently occurred away at MKM Stadium when playing Hull City. The Rams ended up with just 37% possession and had two shots on target, with Nathaniel Phillips scoring a late winner.

Stoke City have now been defeated in back-to-back games. This includes losing at home to Sheffield United by a 2-0 scoreline. The Staffordshire side were 51% in the possession stakes and had three shots on goal.

The last clash between Stoke and Derby saw the former triumph at home. It was a 2-1 scoreline at Bet365 Stadium. Derby have secured three wins, Stoke boast two wins and there have been three draws in the past 8 H2H meetings.

Championship G W D L GF GA GD GD P
18 Stoke logo Stoke 45 12 14 19 45 62 -17 45:62 50
19 Derby logo Derby 45 13 10 22 48 56 -8 48:56 49
View Full Table
Derby County – Last 10 League Games

Derby have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 5.7 attempts. John Eustace's team have averaged 35.4% possession and 4.2 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.8 goals from 2.5 shots on goal, 7.7 attempts and 4.9 corners.

Top scorers Jerry Yates and Marcus Harness have found the net 3 times, with Ebou Adams getting 2. The leading assistors have been Nathaniel Phillips and Callum Elder with 3.

Stoke City – Last 10 League Games

Stoke have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.1 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 7.9 attempts. The Potters have averaged 46.5% possession, 4.3 corners taken and 4.2 corners against, while conceding 1.5 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts.

We’ve seen Million Manhoef, Lewis Baker and Sam Gallagher score 2 goals each. Jordan Thompson, Junior Tchamadeu and Lewis Baker have managed 1 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Derby confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Josh Vickers (GK), Sondre Klingen Langaas, Nathaniel Phillips, Matthew Clarke, Kane Wilson, Harrison Armstrong, Ebou Adams, Liam Thompson, Craig Forsyth, Jerry Yates, Marcus Harness.

Stoke confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Viktor Johansson (GK), Ashley Phillips, Ben Wilmot, Ben Gibson, Bosun Lawal, Lewis Baker, Wouter Burger, Joon-Ho Bae, Lynden Gooch, Ali Al Hamadi, Sam Gallagher.

Expert Championship Analysis

It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming action and the respective form of each team. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our football predictions.

Key Derby vs Stoke league stats:

  • Derby have won 3 of their last 5 games at home.
  • Derby have won 6 of their last 10 games.
  • Derby have won 2 consecutive games.
  • Stoke have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
  • Stoke have lost 12 of their last 20 games on the road.
  • Stoke have lost their last 2 games.

Derby vs Stoke Prediction

There’s a strong chance that we’ll see Derby record a victory and they are priced at 2.00 to win this Championship clash. We think that the latest odds offer bettors plenty of value.

If you think that Derby will have their noses in front by the interval, why not consider backing them to lead at half-time and full-time. There are some attractive odds available.

Derby to Win Probability

According to the latest odds, there’s a 50% likelihood of our pick winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Our Pick

Derby To Win @ 2.00 Bet Now bet365 logo
Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.
Published 23:38, 01 May 2025

Correct Score Prediction

Derby Derby logo 1 - 0 Stoke logo Stoke

A 1-0 win in favor of Derby is available at odds of 5.80. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.

Player Props

Jerry Yates Under 0.5 Shots On Target 1.64 bet365 logo

Jerry Yates (Derby) can be wagered to not record a shot on goal at 1.64. For those wanting to wager on Shots on Target, this player looks really appealing at the odds.

Latest Jerry Yates Player Prop Odds

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Jerry Yates to Score 4.40 bet365 logo

Jerry Yates (Derby) has registered two goals in his past five Championship games. This statistic guides us towards Anytime Goalscorer where we’re able to back him to find the net at appealing odds of 4.40.

Latest Jerry Yates Player Prop Odds

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Corners Prediction

Derby Under 5.5 Corners 1.91 bet365 logo

It’s been under 5.5 corners for Derby in 8 of their past 10 matches, while Stoke have conceded less than 5.5 corners in four straight games. There is value when it comes to going under the Derby Team Corners line and this is available at 1.91.

