Southampton vs Chelsea Prediction, Lineups & Odds
Saints Should Be Able to Cover the Line
Let’s try Southampton +1.5 on the Asian Handicap when they clash with Chelsea. There’s plenty of value at 1.98 considering we can afford the home team to lose by one goal and still benefit with our bet.
Southampton 1-0 Winners When Teams Last Met
Southampton drew away from home in their last game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Brighton at The American Express Community Stadium. The South Coast side recorded two shots on target and had 49% possession, while Flynn Downes bagged the only goal.
Chelsea made it back-to-back wins after a 3-0 home success over Aston Villa at Stamford Bridge. Enzo Maresca's men racked up eight shots on goal and enjoyed 64% possession, with Nicolas Jackson, Enzo Fernandez and Cole Palmer finding the net.
Southampton have claimed victories in the last two clashes against Chelsea. At St. Mary's Stadium, the scoreline was 2-1 and then we saw 1-0 at Stamford Bridge. Looking back to the previous 10 H2H meetings, there has been three draws. Chelsea have won four games and Southampton three.
Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | ![]() |
33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 58 | 40 | 18 | 58:40 | 57 |
20 | ![]() |
33 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 24 | 78 | -54 | 24:78 | 11 |
1 win, 7 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 8.5 attempts. Southampton have had 50.7% possession, 468.9 passes and 3.9 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 2.0 goals from 6.5 shots on goal and 19.0 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 7.8 corners.
Adam Armstrong and Cameron Archer lead the way with 2 goals, while Flynn Downes has 1. Adam Armstrong, Yukinari Sugawara and Kyle Walker-Peters are tied for the most assists on 1, with goalie Aaron Ramsdale managing 1 clean sheets.
Chelsea – Last 10 League GamesChelsea have won 6, lost 1 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.9 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 14.9 attempts. There’s been an average of 56.3% possession, 505.6 passes, 6.3 corners awarded and 3.5 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.9 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts.
Cole Palmer is top of the team’s scoring charts with 7, Nicolas Jackson is on 6 and Enzo Fernandez on 2. Jadon Sancho has been chief assist maker on 3, with Robert Sanchez recording 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Southampton confirmed lineup (3-2-4-1): Joe Lumley (GK), Nathan Wood, Jack Stephens, Kyle Walker-Peters, James Bree, Ryan Manning, Adam Armstrong, Joe Aribo, Mateus Fernandes, Ryan Fraser, Cameron Archer.
Chelsea confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Filip Joergensen (GK), Malo Gusto, Axel Disasi, Tosin Adarabioyo, Marc Cucurella, Moises Caicedo, Enzo Fernandez, Noni Madueke, Cole Palmer, Joao Felix, Christopher Nkunku.
Expert Premier League Analysis
A good deal of research goes into our football picks. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.
Key Southampton vs Chelsea league stats:
Southampton vs Chelsea Prediction
Southampton look like a great bet on the Asian Handicap. We can take them at +1.5 at odds of 1.98 and expect the underdogs to put on a strong showing when it comes to this Premier League encounter.
If the price on display doesn’t appeal, you can make the choice to secure bigger odds by moving the line for your selection. It’s a case of taking a view which you are happy with.
Southampton +1.5 Probability
According to the odds, there’s a 50.5% likelihood of our pick winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.
Our Pick
Southampton Asian Hcp +1.5 @ 1.98
Correct Score Prediction
Chelsea can be backed to win 2-1 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the 8.00 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.
Latest Correct Score Odds
Southampton vs Chelsea Odds
The bookies are taking no chances with their betting odds of 1.30 about Chelsea which reflects they have a 77% chance of winning this Premier League encounter. Southampton are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and they can be backed at 8.50.
The Total Goals market reveals that Over 2.5 Goals is the current betting favourite. An alternative angle is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been chalked up at 1.62.
If you’re betting on Premier League games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.
