Vitória vs Grêmio Prediction, Lineups & Odds

Vitória Look the Best Bet

Vitória could have the edge over Grêmio and our bet is backing them on the -0.25 Asian Handicap at 2.09. It provides some insurance of half the stake returned in the event of a draw.

Teams Drew 1-1 in Previous H2H Clash

Vitória played Fluminense on their travels in their last Série A game. It was a 1-1 draw. The Salvador side ended up with just 38% possession and had three shots on target, with Lucas Braga scoring the goal.

On Wednesday night, Vitória lost 1-0 when hosting Uruguayan Primera División side Cerro Largo in the Copa Sudamericana

Grêmio played out a 1-1 draw at home against Internacional in their previous league game. Gustavo Quinteros' team had 40% possession and two shots on goal, with Anthoni (own goal) finding the net.

In their last outing, Grêmio drew 2-2 away with Argentine Primera División outfit Godoy Cruz in the Copa Sudamericana.

Grêmio haven’t lost to Vitória in their past four matches, with their last encounter ending 1-1. The previous 4 H2H meetings have featured three Grêmio wins and one draw.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
16	Vitória	6	1	3	2	7	9	-2	7:9	6
18	Grêmio	6	1	2	3	5	11	-6	5:11	5

View Full Table

Vitória have 3 wins, 2 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 8.8 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal. Thiago Carpini's men have averaged 40.6% possession and 4.5 corners per game, conceding 1.2 goals and 6.9 corners from 10.5 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal.

Top goalscorer Alerrandro has found the net 5 times, with Janderson and Matheuzinho scoring 3 and 2 respectively. Erick and Gustavo Mosquito are tied for the most assists on 2.

Grêmio have 2 victories, 4 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 1.0 goals from 9.2 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 44.6% possession, 4.7 corners in their favour and 5.8 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.8 goals from 11.2 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal.

Martin Braithwaite is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Matias Arezo, Edenilson, Joao Pedro and Franco Cristaldo have 1. Joao Pedro has managed to clock up 2 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Vitória confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Lucas Arcanjo (GK), Claudinho, Lucas Halter, Ze Marcos, Jamerson, Ronald, Pepe, Erick, Matheuzinho, Gustavo Mosquito, Janderson.

Grêmio confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Tiago Volpi (GK), Igor Serrote, Jemerson, Wagner Leonardo, Marlon, Mathias Villasanti, Dodi, Edenilson, Franco Cristaldo, Cristian Olivera, Martin Braithwaite.

Expert Serie A Analysis

The first port of call is to check out the team news for each side and then scroll through the form guide. We take this information and apply it to the latest available stats to come up with a verdict.

Key Vitória vs Grêmio league stats:

• The +0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Grêmio in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Grêmio in 2 consecutive games on the road.

Vitória vs Grêmio Prediction

Vitória look like the real deal and we’re happy to take the 2.09 about them on the Asian Handicap -0.25. The home team could have the edge in this Serie A game and we’ll go into this with confidence.

Larger odds can be banked for bettors who are willing to move the line. The prices will get bigger depending on the risk you attach to the bet you are placing.

Vitória -0.25 Probability

According to the betting sites, our pick has a 47.8% chance of landing a return. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 50-55%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

Our Pick

Vitória Asian Hcp -0.25 @ 2.09 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Vitória 1 - 0 Grêmio

There could be merit in backing Vitória to win 1-0. Odds of 5.80 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.

Player Props

Cristian Olivera Over 0.5 Shots On Target 1.89

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio) can be wagered at 1.89 to register a minimum of one shot on goal. It’s really hard to rule him out at an attractive price for the Shots on Target betting market.

Latest Cristian Olivera Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

4.80

First

8.50

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

1.87

Under 0.5

1.66

Shots

Over 1.5

1.66

Under 1.5

-

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Willian Oliveira To Score 4.00

Willian Oliveira (Vitória) is available at 4.00 to be on the scoresheet. It’s worth a gamble on him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.

Latest Willian Oliveira Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

4.20

First

7.50

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

1.60

Under 0.5

1.98

Shots

Over 2.5

2.06

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Vitória Under 5.5 Corners 1.83

In their past six games, Vitória have not covered the 5.5 corners line, while the previous two Grêmio away matches have involved them conceding under 5.5 corners. We can use these stats to our advantage, with odds of 1.83 that Vitória fall short when it comes to the Team Corners line.

Corner Stats

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Vitória

Total

11.40 4.50 6.90

Home

11.70 6.70 5.00

Away

10.90 4.00 6.90

Grêmio

Total

10.50 4.70 5.80

Home

10.30 5.10 5.20

Away

10.80 4.80 6.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

1.91

Under 10.5

1.80

Vitória Corners

Over 5.5

1.91

Under 5.5

1.80

Grêmio Corners

Over 4.5

1.80

Under 4.5

1.91

Most Corners

1

1.72

X

6.75

2

2.33

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Vitória vs Grêmio Odds

You can get Serie A betting odds of 2.25 for a Vitória win and the bookies have Grêmio available at 3.40. If you want to back the draw, it’s on offer at 3.10.

