St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, Lineups & Odds
St. Pauli Should Put Up a Fight
We can get the draw on our side when betting St. Pauli +0.5 at Asian Handicap odds of 2.02. The home team should be able to avoid defeat against Dortmund and this bet has the stats to back up a positive outcome.
BVB 2-1 Winners in Most Recent H2H
St. Pauli have suffered defeat in their last three games. Most recently, a 2-0 scoreline occurred on the road at MEWA Arena against Mainz 05. The Kiezkickers had 47% possession but failed to have a shot on target.
Borussia Dortmund won their previous game, beating Union Berlin at home. It was a 6-0 win at Signal Iduna Park. Niko Kovac's side racked up ten shots on goal and enjoyed 65% possession, while Serhou Guirassy netted four times.
It was Dortmund who were victorious when they last faced St. Pauli. At Signal Iduna Park, a 2-1 home triumph was recorded.
Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | ![]() |
30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 57:47 | 45 |
14 | ![]() |
30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26:36 | 30 |
3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 0.7 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts. St. Pauli have had 44.9% possession, 416.0 passes and 3.8 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.0 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts, while being awarded 5.2 corners.
Top scorer is Morgan Guilavogui on 3 goals, while Johannes Eggestein has racked up 2 and Danel Sinani 1. Leading assistor is Jackson Irvine with 2, while goalkeeper Nikola Vasilj has 3 clean sheets.
Borussia Dortmund – Last 10 League GamesDortmund have won 3, lost 5 and drawn 2, with an average of 4.5 shots on goal, 13.5 attempts and 1.9 goals. BVB average 63.2% possession, 575.7 passes, 6.1 corners awarded and 4.4 corners against, while 1.8 goals have been conceded from 10.7 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal.
Serhou Guirassy got 7 goals, Maximilian Beier notched 3, while Julian Brandt and two other players scored 2. Pascal Gross is top assists provider with 5, while Gregor Kobel has kept one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
St. Pauli confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Nikola Vasilj (GK), David Nemeth, Hauke Wahl, Siebe van der Heyden, Philipp Treu, Jackson Irvine, Eric Smith, Lars Ritzka, Noah Weisshaupt, Johannes Eggestein, Elias Saad.
Borussia Dortmund confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Gregor Kobel (GK), Yan Couto, Emre Can, Nico Schlotterbeck, Ramy Bensebaini, Marcel Sabitzer, Pascal Gross, Karim Adeyemi, Giovanni Reyna, Maximilian Beier, Serhou Guirassy.
Expert Bundesliga Analysis
The football betting tips stem from knowing the team news and the latest form for each side. We work hard to unearth the most pertinent stats which can also act as a guide.
Key St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund league stats:
St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
St. Pauli look like the value bet on the Asian Handicap for this Bundesliga game. Backing the home team at +0.5 at 2.02 looks like the way forward, with plenty of juice in this price.
If you want a different wager to the Asian Handicap, then Winning Margin provides an exciting alternative. That’s especially if you have a view on the performance of St. Pauli.
St. Pauli +0.5 Probability
When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 49.5% chance of winning. However, our experts have this number between 55-60% based on their in-depth research. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.
Our Pick
St. Pauli Asian Hcp +0.5 @ 2.02
Correct Score Prediction
We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves the teams playing out a 2-2 draw. Odds of 12.50 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.
Latest Correct Score Odds
Corners Prediction
It’s been under 4.5 corners for St. Pauli in 4 of their past 5 home matches, while Dortmund have conceded less than 4.5 corners in four straight games. The St. Pauli Team Corners line looks too big and we’re happy to go under this number at odds of 1.67.
Corner Stats


Latest Corner Odds




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St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Odds
With a 54% chance of winning, Borussia Dortmund are favourites to win this Bundesliga match and they’re available at betting odds of 1.85 with the bookies. St. Pauli are the outsiders at 4.10 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.
If you want to bet on the number of goals in the match, you can get a similar price on Over or Under 2.5 Goals. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get 1.75 when it comes to BTTS Yes.
The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any Bundesliga match. All the leading football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.
-
Full Time Result
1
4.10
X
3.70
2
1.85
-
Half Time Result
1
4.50
X
2.20
2
2.50
-
Double Chance
1X
1.91
12
1.29
X2
1.22
-
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.75
No
2.00
-
Draw No Bet
1
3.00
2
1.36
-
Asian Handicap
1 Hcp +0.5
2.02
2 Hcp -0.5
1.91
-
Total Goals
Under 2.5
1.91
Over 2.5
1.91
-
Total Corners
Under 9.5
1.83
Over 9.5
1.83
Best Betting Offers
Team Stats
St. Pauli Stats
Borussia Dortmund Stats
Full time Result
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draws in previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 home matches
Full time Results
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 7 defeats and 1 draws in previous 10 away matches
Goals
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 1 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 1 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
Goals
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 2.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
Corners
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 5.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
Corners
- An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 4.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
Possession
- An average of 44.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 46.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
Possession
- An average of 63.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 62.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches
Team News
It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our St. Pauli vs Dortmund team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.
The Bundesliga squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.
St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Lineups
St Pauli Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
Borussia Dortmund Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
St Pauli Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
Borussia Dortmund Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
St Pauli Substitutes
- 1Ben Alexander Voll
- 2Manolis Saliakas
- 9Abdoulie Ceesay
- 10Danel Sinani
- 17Oladapo Afolayan
- 18Scott Banks
- 19Andreas Albers
- 20Erik Ahlstrand
- 25Adam Dzwigala
Borussia Dortmund Substitutes
- 3Waldemar Anton
- 6Salih Oezcan
- 10Julian Brandt
- 16Julien Duranville
- 17Carney Chukwuemeka
- 24Daniel Svensson
- 25Niklas Suele
- 33Alexander Meyer
- 43Jamie Gittens
Previous St. Pauli Lineups
Previous Borussia Dortmund Lineups
Bundesliga Table
2024/2025 Season
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bayern Munich | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 87:29 | 72 |
2 | Leverkusen | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 64:35 | 64 |
3 | Frankfurt | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 58:42 | 52 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 48:38 | 49 |
5 | Freiburg | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 43:47 | 48 |
6 | Mainz 05 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48:36 | 47 |
7 | Dortmund | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 57:47 | 45 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 48:54 | 45 |
9 | B. M'gladbach | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48:46 | 44 |
10 | Augsburg | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:40 | 43 |
11 | Stuttgart | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 56:50 | 41 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 53:47 | 39 |
13 | Union Berlin | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 30:44 | 35 |
14 | St. Pauli | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 26:36 | 30 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 38:55 | 30 |
16 | Heidenheim | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 32:60 | 22 |
17 | Bochum | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 29:62 | 20 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 41:71 | 19 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bayern Munich | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 48:16 | 38 |
2 | Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 32:18 | 31 |
3 | Dortmund | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 37:19 | 30 |
4 | Frankfurt | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 35:20 | 30 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28:17 | 29 |
6 | Freiburg | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29:21 | 29 |
7 | Mainz 05 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 21:15 | 24 |
8 | B. M'gladbach | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 25:21 | 23 |
9 | Augsburg | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 23 |
10 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 31:26 | 20 |
11 | Union Berlin | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | 20 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 21:26 | 19 |
13 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 23:29 | 17 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 25:27 | 15 |
15 | St. Pauli | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10:16 | 14 |
16 | Bochum | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14:28 | 12 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 19:36 | 11 |
18 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 12:29 | 10 |
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