León vs Toluca Prediction, Lineups & Odds
Can the Underdogs Make it a Close Contest?
León look a good bet to defeat Toluca and we can back the home team at 1.83 with a +0.25 goal start on the Asian Handicap. This means splitting the stake equally between 0 and +0.5 in the quest for a return.
Last H2H Encounter Ended in a 2-2 Draw
Club León won last time out by a 2-1 scoreline. Away from home against Pachuca at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, they made it five victories on the spin. Eduardo Berizzo's side had 46% possession and four shots on target, while Jhonder Cadiz and Stiven Mendoza scored one goal apiece.
Deportivo Toluca won their previous game which was at home. It was a 1-0 triumph at Estadio Nemesio Diez against Tigres UANL. Los Diablos Rojos racked up six shots on goal and enjoyed 67% possession, with Paulinho striking late with the winner.
We saw León draw 2-2 away to Toluca at Estadio Nemesio Diez when the teams last went head-to-head. The previous 10 H2H games have resulted in six draws and two wins apiece.
Liga MX | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | ![]() |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 41:22 | 37 |
6 | ![]() |
17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 24:21 | 30 |
6 wins, 1 loss and 3 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 8.3 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal. Club León have had 49.9% possession and 5.2 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.8 goals from 10.2 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal, while earning 6.1 corners.
Jhonder Cadiz is the top goalscorer with 4, Stiven Mendoza has 3, with Emiliano Ariel Rigoni and two other players on 1. Ivan Moreno and Jose David Ramirez are the top assists makers with 2.
Toluca – Last 10 League GamesDeportivo Toluca have 3 victories, 4 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 1.5 goals from 12.6 attempts and 6.1 shots on goal. Antonio Mohamed's team average 53.6% possession, 3.8 corners awarded and 4.3 corners against them, while conceding 1.4 goals from 8.7 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal.
Paulinho has scored 5, followed by Helio Junio, Alexis Vega and Jesus Gallardo with 2 goals apiece. Alexis Vega has managed to clock up 6 assists in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
León confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Oscar Jimenez (GK), Jose David Ramirez, Jaine Barreiro, Paul Bellon, Salvador Reyes, Rodrigo Echeverria, Nicolas Fonseca, James Rodriguez, Angel Estrada, Stiven Mendoza, Jhonder Cadiz.
Toluca confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Pau Lopez (GK), Diego Barbosa, Bruno Mendez, Luan Garcia, Jesus Gallardo, Marcel Ruiz, Franco Romero, Helio Junio, Jesus Angulo, Alexis Vega, Paulinho.
Expert Liga MX Analysis
Our team of football experts monitor the current injuries and suspensions. When integrated with the latest form, this helps us secure the value odds. Our data-led approach backed up by key stats always proves useful.
Key León vs Toluca league stats:
León vs Toluca Prediction
We’ll split our stake by backing León +0.25 at odds of 1.83 for this Asian Handicap wager. There’s every chance that we see a strong performance from the home team in this Liga MX encounter.
There’s often the option to sell goals and that allows you to leverage a bigger potential return. Conversely, buying goals will give you a less-risky bet but shorter odds.
León +0.25 Probability
According to the latest odds, our pick has a 54.8% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
Our Pick
León Asian Hcp +0.25 @ 1.83
Correct Score Prediction
León are available at 11.00 to win by a 1-0 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.
Latest Correct Score Odds
Corners Prediction
The 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in six consecutive Toluca away matches. It stands to reason that the line won’t be reached and you can secure odds of 2.10 for this Total Corners bet.
Corner Stats


Latest Corner Odds




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León vs Toluca Odds
Bookies favourites Deportivo Toluca are regarded as the likeliest winners for this Liga MX game and the 2.25 about them triumphing means a 44% chance of winning based on their current betting odds. For those wanting to back Club León, you will find 3.10 about this outsider.
Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now. The Yes option in the Both Teams to Score market is regarded as the most likely outcome and is trading at 1.57.
Should you want to back Club León to win this Liga MX match, then there is 2.20 available on the Draw No Bet market, with Deportivo Toluca chalked at 1.62.