The game is predicted to be a low-scoring one and that is borne out by Under 2.5 Goals trading at short odds. Both Teams to Score No is available at 1.67 for anyone expecting at least one side to draw a blank.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any Serie A match. All the leading football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Matías Arezo Favourite to Score the First Goal

The First Goalscorer favourite is Matías Arezo at 7.00, with similar odds available for this player to register the last goal.

Player Goals

Matías Arezo (Grêmio)

First

7.00

Anytime

4.00

Willian Oliveira (Vitória)

First

7.50

Anytime

4.20

Matheus "Matheuzinho" Paulo (Vitória)

First

7.50

Anytime

4.30

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

First

7.50

Anytime

4.40

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

First

8.50

Anytime

4.80

Osvaldo Filho (Vitória)

First

10.00

Anytime

6.40

Alexander Aravena (Grêmio)

First

10.50

Anytime

6.75

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

First

12.50

Anytime

7.00

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

First

12.50

Anytime

7.00

Mathías Villasanti (Grêmio)

First

14.00

Anytime

7.50

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

First

18.00

Anytime

9.00

Hueglo "Neris" dos Santos Neris (Vitória)

First

20.00

Anytime

10.00

João Pedro Maturano dos Santos (Grêmio)

First

19.00

Anytime

10.50

Jemerson Nascimento (Grêmio)

First

21.00

Anytime

11.50

Ricardo Ryller (Vitória)

First

21.00

Anytime

11.50

Claudio "Claudinho" Salvático (Vitória)

First

21.00

Anytime

11.50

Camilo Reijers de Oliveira (Grêmio)

First

21.00

Anytime

11.50

Gustavo Cuellar (Grêmio)

First

21.00

Anytime

12.50

Player Shots On Target

Willian Oliveira (Vitória)

Over 0.5

1.60

Under 0.5

1.98

Matheus "Matheuzinho" Paulo (Vitória)

Over 0.5

1.63

Under 0.5

1.94

Matías Arezo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

1.70

Under 0.5

1.86

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

1.80

Under 0.5

1.76

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

1.87

Under 0.5

1.66

Osvaldo Filho (Vitória)

Over 0.5

2.23

Under 0.5

1.47

Alexander Aravena (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

2.48

Under 0.5

1.36

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

2.55

Under 0.5

1.34

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

2.65

Under 0.5

1.32

Mathías Villasanti (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

2.88

Under 0.5

1.28

Ricardo Ryller (Vitória)

Over 0.5

3.15

Under 0.5

1.23

Hueglo "Neris" dos Santos Neris (Vitória)

Over 0.5

3.45

Under 0.5

1.19

João Pedro Maturano dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

3.55

Under 0.5

1.17

Jemerson Nascimento (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

3.80

Under 0.5

1.15

Claudio "Claudinho" Salvático (Vitória)

Over 0.5

3.80

Under 0.5

1.15

Gustavo Cuellar (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

3.80

Under 0.5

1.15

Camilo Reijers de Oliveira (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

3.90

Under 0.5

1.14

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

3.95

Under 0.5

1.13

Player Shots

Matías Arezo (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

2.33

Under 2.5

0.00

Willian Oliveira (Vitória)

Over 2.5

2.06

Under 2.5

0.00

Matheus "Matheuzinho" Paulo (Vitória)

Over 2.5

2.02

Under 2.5

0.00

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

2.08

Under 2.5

0.00

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

1.66

Under 1.5

0.00

Osvaldo Filho (Vitória)

Over 1.5

1.89

Under 1.5

0.00

Alexander Aravena (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

2.63

Under 1.5

0.00

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

2.35

Under 1.5

0.00

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

1.42

Under 0.5

0.00

Mathías Villasanti (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

1.50

Under 0.5

0.00

Hueglo "Neris" dos Santos Neris (Vitória)

Over 0.5

1.58

Under 0.5

0.00

João Pedro Maturano dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

1.64

Under 0.5

0.00

Ricardo Ryller (Vitória)

Over 0.5

1.44

Under 0.5

0.00

Claudio "Claudinho" Salvático (Vitória)

Over 0.5

1.65

Under 0.5

0.00

Camilo Reijers de Oliveira (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

1.70

Under 0.5

0.00

Gustavo Cuellar (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

1.66

Under 0.5

0.00

Best Betting Offers

Team Stats

Team News

It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our Vitória vs Grêmio team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.

We’re on hand to provide you with full details of the latest Serie A squads.

Vitória Team Page Grêmio Team Page

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