Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction, Lineups & Odds
Back a Close Game
We’ll chance Atlético Mineiro +0.25 on the Asian Handicap and divide our stake between 0 and +0.5 when they meet Grêmio. A win delivers a payout at 1.84 although a draw would still land a return.
Atlético Claimed 2-1 Victory in Last H2H
Grêmio lost their last game, being beaten 3-0 at home to Corinthians. The Immortal Tricolor ended up with just 34% possession and had four shots on target.
Atlético Mineiro won their previous game, beating Athletico Paranaense at home. It was a 1-0 triumph. The Belo Horizonte side enjoyed 55% possession and had seven shots on goal, with Rubens on target in the 73rd minute.
Atlético have three consecutive wins against Grêmio. In the last clash, Atlético bagged a 2-1 victory as the home side. The previous 10 H2H games have included five wins for Atlético, four triumphs for Grêmio and a single draw.
Serie A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | ![]() |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6:8 | 6 |
18 | ![]() |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5:11 | 5 |
Grêmio have 2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 8.1 attempts. The Porto Alegre club have averaged 44.1% possession and 4.6 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.5 goals from 5.8 shots on goal, 13.5 attempts and 6.4 corners.
Top goalscorer Martin Braithwaite has found the net 3 times, with Joao Pedro, Franco Cristaldo, Reinaldo and Yeferson Soteldo scoring 1 each. Leading assistor is Joao Pedro with 2.
Atlético Mineiro – Last 10 League GamesAtlético have won 1, lost 5 and drawn 4, averaging 8.6 attempts, 3.6 shots on goal and 0.7 goals. Cuca's team average 52.0% possession, 4.2 corners awarded and 5.3 corners against them, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 4.1 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts.
Eduardo Vargas and Paulinho have top scored with 2 goals, while Rubens is next on 1. Eduardo Vargas, Hulk and Brahian Palacios have clocked up 1 assists each in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Grêmio confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Tiago Volpi (GK), Igor Serrote, Jemerson, Wagner Leonardo, Lucas Esteves, Camilo, Mathias Villasanti, Cristian Olivera, Edenilson, Francis Amuzu, Matias Arezo.
Atlético Mineiro confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Everson (GK), Natanael, Lyanco, Junior Alonso, Guilherme Arana, Gustavo Scarpa, Alan Franco, Gabriel Menino, Tomas Cuello, Rony, Hulk.
Expert Serie A Analysis
Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the form guide are important duties ahead of making football picks. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can be effective.
Key Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro league stats:
Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction
Wager on Atlético Mineiro +0.25 on the Asian Handicap at 1.84 for this Serie A game. We’re keen on their prospects of outperforming their match winner price and this wager looks like good value.
If you want a different wager to the Asian Handicap, then Winning Margin provides an exciting alternative. That’s especially if you have a view on the performance of Atlético.
Atlético +0.25 Probability
According to the betting sites, our pick has a 54.3% chance of landing a return. However, our tipsters research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.
Our Pick
Atlético MG Asian Hcp +0.25 @ 1.84
Correct Score Prediction
Atlético are available to back at 11.00 to secure a 2-1 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.
Latest Correct Score Odds
Corners Prediction
The 4.5 corners line has been covered by Atlético Mineiro in three consecutive matches, with Grêmio conceding over 4.5 corners in their past four games. The latest stats suggest that it’s worth backing Atlético Mineiro to cover the Team Corners line, with 2.10 available.
Corner Stats


Latest Corner Odds




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Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro Odds
Atlético Mineiro are available at betting odds of 3.20 to win away to Grêmio, with the home side trading at 2.50 with the bookies. Should you wish to back the draw, it’s on offer at 3.00 for this Serie A encounter.
The Total Goals market is popular and Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds right now. When it comes to Both Teams to Score, it’s anyone’s guess as to whether Yes or No will pay out on this market.
There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Serie A coupon and we recommend visiting the leading betting sites to find the bet that matches your view on the game.
