Melbourne Victory FC

Football Australia - A-League AAMI Park Sun 4 May 15:00

Newcastle Jets FC

  1. Prediction
  2. Odds
  3. Stats
  4. Live Stream
  5. Team News
  6. Lineups
  7. Squads
  8. Table

We’re Confident Jets Can Cover the Line

We can expect to see a strong showing from Newcastle +1.25 on the Asian Handicap. Claim a price of 1.95, with this pick seeing bettors divide their money between +1 and +1.5 for the encounter against Melbourne Victory.

3-0 Triumph for Jets in Last H2H

Melbourne Victory won last time out by a 2-1 scoreline. It was on the road against Macarthur at Campbelltown Stadium. Arthur Diles' men had 50% possession and five shots on target, with Ryan Teague and Kasey Bos scoring one goal each.

Newcastle Jets have lost in back-to-back outings. In a recent home game at McDonald Jones Stadium, they were turned over 1-0 by Western Sydney. The New South Wales team recorded one shot on goal and had 40% possession.

Newcastle beat Melbourne at home when the teams last met. It was a 3-0 scoreline at McDonald Jones Stadium. There have been four wins apiece and two draws in the past 10 H2H meetings.

A-League G W D L GF GA GD GD P
5 Melb Victory logo Melb Victory 25 12 6 7 43 35 8 43:35 42
9 Newcastle Jets logo Newcastle Jets 25 8 5 12 42 43 -1 42:43 29
View Full Table
Melbourne Victory – Last 10 League Games

Victory have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 6.5 shots on goal and 11.7 attempts. The Boys in Blue have averaged 56.7% possession and 6.0 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.8 goals from 4.1 shots on goal, 8.8 attempts and 3.8 corners.

Nishan Velupillay and Nikolaos Vergos are the top scorers with 4 goals each, while Zinedine Machach has 3. Nishan Velupillay is the leading assists maker on 4.

Newcastle Jets – Last 10 League Games

Newcastle have 4 victories, 4 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 2.1 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 11.3 attempts. Robert Stanton's side have averaged 49.8% possession, 4.7 corners awarded and 6.5 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.8 goals from 7.0 shots on goal and 14.6 attempts.

Eli Adams is top of the team’s scoring charts with 6, Lachlan Rose is on 4 and Clayton Taylor on 3. Clayton Taylor has had 4 assists in the previous 10 games.

Expert A-League Analysis

We’re always monitoring the team news. Combined with the latest form, this helps us secure the best value. Our football experts also take a data-led approach, with the key numbers proving useful.

Key Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets league stats:

  • The +1.25 line has been covered by Newcastle in all of their last 5 games.
  • The +1.25 line has been covered by Newcastle in 9 of their last 10 games.
  • The +1.25 line has been covered by Newcastle in 5 consecutive games.
  • The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Victory in 4 of their last 5 games.
  • The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Victory in 8 of their last 10 games.
  • The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Victory in 3 consecutive games.
  • The +1.25 line has been covered by Newcastle in 2 consecutive games against Victory.

Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets Prediction

Newcastle are an attractive wager at +1.25 for this A-League clash. There’s every chance that the underdogs can keep the scoreline close with this Asian Handicap wager and there is a price of 1.95 available.

Bettors can choose between buying or selling goals depending on their attitude to risk. When you move the line in either direction, the odds change accordingly.

Jets +1.25 Probability

According to the bookies, our pick has a 51.3% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our team calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

Our Pick

Newcastle Asian Hcp +1.25 @ 1.95 Watch Live Bet Now bet365 logo
Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.
Published 19:37, 02 May 2025

Player Props

Top Pick: Lachlan Rose to Score 3.80 bet365 logo

Lachlan Rose (Newcastle) has scored at least one goal in seven consecutive A-League away games. Considering the numbers, we think that odds of 3.80 offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Lachlan Rose Player Prop Odds

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Corners Prediction

Under 11.5 Corners 1.67 bet365 logo

We’ve not seen the 11.5 Total Corners line covered in four consecutive Newcastle games. We’re happy to back the 1.67 when it comes to the teams falling short of the Total Corners line which looks generous.

