Derby vs Stoke Prediction, Lineups & Odds
Rams Value to Beat Potters
We’re heading to the Full-Time Result market and selecting Derby to land a victory, with odds of 2.00 looking generous. We think they should be able to overcome Stoke over ninety minutes.
Stoke Won 2-1 in Teams’ Last Meeting
Derby County have won back-to-back games. A 1-0 triumph recently occurred away at MKM Stadium when playing Hull City. The Rams ended up with just 37% possession and had two shots on target, with Nathaniel Phillips scoring a late winner.
Stoke City have now been defeated in back-to-back games. This includes losing at home to Sheffield United by a 2-0 scoreline. The Staffordshire side were 51% in the possession stakes and had three shots on goal.
The last clash between Stoke and Derby saw the former triumph at home. It was a 2-1 scoreline at Bet365 Stadium. Derby have secured three wins, Stoke boast two wins and there have been three draws in the past 8 H2H meetings.
Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | ![]() |
45 | 12 | 14 | 19 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 45:62 | 50 |
19 | ![]() |
45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 48:56 | 49 |
Derby have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 5.7 attempts. John Eustace's team have averaged 35.4% possession and 4.2 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.8 goals from 2.5 shots on goal, 7.7 attempts and 4.9 corners.
Top scorers Jerry Yates and Marcus Harness have found the net 3 times, with Ebou Adams getting 2. The leading assistors have been Nathaniel Phillips and Callum Elder with 3.
Stoke City – Last 10 League GamesStoke have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.1 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 7.9 attempts. The Potters have averaged 46.5% possession, 4.3 corners taken and 4.2 corners against, while conceding 1.5 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts.
We’ve seen Million Manhoef, Lewis Baker and Sam Gallagher score 2 goals each. Jordan Thompson, Junior Tchamadeu and Lewis Baker have managed 1 assists in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Derby confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Josh Vickers (GK), Sondre Klingen Langaas, Nathaniel Phillips, Matthew Clarke, Kane Wilson, Harrison Armstrong, Ebou Adams, Liam Thompson, Craig Forsyth, Jerry Yates, Marcus Harness.
Stoke confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Viktor Johansson (GK), Ashley Phillips, Ben Wilmot, Ben Gibson, Bosun Lawal, Lewis Baker, Wouter Burger, Joon-Ho Bae, Lynden Gooch, Ali Al Hamadi, Sam Gallagher.
Expert Championship Analysis
It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming action and the respective form of each team. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our football predictions.
Key Derby vs Stoke league stats:
Derby vs Stoke Prediction
There’s a strong chance that we’ll see Derby record a victory and they are priced at 2.00 to win this Championship clash. We think that the latest odds offer bettors plenty of value.
If you think that Derby will have their noses in front by the interval, why not consider backing them to lead at half-time and full-time. There are some attractive odds available.
Derby to Win Probability
According to the latest odds, there’s a 50% likelihood of our pick winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.
Our Pick
Derby To Win @ 2.00
Correct Score Prediction
A 1-0 win in favor of Derby is available at odds of 5.80. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.
Latest Correct Score Odds
Player Props
Jerry Yates (Derby) can be wagered to not record a shot on goal at 1.64. For those wanting to wager on Shots on Target, this player looks really appealing at the odds.
Latest Jerry Yates Player Prop Odds


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Jerry Yates (Derby) has registered two goals in his past five Championship games. This statistic guides us towards Anytime Goalscorer where we’re able to back him to find the net at appealing odds of 4.40.
Latest Jerry Yates Player Prop Odds


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Corners Prediction
It’s been under 5.5 corners for Derby in 8 of their past 10 matches, while Stoke have conceded less than 5.5 corners in four straight games. There is value when it comes to going under the Derby Team Corners line and this is available at 1.91.
Corner Stats


Latest Corner Odds




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Derby vs Stoke Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Latest Match Odds Suggest Derby Win
Derby County are the 2.10 favourites and that means a 48% chance of winning this Championship match according to the betting odds at the bookies. The market suggests that Stoke City are least likely to win at 3.90.
The Total Goals market is popular and Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds right now. As long as one team or more fail to score, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market will pay out at 1.67.
The Draw No Bet market is popular for Championship matches, with the football betting sites offering Derby County at 1.44 and Stoke City are priced at 2.63 for the win.