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Full Time Result
1
2.50
X
3.00
2
3.20
-
Half Time Result
1
3.25
X
2.00
2
3.75
-
Double Chance
1X
1.36
12
1.36
X2
1.50
-
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.95
No
1.80
-
Draw No Bet
1
1.67
2
2.10
-
Asian Handicap
1 Hcp -0.25
2.13
2 Hcp +0.25
1.78
-
Total Goals
Under 2.5
1.57
Over 2.5
2.35
-
Total Corners
Under 9.5
2.00
Over 9.5
1.73
Best Betting Offers
Grêmio
Head to Head
Grêmio vs Atlético MG
- Serie A: 10/10 2024 Atlético MG 2 Grêmio 1
- Serie A: 01/09 2024 Grêmio 2 Atlético MG 3
- Serie A: 26/11 2023 Atlético MG 3 Grêmio 0
- Serie A: 23/07 2023 Grêmio 1 Atlético MG 0
- Serie A: 10/12 2021 Grêmio 4 Atlético MG 3
- Serie A: 04/11 2021 Atlético MG 2 Grêmio 1
- Serie A: 20/01 2021 Grêmio 1 Atlético MG 1
- Serie A: 27/09 2020 Atlético MG 3 Grêmio 1
- Serie A: 14/10 2019 Atlético MG 1 Grêmio 4
- Serie A: 26/05 2019 Grêmio 1 Atlético MG 0
Team Stats
Grêmio Stats
Atlético Mineiro Stats
Full time Result
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draws in previous 10 home matches
Full time Results
- 1 wins, 5 defeats and 4 draws in previous 10 matches
- 1 wins, 5 defeats and 4 draws in previous 10 away matches
Goals
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
Goals
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
Corners
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 6.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
Corners
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 5.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 5.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
Team News
If you’re looking for Grêmio vs Atlético team news, then we have predicted and confirmed lineups available along with details of any injuries on both sides.
The Serie A squad information is a great asset when it comes to making your bets.
Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro Lineups
Grêmio Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Atlético Mineiro Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Grêmio Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Atlético Mineiro Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Grêmio Substitutes
- 2Joao Lucas
- 5Rodrigo Ely
- 7Cristian Pavon
- 10Franco Cristaldo
- 11Miguel Monsalve
- 12Gabriel Grando
- 16Alexander Aravena
- 17Dodi
- 18Joao Pedro
- 44Viery
- 53Gustavo Martins
- 77Andre
Atlético Mineiro Substitutes
- 1Gabriel Delfim
- 8Fausto Vera
- 11Bernard
- 14Vitor Hugo
- 16Igor Rabello
- 17Igor Gomes
- 19Joao Marcelo
- 20Patrick Silva
- 26Renzo Saravia
- 37Junior Santos
- 38Caio Paulista
- 44Rubens
Previous Grêmio Lineups
Previous Atlético Mineiro Lineups
Brazil Serie A Table
2025 Season
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Flamengo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15:2 | 14 |
2 | Palmeiras | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 13 |
3 | Bragantino | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 13 |
4 | Cruzeiro | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 10 |
5 | Fluminense | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 10 |
6 | Internacional | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 9 |
7 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | 9 |
8 | Botafogo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:4 | 8 |
9 | Ceará | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 8 |
10 | São Paulo | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6:5 | 8 |
11 | Vasco da Gama | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
12 | Corinthians | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 7 |
13 | Juventude | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:14 | 7 |
14 | Mirassol | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 11:9 | 7 |
15 | Fortaleza | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 6 |
16 | Vitória | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:9 | 6 |
17 | Atlético MG | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
18 | Grêmio | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | 5 |
19 | Santos | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 4 |
20 | Sport Recife | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | 2 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Cruzeiro | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 9 |
2 | Flamengo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:1 | 7 |
3 | Botafogo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
4 | Juventude | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
5 | Ceará | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
6 | Vasco da Gama | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
7 | Bragantino | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
8 | Fluminense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
9 | Internacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 6 |
10 | Corinthians | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 6 |
11 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 5 |
12 | Bahia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
13 | São Paulo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
14 | Atlético MG | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
15 | Santos | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 4 |
16 | Fortaleza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
17 | Palmeiras | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:1 | 4 |
18 | Vitória | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
19 | Grêmio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 4 |
20 | Sport Recife | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
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