Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds

By Kevin Thompson, NHL Analyst | Published: 9 hours ago | Last Updated: Apr 30, 19:37 | 6 min read

Florida Panthers

Ice Hockey Amalie Arena Thu 1 May 07:30

Tampa Bay Lightning

  1. Prediction
  2. Bet Builder
  3. Correct Score
  4. Odds
  5. Team Stats
  6. Player Stats
  7. Player Props
  8. Team News
  9. Lineups
  10. Injuries
  11. Roster
  12. Standings
  13. Live Stream

Lightning Primed to Win

Florida Panthers (47-31-4, 20-19-2 Away) play Tampa Bay Lightning (47-27-8, 29-8-4 at Home) in this Stanley Cup Playoffs first round matchup at Amalie Arena. The Panthers lead the series 3-1.

Take the Lightning at 1.88 on the Moneyline to get the better of the Panthers. We believe that they have a strong chance of claiming an outright victory.

4-2 Panthers Victory in Previous H2H Meeting

When Florida Panthers and Tampa Bay Lightning faced off on Monday night, the Panthers managed a 4-2 victory at Amerant Bank Arena.

The Panthers had 25 shots on goal. Aaron Ekblad was among the goalscorers where four different players found the net. The Lightning fired 20 shots on goal, with Erik Cernak and Mitchell Chaffee each scoring one goal.

In the past 10 H2H meetings, the Panthers have won six.

Starting Goalies

Sergei Bobrovsky (Expected)
Season W-L-OTL: GAA: SV%: SO:
24/25 30-15-2 2.46 .907 5
23/24 36-17-3 2.37 .915 6
Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)
Season W-L-OTL: GAA: SV%: SO:
24/25 34-19-3 2.22 .919 5
23/24 30-20-2 2.9 .900 2
Florida Panthers – Last 10 Games

6 wins and 4 losses, averaging 2.7 goals from 28.6 shots on goal, with a 13.2% powerplay efficiency. The Panthers have given up 2.5 goals from 23.2 shots, averaging 4.9 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 89.8%.

Carter Verhaeghe is the top points scorer with 8 points, 4 goals and 4 assists, with Aleksander Barkov racking up 8 points, 1 goal and 7 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Sergei Bobrovsky have a 2.15 goal against average with a .899 save percentage, including one shutout.

Tampa Bay Lightning – Last 10 Games

The Lightning have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.2 goals from 24.4 shots on goal, with a 18.2% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.1 goals from 26.4 shots, averaging 3.5 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 82.9%.

The top points scorer is Nikita Kucherov with 13 points, 4 goals and 9 assists, while Jake Guentzel is next best after registering 11 points, 5 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.61 GAA with a .902 SV%.

Expert NHL Analysis

The hockey predictions are created after keeping tabs on the latest team news along with the form guide. We also delve into the latest player and goalie stats which can provide a barometer for how the NHL action might play out.

Key Panthers vs Lightning stats:

  • Lightning have won 18 of their last 25 games at home this season.
  • Lightning have won 14 of their last 20 games at home.
  • Panthers have lost 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
  • Panthers have lost 12 of their last 20 games on the road.

Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning should have the edge over their opponents and our pick is to side with them on the Moneyline. There is a tempting 1.88 for the home team to win this NHL encounter.

If you can correctly predict that Tampa Bay will win along with the number of goals, then you are able to combine the two picks by going down the Match Winner & Total Goals route.

Lightning Moneyline Probability

According to the sportsbooks, there’s a 53.2% likelihood of our pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This hockey wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

Our Pick

Lightning Moneyline @ 1.88 Watch Live Bet Now bet365 logo
Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.
Published 10:43, 30 April 2025

Player Props

Top Pick: Sam Bennett Over 2.5 Shots 2.15 bet365 logo

Sam Bennett (Panthers) has had Over 2.5 shots on goal in 3 straight games. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Shots on Goal, with this line making plenty of appeal at odds of 2.15.

Latest Sam Bennett Player Prop Odds

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Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Bet Builder Tips

Moneyline Lightning
To Score Jake Guentzel
Shots on Goal Sam Bennett Over 2.5

We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: the Lightning on the moneyline, Jake Guentzel (Lightning) to be among the scorers and Sam Bennett (Panthers) to have Over 2.5 shots.

The bet builder option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same hockey game. You need all your predictions to be correct although bettors love to place a tailored wager on the clash which interests them most.