Corner Stats

League Games
Last 10 Total For Against
Last 10 at Home Total For Against
Last 10 Away Total For Against
Derby Logo Derby
Total
9.10 4.20 4.90
Home
9.30 4.80 4.50
Away
8.80 4.20 4.60
Stoke Logo Stoke
Total
8.50 4.30 4.20
Home
8.00 4.10 3.90
Away
8.90 3.30 5.60

Latest Corner Odds

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Derby vs Stoke Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Match Odds Suggest Derby Win

Derby County are the 2.10 favourites and that means a 48% chance of winning this Championship match according to the betting odds at the bookies. The market suggests that Stoke City are least likely to win at 3.90.

The Total Goals market is popular and Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds right now. As long as one team or more fail to score, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market will pay out at 1.67.

The Draw No Bet market is popular for Championship matches, with the football betting sites offering Derby County at 1.44 and Stoke City are priced at 2.63 for the win.

Kayden Jackson Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

Kayden Jackson is priced at 7.50 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of 4.30 to find the net anytime.

Player Goals

Kayden Jackson (Derby)
First
7.50
Anytime
4.30
bet365 Logo
Jerry Yates (Derby)
First
8.00
Anytime
4.40
bet365 Logo
Marcus Harness (Derby)
First
8.50
Anytime
4.70
bet365 Logo
Ali Al-Hamadi (Stoke)
First
9.50
Anytime
5.00
bet365 Logo

Player Shots On Target

Kayden Jackson (Derby)
Over 0.5
1.85
Under 0.5
1.71
bet365 Logo
Jerry Yates (Derby)
Over 0.5
1.96
Under 0.5
1.62
bet365 Logo
Ali Al-Hamadi (Stoke)
Over 0.5
2.30
Under 0.5
1.44
bet365 Logo
Marcus Harness (Derby)
Over 0.5
2.33
Under 0.5
1.42
bet365 Logo

Player Shots

Kayden Jackson (Derby)
Over 2.5
2.23
Under 2.5
0.00
bet365 Logo
Jerry Yates (Derby)
Over 2.5
2.25
Under 2.5
0.00
bet365 Logo
Marcus Harness (Derby)
Over 1.5
1.96
Under 1.5
0.00
bet365 Logo
Ali Al-Hamadi (Stoke)
Over 1.5
1.93
Under 1.5
0.00
bet365 Logo

Best Betting Offers

Team Stats

Derby logo Derby League Stats

Stoke logo Stoke League Stats

Full-Time Result

  • 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 matches
  • 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

  • 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 matches
  • 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 away matches

Goals

Goals

Corners

Corners

Possession

Possession

Top Scorers & Assists

Top Scorers & Assists

Team News

Our Derby vs Stoke team news will highlight the injuries for both squads, with the lineups giving you a helping hand with your bets.

The Championship squad information is a great asset when it comes to making your bets.

Derby vs Stoke Lineups

Derby Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2

Stoke Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2

Derby Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2

31 Josh Vickers
6 S. Klingen Langaas 12 Nathaniel Phillips 25 Matthew Clarke
2 Kane Wilson 28 Harrison Armstrong 32 Ebou Adams 16 Liam Thompson 3 Craig Forsyth
10 Jerry Yates 18 Marcus Harness
1 Viktor Johansson
26 Ashley Phillips 16 Ben Wilmot 23 Ben Gibson
18 Bosun Lawal 8 Lewis Baker 6 Wouter Burger 10 Joon-Ho Bae 2 Lynden Gooch
9 Ali Al Hamadi 20 Sam Gallagher

Stoke Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2

Derby Substitutes

  • 7Tom Barkhuizen
  • 8Ben Osborn
  • 9Kemar Roofe
  • 11N. Mendez-Laing
  • 13Rohan Luthra
  • 17Kenzo Goudmijn
  • 19Kayden Jackson
  • 27C. Blackett-Taylor
  • 33Erik Pieters

