Villarreal vs Real Madrid Prediction, Lineups & Odds
Side With Villarreal and a Goals Start
If you agree with our verdict that Villarreal can avoid defeat against Real Madrid, then you can back the home team with a +0.25 goal start at 1.99. This means our Asian Handicap stake is split equally between 0 and +0.5.
Real Too Good for Villarreal in Last H2H
Villarreal suffered a defeat in their last game. A 1-0 scoreline occurred on the road at Estadio Mendizorroza against Deportivo Alavés. El Submarino Amarillo dominated possession with 69% of the ball and recorded two shots on target.
Real Madrid won their previous game which was at home. It was a 2-1 triumph at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu against Rayo Vallecano. Carlo Ancelotti's team recorded 46% possession and had four shots on goal, while Kylian Mbappe and Vinicius Junior found the net.
Real have avoided defeat against Villarreal in the past three meetings. In the last encounter, Real claimed a 2-0 victory when hosting at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu. The previous 10 H2H games have ended in four Real victories, four draws and two Villarreal wins.
La Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | ![]() |
33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 66 | 31 | 35 | 66:31 | 72 |
6 | ![]() |
32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 55:45 | 52 |
5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 2.0 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 13.7 attempts. Villarreal have had 50.6% possession, 413.5 passes and 5.4 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 0.9 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 11.4 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.2 corners.
Top scorers are Ayoze Perez and Thierno Barry on 4 goals, while Pape Gueye has racked up 2. Leading assistor is Sergi Cardona with 5, while goalkeepers Diego Conde and Luiz Junior have collectively recorded 2 clean sheets.
Real Madrid – Last 10 League GamesReal have won 6, lost 2 and drawn 2, averaging 6.2 shots on goal, 18.2 attempts and 2.0 goals. Los Merengues average 61.1% possession, 611.2 passes, 5.9 corners taken and 3.9 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 9.7 attempts and 3.2 shots on goal.
Kylian Mbappe got 9 goals, Brahim Diaz notched 3, while Vinicius Junior and two other players scored 2. Rodrygo has managed 3 assists in the last 10 games, while Thibaut Courtois has 2 clean sheets to his name.
Confirmed Lineups
Villarreal confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Diego Conde (GK), Juan Foyth, Willy Kambwala, Logan Costa, Sergi Cardona, Tajon Buchanan, Santi Comesana, Pape Gueye, Alejandro Baena, Nicolas Pepe, Ayoze Perez.
Real Madrid confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Thibaut Courtois (GK), Lucas Vazquez, Aurelien Tchouameni, Raul Asencio, Francisco Garcia, Federico Valverde, Eduardo Camavinga, Brahim Diaz, Jude Bellingham, Rodrygo, Kylian Mbappe.
Expert La Liga Analysis
Our team of football experts monitor the current injuries and suspensions. When integrated with the latest form, this helps us secure the value odds. Our data-led approach backed up by key stats always proves useful.
Key Villarreal vs Real Madrid league stats:
Villarreal vs Real Madrid Prediction
We’ll back Villarreal +0.25 for this La Liga game, with odds of 1.99 available. We have a feeling that they can perform well and the Asian Handicap line looks more than fair for this outcome.
If you want to land bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the betting line. There’s extra juice depending on how risky you want your bet to be.
Villarreal +0.25 Probability
The latest odds imply that our pick has a 50.3% prospect of winning. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.
Our Pick
Villarreal Asian Hcp +0.25 @ 1.99
Correct Score Prediction
We’re taking a correct score bet which involves Villarreal to win 2-1. The odds of 9.50 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.
Latest Correct Score Odds
Corners Prediction
Real Madrid have averaged 5.90 corners in the past 10 matches, with the corner count against Villarreal going over 4.5 in their previous six home games. We’re anticipating that there will be plenty of Real Madrid corners and that the Team Corners line will be covered, with odds of 1.80 on offer.
Corner Stats


Latest Corner Odds




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Villarreal vs Real Madrid Odds
Real Madrid are the 2.30 favourites and that means a 43% chance of winning this La Liga match according to the betting odds at the bookies. The market suggests that Villarreal are least likely to win at 2.90.
If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest odds. The Both Teams to Score market is always popular and BTTS Yes can be backed at 1.44.
If you’re betting on La Liga games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.
