Marseille vs Lens Prediction, Lineups & Odds
We’re Expecting the Net to Bulge Several Times
The odds of 1.62 look too big to resist when it comes to wagering Over 2.5 Goals. We are confident of a return when Marseille clash with Lens and the Total Goals market gives us a nice betting angle.
Marseille Claimed 3-1 Victory in Last H2H
Marseille have enjoyed three consecutive home wins at Stade Orange Velodrome. Last time out, Nantes were beaten 2-0. OM boasted a whopping 75% of possession and recorded five shots on target, while Amine Gouiri and Mason Greenwood scored one goal each.
RC Lens have been defeated in four consecutive games. They were recently beaten at home to Le Havre by a 4-3 scoreline at Stade Bollaert-Delelis. The Pas-de-Calais side enjoyed 68% possession and managed seven shots on goal, with Neil El Aynaoui, Ruben Aguilar and Florian Sotoca on the scoresheet.
Marseille have beaten Lens in the last two head-to-head encounters. The most recent triumph saw them win 3-1 away at Stade Bollaert-Delelis after a 2-1 home success at Stade Orange Velodrome. The previous 9 H2H games have included five wins for Lens, three triumphs for Marseille and a single draw.
Ligue 1 | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | ![]() |
30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 62:42 | 55 |
8 | ![]() |
30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 35:33 | 45 |
Marseille have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 2.1 goals from 6.8 shots on goal and 16.2 attempts. Roberto De Zerbi's team have averaged 69.1% possession, 724.2 passes and 6.6 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.2 goals from 3.3 shots on goal, 7.5 attempts and 2.9 corners.
Top scorer is Mason Greenwood on 5 goals, while Adrien Rabiot has racked up 4 and Amine Gouiri 3. Leading assistors have been Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg and Amine Gouiri with 3, while goalkeeper Geronimo Rulli has 2 clean sheets.
Lens – Last 10 League GamesLens have 3 victories, 6 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 14.2 attempts, 4.1 shots on goal and 1.2 goals. Les Sang et Or average 57.3% possession, 517.5 passes, 6.5 corners awarded and 3.0 corners against them, while 1.7 goals have been conceded from 4.5 shots on goal and 10.2 attempts.
Neil El Aynaoui and M'Bala Nzola have top scored with 3, while Ruben Aguilar is next on 1. Deiver Machado, Adrien Thomasson and Przemyslaw Frankowski have managed 2 assists in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Marseille confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Geronimo Rulli (GK), Valentin Rongier, Leonardo Balerdi, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Amar Dedic, Ismael Bennacer, Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg, Quentin Merlin, Bilal Nadir, Amine Gouiri, Adrien Rabiot.
Lens confirmed lineup (3-2-4-1): Mathew Ryan (GK), Jonathan Gradit, Juma Bah, Malang Sarr, Ruben Aguilar, Deiver Machado, Florian Sotoca, Nampalys Mendy, Neil El Aynaoui, Andy Diouf, Wesley Said.
Expert Ligue 1 Analysis
A good deal of research goes into our football picks. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.
Key Marseille vs Lens league stats:
Marseille vs Lens Prediction
There could be a few goals scored during this Ligue 1 match. That leads us to back the Over 2.5 Goals selection with a fair degree of confidence, with the betting odds of 1.62 looking like excellent value.
It’s clear that a Bet Builder provides a bigger-priced option if you’re looking for more juice. Include Over 2.5 Goals and combine it with other picks to create a personalised wager.
Over 2.5 Probability
The bookies make it a 61.9% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 65-70%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
Our Pick
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62
Correct Score Prediction
There are odds of 9.50 available that Marseille land a 3-1 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.
Latest Correct Score Odds
Corners Prediction
Marseille have had under 5.5 corners in two straight matches, while the last 10 Lens games have seen them concede an average of 3.00 corners. On this basis, we can take a price of 1.80 that this Marseille Team Corners bet falls short of the line.
Corner Stats


Latest Corner Odds




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Marseille vs Lens Odds
The bookies have Marseille at 1.44 in the Full-Time Result market, implying the market leaders are 69% likely to win this Ligue 1 match according to the latest betting odds. The market suggests that RC Lens are least likely to win at 6.50.
A high-scoring match is a possibility and that is reflected in the Over 2.5 Goals odds. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at 1.70 on the BTTS market.
Should you want to back Marseille to win this Ligue 1 match, then there is 1.14 available on the Draw No Bet market, with RC Lens chalked at 5.50.