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Correct Score Prediction

Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Struggling to Separate Teams

You can choose Tampa Bay Lightning at 1.88 or alternatively Florida Panthers who have betting odds of 1.95. The hosts have a 53% chance of victory in the eyes of the most popular sportsbooks.

The puck line is calculated to be 1.5, while total goals comes in at 5.5. A Totals wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you want to back Over 5.5, it’s 1.95.

Whether you are wagering pre-game or in-game on the National Hockey League, you can feast on a wide range of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless and it’s great to have lots of options.

Nikita Kucherov Favorite to Light the Lamp First

There’s the chance to back Nikita Kucherov at 9.50 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favorite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.

Player Goals

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)
First
9.50
Anytime
2.55
bet365 Logo
Sam Reinhart (Panthers)
First
9.50
Anytime
2.55
bet365 Logo
Brayden Point (Lightning)
First
9.50
Anytime
2.55
bet365 Logo
Matthew Tkachuk (Panthers)
First
10.00
Anytime
2.65
bet365 Logo

Player Shots

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)
Over 2.5
1.77
Under 2.5
2.00
bet365 Logo
Sam Reinhart (Panthers)
Over 2.5
1.95
Under 2.5
1.81
bet365 Logo
Brayden Point (Lightning)
Over 2.5
2.50
Under 2.5
1.50
bet365 Logo
Matthew Tkachuk (Panthers)
Over 2.5
1.74
Under 2.5
2.05
bet365 Logo

Micro Betting

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, then NHL micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to bet on the Next Goal, Next Goalscorer and what will happen within the next 10 minutes.

Best Betting Offers

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Florida Panthers logo Florida Panthers Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning logo Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Moneyline

  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

Puck Line

Total Goals

Total Goals

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Live Streaming

You can watch and bet on NHL games thanks to the live streaming service that’s available. This is only available to eligible sportsbook customers and is subject to geo-restrictions.

It’s great to enjoy thousands of sporting events on an annual basis. Watch the action and get audio commentary too.

Panthers vs Lightning Live Stream Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

Team News

Florida Panthers Player Stats & Roster

# Player GP MIN G A P +/-
13 Sam Reinhart 4 21.4 1 3 4 1
9 Sam Bennett 4 15.5 2 2 4 0
16 Aleksander Barkov 4 18.43 0 4 4 0

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Stats & Roster

# Player GP MIN G A P +/-
59 Jake Guentzel 4 22.35 2 3 5 -1
86 Nikita Kucherov 4 22.83 0 4 4 2
27 Ryan McDonagh 4 19.55 0 3 3 3

Injuries & Suspensions

Florida Panthers Injury Table

Type
Name
Info
No players are currently reported injured or suspended.

Tampa Bay Lightning Injury Table

Type
Name
Info
Oliver Bjorkstrand
Injured
Brandon Hagel
Injured

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Previous Florida Panthers Lineups

29 Apr NHL Playoffs
Lightning 2-4 Panthers
27 Apr NHL Playoffs
Lightning 5-1 Panthers
25 Apr NHL Playoffs
Panthers 2-0 Lightning
23 Apr NHL Playoffs
Panthers 6-2 Lightning
16 Apr NHL
Panthers 1-5 Lightning
15 Apr NHL
Rangers 5-3 Panthers
13 Apr NHL
Sabres 2-3 Panthers
11 Apr NHL
Red Wings 1-4 Panthers
09 Apr NHL
Maple Leafs 1-3 Panthers
07 Apr NHL
Panthers 1-2 Red Wings

Previous Tampa Bay Lightning Lineups

29 Apr NHL Playoffs
Lightning 2-4 Panthers
27 Apr NHL Playoffs
Lightning 5-1 Panthers
25 Apr NHL Playoffs
Panthers 2-0 Lightning
23 Apr NHL Playoffs
Panthers 6-2 Lightning
18 Apr NHL
Lightning 0-4 Rangers
16 Apr NHL
Panthers 1-5 Lightning
14 Apr NHL
Sabres 4-7 Lightning
12 Apr NHL
Red Wings 4-3 Lightning
10 Apr NHL
Maple Leafs 4-3 Lightning
08 Apr NHL
Lightning 5-1 Rangers