Corner Stats

League Games
Last 10 Total For Against
Last 10 at Home Total For Against
Last 10 Away Total For Against
Victory Logo Victory
Total
9.80 6.00 3.80
Home
10.20 6.10 4.10
Away
11.30 6.40 4.90
Newcastle Logo Newcastle
Total
11.20 4.70 6.50
Home
9.50 6.10 3.40
Away
13.50 4.50 9.00

Latest Corner Odds

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Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Victory Victory on the Cards According to Bookies

With an estimated 69% chance of winning, the bookies are taking no chances with their 1.45 betting odds about Melbourne Victory triumphing in this A-League match. The market suggests that Newcastle Jets are least likely to win at 5.75.

The Total Goals market reveals that Over 2.5 Goals is the current betting favourite. BTTS betting is popular and you can back Yes at 1.50 on the Both Teams to Score market.

The Draw No Bet market is popular for A-League matches, with the football betting sites offering Melbourne Victory at 1.18 and Newcastle Jets are priced at 4.50 for the win.

Bruno Fornaroli Shortest Odds for First Goalscorer

Favourite Bruno Fornaroli is 4.60 to be the First Goalscorer, while similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Player Goals

Bruno Fornaroli (Victory)
First
4.60
Anytime
2.08
bet365 Logo
Nikos Vergos (Victory)
First
4.40
Anytime
2.08
bet365 Logo
Nishan Velupillay (Victory)
First
6.40
Anytime
2.65
bet365 Logo
Jing Reec (Victory)
First
6.40
Anytime
2.65
bet365 Logo

Best Betting Offers

Team Stats

Melbourne Victory logo Melbourne Victory League Stats

Newcastle Jets logo Newcastle Jets League Stats

Full-Time Result

  • 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 matches
  • 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

  • 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 matches
  • 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 away matches

Goals

Goals

Corners

Corners

Possession

Possession

Top Scorers & Assists

Top Scorers & Assists

Live Stream

It’s great to access A-League live streaming on your iPhone, iPad or Android device, with desktop also an option. Place a recent bet or have a funded sportsbook account.

You’re never short of viewing opportunities. Check out the daily list of sporting events that are being covered through this service.

Team News

It’s important to be as informed as possible, with the Victory vs Newcastle team news helping you find out who is available for the next game.

Previous Melbourne Victory Lineups

25 Apr A-League
Macarthur 1-2 Melb Victory
19 Apr A-League
Melb Victory 0-2 Auckland
12 Apr A-League
Wellington 2-3 Melb Victory
29 Mar A-League
Melb Victory 5-3 Adelaide United
15 Mar A-League
Western Sydney 4-2 Melb Victory
08 Mar A-League
Melb Victory 3-0 Central Coast

Previous Newcastle Jets Lineups

26 Apr A-League
Newcastle Jets 0-1 Western Sydney
20 Apr A-League
Sydney FC 3-2 Newcastle Jets
12 Apr A-League
Newcastle Jets 6-0 Central Coast
06 Apr A-League
Newcastle Jets 1-2 Wellington
28 Mar A-League
Macarthur 3-3 Newcastle Jets
16 Mar A-League
Newcastle Jets 2-6 Western United

Australia FlagA-League Table

2024/2025 Season

# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Auckland 25 15 8 2 47:23 53
2 Melb City 25 13 6 6 36:24 45
3 Western United 25 13 5 7 51:35 44
4 Western Sydney 25 12 7 6 55:39 43
5 Melb Victory 25 12 6 7 43:35 42
6 Adelaide United 26 10 8 8 53:55 38
7 Sydney FC 25 10 7 8 52:41 37
8 Macarthur 25 9 6 10 49:42 33
9 Newcastle Jets 25 8 5 12 42:43 29
10 Central Coast 26 5 11 10 29:51 26
11 Wellington 25 6 6 13 27:41 24
12 Brisbane Roar 26 5 6 15 32:51 21
13 Perth Glory 25 3 5 17 20:56 14
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Auckland 13 8 4 1 26:14 28
2 Melb Victory 12 7 3 2 25:15 24
3 Melb City 12 7 2 3 15:10 23
4 Sydney FC 13 6 3 4 36:25 21
5 Western United 12 6 3 3 19:12 21
6 Western Sydney 13 6 2 5 31:23 20
7 Adelaide United 13 4 5 4 27:27 17
8 Newcastle Jets 13 3 3 7 22:22 12
9 Wellington 12 2 5 5 11:15 11
10 Central Coast 13 2 5 6 13:27 11
11 Macarthur 12 2 4 6 21:22 10
12 Brisbane Roar 13 2 2 9 12:26 8
13 Perth Glory 13 2 2 9 11:29 8