Stoke Substitutes

  • 4Ben Pearson
  • 11Lewis Koumas
  • 12Tatsuki Seko
  • 13Jack Bonham
  • 24Andrew Moran
  • 35Nathan Lowe
  • 42Million Manhoef
  • 56Favour Fawunmi
  • 57Jake Griffin

Previous Derby Lineups

26 Apr Championship
Hull 0-1 Derby
21 Apr Championship
West Brom 1-3 Derby
18 Apr Championship
Derby 0-1 Luton
12 Apr Championship
Portsmouth 2-2 Derby
09 Apr Championship
Derby 0-0 Burnley
05 Apr Championship
Swansea 1-0 Derby

Previous Stoke Lineups

26 Apr Championship
Stoke 0-2 Sheffield Utd
21 Apr Championship
Leeds 6-0 Stoke
18 Apr Championship
Stoke 2-0 Sheffield Wed
12 Apr Championship
Cardiff 0-1 Stoke
09 Apr Championship
Stoke 1-1 Luton
05 Apr Championship
Preston 1-1 Stoke

Injuries & Suspensions

Derby Injury Table

Type Name Info
Callum Elder Other
Ryan Nyambe Hamstring
David Ozoh Thigh
Dajaune Brown Hamstring
L. Salvesen Cruciate ligame
Curtis Nelson Knee

Stoke Injury Table

Type Name Info
Enda Stevens Knock

England FlagChampionship Table

2024/2025 Season

# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Leeds 45 28 13 4 93:29 97
2 Burnley 45 27 16 2 66:15 97
3 Sheffield Utd 45 28 7 10 62:35 89
4 Sunderland 45 21 13 11 58:43 76
5 Bristol City 45 17 16 12 57:53 67
6 Coventry 45 19 9 17 62:58 66
7 Millwall 45 18 12 15 46:46 66
8 Blackburn 45 19 8 18 52:47 65
9 Middlesbrough 45 18 10 17 64:54 64
10 West Brom 45 14 19 12 52:44 61
11 Swansea 45 17 9 19 48:53 60
12 Sheffield Wed 45 15 12 18 59:68 57
13 Watford 45 16 8 21 52:60 56
14 Norwich 45 13 15 17 67:66 54
15 QPR 45 13 14 18 52:63 53
16 Portsmouth 45 14 11 20 57:70 53
17 Oxford 45 13 13 19 46:62 52
18 Stoke 45 12 14 19 45:62 50
19 Derby 45 13 10 22 48:56 49
20 Preston 45 10 19 16 46:57 49
21 Luton 45 13 10 22 42:64 49
22 Hull 45 12 12 21 43:53 48
23 Plymouth 45 11 13 21 50:86 46
24 Cardiff 45 9 17 19 46:69 44
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Leeds 23 18 4 1 61:12 58
2 Burnley 22 13 9 0 32:7 48
3 Sheffield Utd 22 15 3 4 32:16 48
4 Bristol City 22 13 6 3 34:18 45
5 Sunderland 22 12 7 3 32:17 43
6 Coventry 22 13 3 6 38:24 42
7 Blackburn 23 12 4 7 34:23 40
8 Millwall 23 12 4 7 27:19 40
9 Portsmouth 22 11 6 5 32:20 39
10 Middlesbrough 23 11 6 6 31:23 39
11 Watford 22 12 3 7 26:21 39
12 West Brom 22 10 8 4 28:17 38
13 Oxford 23 11 5 7 31:29 38
14 Norwich 22 9 8 5 48:32 35
15 Swansea 22 10 5 7 30:21 35
16 Luton 23 9 7 7 25:22 34
17 Plymouth 22 9 7 6 39:37 34
18 Stoke 23 8 9 6 29:25 33
19 Preston 23 7 12 4 26:22 33
20 Derby 22 9 4 9 25:18 31
21 QPR 23 7 8 8 31:34 29
22 Cardiff 23 7 6 10 24:27 27
23 Sheffield Wed 23 6 8 9 30:32 26
24 Hull 23 5 8 10 24:28 23