NHL Standings

Metropolitan GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Washington 82 51 22 9 111 0.677 43 49 288 232 56 26-9-6 25-13-3 2-3 4-6 1L
2 Carolina 82 47 30 5 99 0.604 42 47 266 233 33 31-9-1 16-21-4 0-3 3-7 3L
3 New Jersey 82 42 33 7 91 0.555 36 40 242 222 20 19-17-5 23-16-2 2-2 5-5 1L
4 Columbus 82 40 33 9 89 0.543 30 34 273 268 5 26-10-5 14-23-4 6-1 7-3 6W
5 NY Rangers 82 39 36 7 85 0.518 35 38 256 255 1 19-19-3 20-17-4 1-0 5-5 2W
6 NY Islanders 82 35 35 12 82 0.5 28 33 224 260 -36 19-17-5 16-18-7 2-3 3-7 2L
7 Pittsburgh 82 34 36 12 80 0.488 24 33 243 293 -50 21-15-5 13-21-7 1-6 5-5 1W
8 Philadelphia 82 33 39 10 76 0.463 21 27 238 286 -48 20-20-1 13-19-9 6-3 5-5 3L
East Atlantic GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Toronto 82 52 26 4 108 0.659 41 51 268 231 37 27-13-1 25-13-3 1-2 9-1 5W
2 Tampa Bay 82 47 27 8 102 0.622 41 45 294 219 75 29-8-4 18-19-4 2-3 5-5 1L
3 Florida 82 47 31 4 98 0.598 37 41 252 223 29 27-12-2 20-19-2 6-0 3-7 2L
4 Ottawa 82 45 30 7 97 0.591 35 44 243 234 9 27-11-3 18-19-4 1-2 6-4 1W
5 Montreal 82 40 31 11 91 0.555 30 38 245 265 -20 23-12-6 17-19-5 2-4 7-3 1W
6 Detroit 82 39 35 8 86 0.524 30 36 238 259 -21 22-16-3 17-19-5 3-0 6-4 1L
7 Buffalo 82 36 39 7 79 0.482 29 32 269 289 -20 23-15-3 13-24-4 4-2 6-4 1W
8 Boston 82 33 39 10 76 0.463 26 33 222 272 -50 20-14-7 13-25-3 0-1 3-7 1L
East Central GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Winnipeg 82 56 22 4 116 0.707 43 54 277 191 86 30-7-4 26-15-0 2-1 7-3 1W
2 Dallas 82 50 26 6 106 0.646 41 48 277 224 53 28-10-3 22-16-3 2-2 3-7 7L
3 Colorado 82 49 29 4 102 0.622 40 45 277 234 43 26-12-3 23-17-1 4-3 5-5 1W
4 Minnesota 82 45 30 7 97 0.591 33 42 228 239 -11 22-17-2 23-13-5 3-3 5-5 2W
5 St Louis 82 44 30 8 96 0.585 32 40 254 233 21 24-14-3 20-16-5 4-2 7-3 1W
6 Utah 82 38 31 13 89 0.543 30 37 241 251 -10 18-15-8 20-16-5 1-4 6-4 1L
7 Nashville 82 30 44 8 68 0.415 24 28 214 274 -60 20-18-3 10-26-5 2-0 3-7 1W
8 Chicago 82 25 46 11 61 0.372 20 23 226 296 -70 15-20-6 10-26-5 2-4 4-6 2W
West Pacific GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Vegas 82 50 22 10 110 0.671 46 49 275 219 56 29-9-3 21-13-7 1-5 6-4 1W
2 LA Kings 81 48 24 9 105 0.648 43 47 249 201 48 31-5-4 17-19-5 1-3 8-2 4W
3 Edmonton 82 48 29 5 101 0.616 36 48 259 236 23 25-13-3 23-16-2 0-1 7-3 1W
4 Calgary 81 40 27 14 94 0.58 30 35 220 237 -17 23-12-6 17-15-8 5-2 6-4 3W
5 Vancouver 82 38 30 14 90 0.549 28 35 236 253 -17 17-16-8 21-14-6 3-2 4-6 1L
6 Anaheim 82 35 37 10 80 0.488 24 31 221 263 -42 21-18-2 14-19-8 4-2 3-7 4L
7 Seattle 82 35 41 6 76 0.463 28 33 247 265 -18 18-18-5 17-23-1 2-3 5-5 1L
8 San Jose 82 20 50 12 52 0.317 14 18 210 315 -105 12-27-2 8-23-10 2-5 0-10 11L
Eastern GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Washington 82 51 22 9 111 0.677 43 49 288 232 56 26-9-6 25-13-3 2-3 4-6 1L