-
Full Time Result
1
8.50
X
5.50
2
1.30
-
Half Time Result
1
7.00
X
2.88
2
1.73
-
Double Chance
1X
3.40
12
1.14
X2
1.08
-
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.62
No
2.20
-
Draw No Bet
1
8.00
2
1.08
-
Asian Handicap
1 Hcp +1.5
2.06
2 Hcp -1.5
1.87
-
Total Goals
Under 2.5
3.20
Over 2.5
1.36
-
Total Corners
Under 10.5
1.83
Over 10.5
1.83
Best Betting Offers
Southampton
Head to Head
Southampton vs Chelsea
- Premier League: 18/02 2023 Chelsea 0 Southampton 1
- Premier League: 30/08 2022 Southampton 2 Chelsea 1
- Premier League: 09/04 2022 Southampton 0 Chelsea 6
- EFL Cup: 26/10 2021 Chelsea 5 Southampton 4
- Premier League: 02/10 2021 Chelsea 3 Southampton 1
- Premier League: 20/02 2021 Southampton 1 Chelsea 1
- Premier League: 17/10 2020 Chelsea 3 Southampton 3
- Premier League: 26/12 2019 Chelsea 0 Southampton 2
- Premier League: 06/10 2019 Southampton 1 Chelsea 4
- Premier League: 02/01 2019 Chelsea 0 Southampton 0
Team Stats
Southampton Stats
Chelsea Stats
Full time Result
- 1 wins, 7 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draws in previous 10 home matches
Full time Results
- 6 wins, 1 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 away matches
Goals
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
Goals
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
Corners
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 7.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 6.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 home matches
Corners
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 3.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
Possession
- An average of 50.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 57.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
Possession
- An average of 56.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 59.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches
Team News
It’s great to get the latest lineups for the match, with injuries being flagged up thanks to our up-to-date Southampton vs Chelsea team news.
We’ve got details of the Premier League squads so that you know every player on the roster.
Southampton vs Chelsea Lineups
Southampton Confirmed Lineup 3-2-4-1
Chelsea Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Southampton Confirmed Lineup 3-2-4-1
Chelsea Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Southampton Substitutes
- 1Alex McCarthy
- 12Ronnie Edwards
- 16Yukinari Sugawara
- 17Ben Brereton Diaz
- 20Kamaldeen Sulemana
- 21Charlie Taylor
- 22Maxwel Cornet
- 27Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
- 60J. O'Brien Whitmarsh
Chelsea Substitutes
- 1Robert Sanchez
- 5Benoit Badiashile
- 6Levi Colwill
- 7Pedro Neto
- 15Nicolas Jackson
- 19Jadon Sancho
- 22K. Dewsbury-Hall
- 40Renato Veiga
- 45Romeo Lavia
Previous Southampton Lineups
Previous Chelsea Lineups
Premier League Table
2024/2025 Season
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Liverpool | 33 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 75:31 | 79 |
2 | Arsenal | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 63:29 | 67 |
3 | Man City | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:43 | 61 |
4 | Nott’m Forest | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 53:39 | 60 |
5 | Newcastle | 33 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 62:44 | 59 |
6 | Chelsea | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 58:40 | 57 |
7 | Aston Villa | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 54:49 | 57 |
8 | Bournemouth | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 52:40 | 49 |
9 | Fulham | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 48:45 | 48 |
10 | Brighton | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 53:53 | 48 |
11 | Brentford | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 56:50 | 46 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 43:47 | 45 |
13 | Everton | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 34:40 | 38 |
14 | Man United | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 38:46 | 38 |
15 | Wolverhampton | 33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 48:61 | 38 |
16 | Tottenham | 33 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 61:51 | 37 |
17 | West Ham | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 37:55 | 36 |
18 | Ipswich | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33:71 | 21 |
19 | Leicester | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 27:73 | 18 |
20 | Southampton | 33 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 24:78 | 11 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Liverpool | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 34:12 | 41 |
2 | Arsenal | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 33:15 | 36 |
3 | Man City | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39:22 | 36 |
4 | Aston Villa | 17 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 31:20 | 34 |
5 | Newcastle | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 35:19 | 32 |
6 | Chelsea | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 30:17 | 32 |
7 | Nott’m Forest | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 24:11 | 31 |
8 | Brentford | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 34:29 | 28 |
9 | Fulham | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 26:25 | 26 |
10 | Brighton | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 23:21 | 25 |
11 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 20:14 | 24 |
12 | Tottenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 34:29 | 21 |
13 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19:23 | 21 |
14 | Man United | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 21:26 | 21 |
15 | Everton | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 22:21 | 20 |
16 | West Ham | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 21:31 | 19 |
17 | Wolverhampton | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 23:29 | 17 |
18 | Leicester | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11:34 | 9 |
19 | Ipswich | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 13:40 | 7 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11:43 | 5 |
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