Toluca vs Guadalajara Prediction, Lineups & Odds
Toluca Might Prove Too Strong
We believe that Toluca will get the better of Guadalajara and the favourites are excellent value at 1.75. The Full-Time Result odds look really attractive and we’re confident of landing a return here.
Goalless Draw in in Pair’s Previous H2H
Deportivo Toluca played out a 3-3 draw in their last game. This was away from home at Estadio Nou Camp against Club León. Antonio Mohamed's team had most of the ball recording 61% possession and six shots on target, while Robert Morales got two goals and Isaias Violante scored the other.
Guadalajara have lost their previous two away from home. Their most recent game was at home at Estadio Akron where they recorded a 2-1 victory over Club Tijuana. They had 41% possession and managed seven shots on goal, with Alan Pulido and Roberto Alvarado both on target.
Guadalajara boast an unbeaten record in the past five games against Toluca, with the last clash ending 0-0 at Estadio Akron. The past 10 H2H games have featured six draws, three wins for Guadalajara and just one for Toluca.
Liga MX | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | ![]() |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 41:22 | 37 |
11 | ![]() |
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18:21 | 21 |
3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 5.9 shots on goal and 12.3 attempts. Deportivo Toluca have had 54.2% possession and 3.9 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.5 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 8.7 attempts, while being awarded 3.8 corners.
Top goalscorer Paulinho has found the net 3 times, with Robert Morales, Helio Junio, Alexis Vega and Jesus Gallardo scoring 2 each. Leading assistor is Alexis Vega with 6.
Guadalajara – Last 10 League GamesChivas have won 3, lost 4 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.1 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 8.5 attempts. There’s been an average of 48.7% possession, 5.0 corners awarded and 4.4 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 7.4 attempts.
Roberto Alvarado and Jonathan Padilla top the team’s scoring charts on 3 goals, with Alan Pulido on 1. Jose Castillo and Mateo Chavez have both managed 2 assists in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Toluca confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Pau Lopez (GK), Federico Pereira, Brian Garcia, Luan Garcia, Jesus Gallardo, Franco Romero, Jesus Angulo, Marcel Ruiz, Alexis Vega, Paulinho, Robert Morales.
Guadalajara confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Jose Rangel (GK), Alan Mozo, Gilberto Sepulveda, Miguel Tapias, Jose Castillo, Luis Gabriel Rey, Erick Gutierrez, Luis Romo, Roberto Alvarado, Jonathan Padilla, Alan Pulido.
Expert Liga MX Analysis
The football betting tips stem from knowing the team news and the latest form for each side. We work hard to unearth the most pertinent stats which can also act as a guide.
Key Toluca vs Guadalajara league stats:
Toluca vs Guadalajara Prediction
Toluca are priced at 1.75 to secure a victory and we think these odds look too big. We’re expecting the hosts to land a Liga MX win and a nice potential return could be on the cards.
The Match Result & Total market not only gives you an opportunity to bet on Toluca to win but also combine this pick with a prediction for how many goals will be scored.
Toluca to Win Probability
According to the odds, there’s a 57.1% likelihood of our pick winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 60-65%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
Our Pick
Toluca To Win @ 1.75
Correct Score Prediction
An exciting bet could be a 3-1 victory in favor of Toluca at odds of 12.00. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.
Latest Correct Score Odds
Corners Prediction
Toluca have failed to cover the 5.5 corners line in ten consecutive matches, with Guadalajara conceding under 5.5 corners in their past eight games. We expect Toluca to fall short and this Team Corners wager can be backed at 1.83.
Corner Stats


Latest Corner Odds




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Toluca vs Guadalajara Odds
Deportivo Toluca are regarded as having a 59% chance of winning this Liga MX match according to the bookies’ latest betting odds who have priced them up at 1.70. Guadalajara are regarded as the least likely winner at 4.75.
Bet on Over 2.5 Goals or Under 2.5 Goals at similar odds right now. For those expecting both sides to find the net, Both Teams to Score Yes is available at 1.75.
The football betting sites offer a Draw No Bet market for all Liga MX matches and you can back Deportivo Toluca at 1.29 and Guadalajara at 3.50.