Best Betting Offers
León
Head to Head
León vs Toluca
- Liga MX: 03/11 2024 Toluca 2 León 2
- Liga MX: 04/02 2024 Toluca 4 León 1
- Liga MX: 22/10 2023 León 1 Toluca 0
- Liga MX: 29/01 2023 Toluca 0 León 0
- Liga MX: 27/07 2022 León 0 Toluca 1
- Liga MX: 02/05 2022 León 4 Toluca 4
- Liga MX: 31/10 2021 Toluca 0 León 0
- Liga MX: 10/05 2021 León 4 Toluca 6
- Liga MX: 05/04 2021 León 2 Toluca 1
- Liga MX: 08/11 2020 Toluca 2 León 2
Team Stats
León League Stats
Toluca League Stats
Full-Time Result
- 6 wins, 1 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 1 defeats and 5 draws in previous 10 home matches
Full-Time Result
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 away matches
Goals
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
Goals
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
Corners
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 6.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 4.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
Corners
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 4.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
Possession
- An average of 49.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
Possession
- An average of 53.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches
Team News
Our León vs Toluca team news will highlight the injuries for both squads, with the lineups giving you a helping hand with your bets.
The Liga MX squad information is a great asset when it comes to making your bets.
León vs Toluca Lineups
León Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Deportivo Toluca Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
León Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Deportivo Toluca Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
León Substitutes
- 1Alfonso Blanco
- 2Mauricio Isais
- 5Sebastian Fierro
- 7Ivan Moreno
- 8E. Ariel Rigoni
- 14Ettson Ayon
- 15Edgar Guerra
- 17Jesus Hernandez
- 18Andres Guardado
- 24Carlos Cisneros
Deportivo Toluca Substitutes
- 3Antonio Briseno
- 6Federico Pereira
- 7Juan Dominguez
- 12Isaias Violante
- 16Hector Herrera
- 17Brian Garcia
- 19Ivan Lopez
- 22Luis Garcia
- 24Frankie Amaya
- 31Robert Morales
Previous León Lineups
Previous Toluca Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
León Injury Table
Toluca Injury Table
Liga MX Table
2024/2025 Season
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Toluca | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 41:22 | 37 |
2 | América | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 34:10 | 34 |
3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 26:16 | 33 |
4 | Tigres | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 24:14 | 33 |
5 | Necaxa | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 36:29 | 31 |
6 | León | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 24:21 | 30 |
7 | Monterrey | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 32:23 | 28 |
8 | Pachuca | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:23 | 28 |
9 | Juárez | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 16:21 | 24 |
10 | Pumas | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23:26 | 21 |
11 | Guadalajara | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:21 | 21 |
12 | Querétaro | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:24 | 20 |
13 | Tijuana | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 29:35 | 19 |
14 | Atlas | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 25:32 | 18 |
15 | San Luis | 17 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 20:33 | 18 |
16 | Mazatlán | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16:26 | 17 |
17 | Puebla | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12:25 | 9 |
18 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 15:36 | 7 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Tigres | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18:6 | 24 |
2 | Toluca | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21:9 | 20 |
3 | América | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 22:5 | 18 |
4 | Cruz Azul | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 18 |
5 | Pachuca | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 18 |
6 | Monterrey | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 16 |
7 | León | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 16 |
8 | Guadalajara | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 15 |
9 | Necaxa | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18:16 | 15 |
10 | Juárez | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:12 | 15 |
11 | Querétaro | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 13 |
12 | Mazatlán | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:11 | 13 |
13 | Pumas | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:8 | 12 |
14 | San Luis | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:15 | 12 |
15 | Tijuana | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 17:19 | 9 |
16 | Atlas | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15:20 | 9 |
17 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:17 | 6 |
18 | Puebla | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:12 | 4 |
Liga MX Predictions
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