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Full Time Result
1
1.44
X
4.75
2
6.50
-
Half Time Result
1
1.91
X
2.50
2
6.00
-
Double Chance
1X
1.11
12
1.18
X2
2.63
-
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.70
No
2.05
-
Draw No Bet
1
1.14
2
5.50
-
Asian Handicap
1 Hcp -1.25
1.99
2 Hcp +1.25
1.94
-
Total Goals
Under 2.5
2.38
Over 2.5
1.57
-
Total Corners
Under 9.5
1.67
Over 9.5
2.10
Best Betting Offers
Marseille
Head to Head
Marseille vs Lens
- Ligue 1: 23/11 2024 Lens 1 Marseille 3
- Ligue 1: 28/04 2024 Marseille 2 Lens 1
- Ligue 1: 12/11 2023 Lens 1 Marseille 0
- Ligue 1: 06/05 2023 Lens 2 Marseille 1
- Ligue 1: 22/10 2022 Marseille 0 Lens 1
- Ligue 1: 22/01 2022 Lens 0 Marseille 2
- Ligue 1: 26/09 2021 Marseille 2 Lens 3
- Ligue 1: 03/02 2021 Lens 2 Marseille 2
- Ligue 1: 20/01 2021 Marseille 0 Lens 1
Team Stats
Marseille Stats
Lens Stats
Full time Result
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 home matches
Full time Results
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draws in previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 away matches
Goals
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
Goals
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
Corners
- An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 2.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 2.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
Corners
- An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 3.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 3.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
Possession
- An average of 69.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 64.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches
Possession
- An average of 57.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 55.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches
Team News
It’s great to get the latest lineups for the match, with injuries being flagged up thanks to our up-to-date Marseille vs Lens team news.
If you’re looking for the latest player information, check out the Ligue 1 squads.
Marseille vs Lens Lineups
Marseille Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
Lens Confirmed Lineup 3-2-4-1
Marseille Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
Lens Confirmed Lineup 3-2-4-1
Marseille Substitutes
- 4Luiz Felipe
- 6Ulisses Garcia
- 8Neal Maupay
- 10Mason Greenwood
- 12Jeffrey De Lange
- 17Jonathan Rowe
- 29Pol Lirola
- 44Luis Henrique
- 50Darryl Bakola
Lens Substitutes
- 4Nidal Celik
- 15Hamzat Ojediran
- 19Goduine Koyalipou
- 21Anass Zaroury
- 25Jeremy Agbonifo
- 33Souleymane Sagnan
- 34Tom Pouilly
- 38Rayan Fofana
- 50Adam Delplace
Previous Marseille Lineups
Previous Lens Lineups
Ligue 1 Table
2024/2025 Season
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | PSG | 30 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 83:28 | 78 |
2 | Marseille | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 62:42 | 55 |
3 | Monaco | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 57:35 | 54 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 47:32 | 53 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 56:38 | 51 |
6 | Lyon | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 58:41 | 51 |
7 | Strasbourg | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:37 | 51 |
8 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 35:33 | 45 |
9 | Brest | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48:49 | 44 |
10 | Rennes | 30 | 12 | 2 | 16 | 45:40 | 38 |
11 | Auxerre | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | 38 |
12 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38:39 | 34 |
13 | Reims | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32:42 | 32 |
14 | Nantes | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 35:50 | 31 |
15 | Angers | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29:48 | 30 |
16 | Le Havre | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 33:64 | 27 |
17 | Saint-Étienne | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 33:68 | 27 |
18 | Montpellier | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 22:71 | 15 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | PSG | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 41:12 | 41 |
2 | Monaco | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 36:16 | 36 |
3 | Lille | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28:16 | 33 |
4 | Nice | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 31:15 | 31 |
5 | Lyon | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 30:18 | 29 |
6 | Strasbourg | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 26:15 | 29 |
7 | Marseille | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 33:20 | 28 |
8 | Brest | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 28:21 | 27 |
9 | Auxerre | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22:14 | 26 |
10 | Rennes | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23:17 | 25 |
11 | Saint-Étienne | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21:27 | 21 |
12 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 15:18 | 20 |
13 | Nantes | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:17 | 17 |
14 | Toulouse | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:20 | 16 |
15 | Reims | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17:23 | 16 |
16 | Angers | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16:30 | 14 |
17 | Montpellier | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:37 | 12 |
18 | Le Havre | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 13:37 | 10 |
Ligue 1 Predictions
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