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Full Time Result
1
1.70
X
3.90
2
4.75
-
Half Time Result
1
2.30
X
2.30
2
4.75
-
Double Chance
1X
1.18
12
1.25
X2
2.10
-
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.75
No
2.00
-
Draw No Bet
1
1.29
2
3.50
-
Asian Handicap
1 Hcp -0.75
1.93
2 Hcp +0.75
1.93
-
Total Goals
Under 2.5
2.08
Over 2.5
1.73
-
Total Corners
Under 9.5
2.10
Over 9.5
1.67
Best Betting Offers
Toluca
Head to Head
Toluca vs Guadalajara
- Liga MX: 07/07 2024 Guadalajara 0 Toluca 0
- Liga MX: 12/05 2024 Toluca 0 Guadalajara 0
- Liga MX: 09/05 2024 Guadalajara 1 Toluca 0
- Liga MX: 31/01 2024 Guadalajara 3 Toluca 2
- Liga MX: 02/10 2023 Toluca 1 Guadalajara 1
- Liga MX: 22/01 2023 Guadalajara 1 Toluca 2
- Liga MX: 05/09 2022 Toluca 0 Guadalajara 0
- Liga MX: 10/04 2022 Toluca 1 Guadalajara 1
- Liga MX: 18/10 2021 Guadalajara 2 Toluca 0
- Liga MX: 17/01 2021 Guadalajara 1 Toluca 1
Team Stats
Toluca Stats
Guadalajara Stats
Full time Result
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 1 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 home matches
Full time Results
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draws in previous 10 away matches
Goals
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
Goals
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
Corners
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 3.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 home matches
Corners
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 5.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
Possession
- An average of 54.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 55.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
Possession
- An average of 48.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 51.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
Team News
You’ve found the right place for Toluca vs Chivas team news, with all the latest information available including lineups and injuries so you’re fully informed.
The Liga MX squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.
Toluca vs Guadalajara Lineups
Deportivo Toluca Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Guadalajara Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Deportivo Toluca Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Guadalajara Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Deportivo Toluca Substitutes
- 2Diego Barbosa
- 3Antonio Briseno
- 4Bruno Mendez
- 7Juan Dominguez
- 11Helio Junio
- 12Isaias Violante
- 16Hector Herrera
- 19Ivan Lopez
- 22Luis Garcia
- 24Frankie Amaya
Guadalajara Substitutes
- 11Isaac Brizuela
- 14Javier Hernandez
- 16Cade Cowell
- 20Fernando Beltran
- 28Fernando Gonzalez
- 34Armando Gonzalez
- 44Saul Zamora
- 50Mateo Chavez
- 51Eduardo Garcia
- 58Hugo Camberos
Previous Toluca Lineups
Previous Guadalajara Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Toluca Injury Table
Guadalajara Injury Table
Liga MX Table
2024/2025 Season
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Toluca | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 41:22 | 37 |
2 | América | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 34:10 | 34 |
3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 26:16 | 33 |
4 | Tigres | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 24:14 | 33 |
5 | Necaxa | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 36:29 | 31 |
6 | León | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 24:21 | 30 |
7 | Monterrey | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 32:23 | 28 |
8 | Pachuca | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:23 | 28 |
9 | Juárez | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 16:21 | 24 |
10 | Pumas | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23:26 | 21 |
11 | Guadalajara | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:21 | 21 |
12 | Querétaro | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:24 | 20 |
13 | Tijuana | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 29:35 | 19 |
14 | Atlas | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 25:32 | 18 |
15 | San Luis | 17 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 20:33 | 18 |
16 | Mazatlán | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16:26 | 17 |
17 | Puebla | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12:25 | 9 |
18 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 15:36 | 7 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Tigres | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18:6 | 24 |
2 | Toluca | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21:9 | 20 |
3 | América | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 22:5 | 18 |
4 | Cruz Azul | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 18 |
5 | Pachuca | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 18 |
6 | Monterrey | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 16 |
7 | León | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 16 |
8 | Guadalajara | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 15 |
9 | Necaxa | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18:16 | 15 |
10 | Juárez | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:12 | 15 |
11 | Querétaro | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 13 |
12 | Mazatlán | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:11 | 13 |
13 | Pumas | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:8 | 12 |
14 | San Luis | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:15 | 12 |
15 | Tijuana | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 17:19 | 9 |
16 | Atlas | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15:20 | 9 |
17 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:17 | 6 |
18 | Puebla | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:12 | 4 |
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