Kayden Jackson Favourite to Be First Goalscorer
Kayden Jackson is priced at 7.50 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of 4.30 to find the net anytime.
Player Goals




Player Shots On Target




Player Shots




Best Betting Offers
Derby
Head to Head
Derby vs Stoke
- Championship: 02/11 2024 Stoke 2 Derby 1
- Championship: 30/12 2021 Stoke 1 Derby 2
- Championship: 18/09 2021 Derby 2 Stoke 1
- Championship: 20/03 2021 Stoke 1 Derby 0
- Championship: 12/12 2020 Derby 0 Stoke 0
- Championship: 31/01 2020 Derby 4 Stoke 0
- Championship: 17/08 2019 Stoke 2 Derby 2
- Championship: 13/03 2019 Derby 0 Stoke 0
Team Stats
Derby League Stats
Stoke League Stats
Full-Time Result
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 home matches
Full-Time Result
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 away matches
Goals
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.60 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 1 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 1 of the previous 10 home matches
Goals
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 2.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
Corners
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 4.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
Corners
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 corners awarded and 5.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
Possession
- An average of 35.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 43.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 0 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
Possession
- An average of 46.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 46.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 away matches
Team News
Our Derby vs Stoke team news will highlight the injuries for both squads, with the lineups giving you a helping hand with your bets.
The Championship squad information is a great asset when it comes to making your bets.
Derby vs Stoke Lineups
Derby Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Stoke Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Derby Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Stoke Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Derby Substitutes
- 7Tom Barkhuizen
- 8Ben Osborn
- 9Kemar Roofe
- 11N. Mendez-Laing
- 13Rohan Luthra
- 17Kenzo Goudmijn
- 19Kayden Jackson
- 27C. Blackett-Taylor
- 33Erik Pieters
Stoke Substitutes
- 4Ben Pearson
- 11Lewis Koumas
- 12Tatsuki Seko
- 13Jack Bonham
- 24Andrew Moran
- 35Nathan Lowe
- 42Million Manhoef
- 56Favour Fawunmi
- 57Jake Griffin
Previous Derby Lineups
Previous Stoke Lineups
Championship Table
2024/2025 Season
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Leeds | 45 | 28 | 13 | 4 | 93:29 | 97 |
2 | Burnley | 45 | 27 | 16 | 2 | 66:15 | 97 |
3 | Sheffield Utd | 45 | 28 | 7 | 10 | 62:35 | 89 |
4 | Sunderland | 45 | 21 | 13 | 11 | 58:43 | 76 |
5 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 16 | 12 | 57:53 | 67 |
6 | Coventry | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 62:58 | 66 |
7 | Millwall | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 46:46 | 66 |
8 | Blackburn | 45 | 19 | 8 | 18 | 52:47 | 65 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 18 | 10 | 17 | 64:54 | 64 |
10 | West Brom | 45 | 14 | 19 | 12 | 52:44 | 61 |
11 | Swansea | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 48:53 | 60 |
12 | Sheffield Wed | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59:68 | 57 |
13 | Watford | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52:60 | 56 |
14 | Norwich | 45 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 67:66 | 54 |
15 | QPR | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 52:63 | 53 |
16 | Portsmouth | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 57:70 | 53 |
17 | Oxford | 45 | 13 | 13 | 19 | 46:62 | 52 |
18 | Stoke | 45 | 12 | 14 | 19 | 45:62 | 50 |
19 | Derby | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 48:56 | 49 |
20 | Preston | 45 | 10 | 19 | 16 | 46:57 | 49 |
21 | Luton | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 42:64 | 49 |
22 | Hull | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 43:53 | 48 |
23 | Plymouth | 45 | 11 | 13 | 21 | 50:86 | 46 |
24 | Cardiff | 45 | 9 | 17 | 19 | 46:69 | 44 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Leeds | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 61:12 | 58 |
2 | Burnley | 22 | 13 | 9 | 0 | 32:7 | 48 |
3 | Sheffield Utd | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 32:16 | 48 |
4 | Bristol City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 34:18 | 45 |
5 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 32:17 | 43 |
6 | Coventry | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 38:24 | 42 |
7 | Blackburn | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 34:23 | 40 |
8 | Millwall | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 27:19 | 40 |
9 | Portsmouth | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 32:20 | 39 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 31:23 | 39 |
11 | Watford | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 26:21 | 39 |
12 | West Brom | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 28:17 | 38 |
13 | Oxford | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 38 |
14 | Norwich | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 48:32 | 35 |
15 | Swansea | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 30:21 | 35 |
16 | Luton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 25:22 | 34 |
17 | Plymouth | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 39:37 | 34 |
18 | Stoke | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 29:25 | 33 |
19 | Preston | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 26:22 | 33 |
20 | Derby | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 25:18 | 31 |
21 | QPR | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 31:34 | 29 |
22 | Cardiff | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 24:27 | 27 |
23 | Sheffield Wed | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 30:32 | 26 |
24 | Hull | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 24:28 | 23 |
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