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Full Time Result
1
2.90
X
3.60
2
2.30
-
Half Time Result
1
3.25
X
2.40
2
2.88
-
Double Chance
1X
1.57
12
1.29
X2
1.40
-
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.44
No
2.63
-
Draw No Bet
1
2.10
2
1.67
-
Asian Handicap
1 Hcp +0.25
1.88
2 Hcp -0.25
2.05
-
Total Goals
Under 2.5
2.38
Over 2.5
1.57
-
Total Corners
Under 9.5
1.80
Over 9.5
1.91
Best Betting Offers
Villarreal
Head to Head
Villarreal vs Real Madrid
- La Liga: 05/10 2024 Real Madrid 2 Villarreal 0
- La Liga: 19/05 2024 Villarreal 4 Real Madrid 4
- La Liga: 17/12 2023 Real Madrid 4 Villarreal 1
- La Liga: 08/04 2023 Real Madrid 2 Villarreal 3
- Copa del Rey: 19/01 2023 Villarreal 2 Real Madrid 3
- La Liga: 07/01 2023 Villarreal 2 Real Madrid 1
- La Liga: 12/02 2022 Villarreal 0 Real Madrid 0
- La Liga: 25/09 2021 Real Madrid 0 Villarreal 0
- La Liga: 22/05 2021 Real Madrid 2 Villarreal 1
- La Liga: 21/11 2020 Villarreal 1 Real Madrid 1
Team Stats
Villarreal Stats
Real Madrid Stats
Full time Result
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in previous 10 home matches
Full time Results
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 away matches
Goals
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
Goals
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
Corners
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
Corners
- An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 3.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
Possession
- An average of 50.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 48.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
Possession
- An average of 61.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 63.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 away matches
Team News
Make sure you know the lineups ahead of kick-off, with injuries also playing a part when it comes to Villarreal vs Real team news.
We’re on hand to provide you with full details of the latest La Liga squads.
Villarreal vs Real Madrid Lineups
Villarreal Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Real Madrid Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Villarreal Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Real Madrid Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Villarreal Substitutes
- 1Luiz Junior
- 3Raul Albiol
- 4Eric Bailly
- 6Denis Suarez
- 10Daniel Parejo
- 15Thierno Barry
- 21Yeremi Pino
- 24Alfonso Pedraza
- 26Pau Navarro
Real Madrid Substitutes
- 4David Alaba
- 7Vinicius Junior
- 10Luka Modric
- 13Andriy Lunin
- 15Arda Guler
- 16Endrick
- 22Antonio Ruediger
- 26Fran Gonzalez
- 43Diego Aguado
- 45Victor Valdepenas
Previous Villarreal Lineups
Previous Real Madrid Lineups
La Liga Table
2024/2025 Season
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Barcelona | 33 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 89:32 | 76 |
2 | Real Madrid | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 66:31 | 72 |
3 | Atlético Madrid | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 56:27 | 66 |
4 | Athletic Club | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 50:26 | 60 |
5 | Real Betis | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 50:41 | 54 |
6 | Villarreal | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 55:45 | 52 |
7 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 50:49 | 46 |
8 | Osasuna | 33 | 10 | 14 | 9 | 40:46 | 44 |
9 | Mallorca | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 31:38 | 44 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 32:37 | 42 |
11 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 35:42 | 41 |
12 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 31:30 | 39 |
13 | Espanyol | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 35:41 | 39 |
14 | Valencia | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 37:49 | 39 |
15 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35:44 | 37 |
16 | Girona | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 40:52 | 35 |
17 | Alavés | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 35:46 | 34 |
18 | Las Palmas | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 38:53 | 32 |
19 | Leganés | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 30:49 | 30 |
20 | Real Valladolid | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 24:81 | 16 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Barcelona | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 46:14 | 40 |
2 | Real Madrid | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 38:16 | 40 |
3 | Atlético Madrid | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 34:14 | 40 |
4 | Athletic Club | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 31:10 | 36 |
5 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28:17 | 33 |
6 | Real Betis | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30:19 | 32 |
7 | Osasuna | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29:23 | 30 |
8 | Valencia | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 23:19 | 28 |
9 | Espanyol | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 20:16 | 27 |
10 | Mallorca | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 17:18 | 24 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17:17 | 23 |
12 | Villarreal | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 31:23 | 22 |
13 | Girona | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26:25 | 21 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 21:24 | 21 |
15 | Sevilla | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 14:19 | 20 |
16 | Getafe | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 14:15 | 19 |
17 | Alavés | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 12:16 | 19 |
18 | Leganés | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17:25 | 19 |
19 | Las Palmas | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19:24 | 17 |
20 | Real Valladolid | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10:28 | 13 |
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