2 Toronto 82 52 26 4 108 0.659 41 51 268 231 37 27-13-1 25-13-3 1-2 9-1 5W
3 Tampa Bay 82 47 27 8 102 0.622 41 45 294 219 75 29-8-4 18-19-4 2-3 5-5 1L
4 Carolina 82 47 30 5 99 0.604 42 47 266 233 33 31-9-1 16-21-4 0-3 3-7 3L
5 Florida 82 47 31 4 98 0.598 37 41 252 223 29 27-12-2 20-19-2 6-0 3-7 2L
6 Ottawa 82 45 30 7 97 0.591 35 44 243 234 9 27-11-3 18-19-4 1-2 6-4 1W
7 New Jersey 82 42 33 7 91 0.555 36 40 242 222 20 19-17-5 23-16-2 2-2 5-5 1L
8 Montreal 82 40 31 11 91 0.555 30 38 245 265 -20 23-12-6 17-19-5 2-4 7-3 1W
9 Columbus 82 40 33 9 89 0.543 30 34 273 268 5 26-10-5 14-23-4 6-1 7-3 6W
10 Detroit 82 39 35 8 86 0.524 30 36 238 259 -21 22-16-3 17-19-5 3-0 6-4 1L
11 NY Rangers 82 39 36 7 85 0.518 35 38 256 255 1 19-19-3 20-17-4 1-0 5-5 2W
12 NY Islanders 82 35 35 12 82 0.5 28 33 224 260 -36 19-17-5 16-18-7 2-3 3-7 2L
13 Pittsburgh 82 34 36 12 80 0.488 24 33 243 293 -50 21-15-5 13-21-7 1-6 5-5 1W
14 Buffalo 82 36 39 7 79 0.482 29 32 269 289 -20 23-15-3 13-24-4 4-2 6-4 1W
15 Boston 82 33 39 10 76 0.463 26 33 222 272 -50 20-14-7 13-25-3 0-1 3-7 1L
16 Philadelphia 82 33 39 10 76 0.463 21 27 238 286 -48 20-20-1 13-19-9 6-3 5-5 3L
Western GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Winnipeg 82 56 22 4 116 0.707 43 54 277 191 86 30-7-4 26-15-0 2-1 7-3 1W
2 Vegas 82 50 22 10 110 0.671 46 49 275 219 56 29-9-3 21-13-7 1-5 6-4 1W
3 Dallas 82 50 26 6 106 0.646 41 48 277 224 53 28-10-3 22-16-3 2-2 3-7 7L
4 LA Kings 81 48 24 9 105 0.648 43 47 249 201 48 31-5-4 17-19-5 1-3 8-2 4W
5 Colorado 82 49 29 4 102 0.622 40 45 277 234 43 26-12-3 23-17-1 4-3 5-5 1W
6 Edmonton 82 48 29 5 101 0.616 36 48 259 236 23 25-13-3 23-16-2 0-1 7-3 1W
7 Minnesota 82 45 30 7 97 0.591 33 42 228 239 -11 22-17-2 23-13-5 3-3 5-5 2W
8 St Louis 82 44 30 8 96 0.585 32 40 254 233 21 24-14-3 20-16-5 4-2 7-3 1W
9 Calgary 81 40 27 14 94 0.58 30 35 220 237 -17 23-12-6 17-15-8 5-2 6-4 3W
10 Vancouver 82 38 30 14 90 0.549 28 35 236 253 -17 17-16-8 21-14-6 3-2 4-6 1L
11 Utah 82 38 31 13 89 0.543 30 37 241 251 -10 18-15-8 20-16-5 1-4 6-4 1L
12 Anaheim 82 35 37 10 80 0.488 24 31 221 263 -42 21-18-2 14-19-8 4-2 3-7 4L
13 Seattle 82 35 41 6 76 0.463 28 33 247 265 -18 18-18-5 17-23-1 2-3 5-5 1L
14 Nashville 82 30 44 8 68 0.415 24 28 214 274 -60 20-18-3 10-26-5 2-0 3-7 1W
15 Chicago 82 25 46 11 61 0.372 20 23 226 296 -70 15-20-6 10-26-5 2-4 4-6 2W
16 San Jose 82 20 50 12 52 0.317 14 18 210 315 -105 12-27-2 8-23-10 2-5 0-10 11L
GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Winnipeg 82 56 22 4 116 0.707 43 54 277 191 86 30-7-4 26-15-0 2-1 7-3 1W
2 Washington 82 51 22 9 111 0.677 43 49 288 232 56 26-9-6 25-13-3 2-3 4-6 1L
3 Vegas 82 50 22 10 110 0.671 46 49 275 219 56 29-9-3 21-13-7 1-5 6-4 1W
4 Toronto 82 52 26 4 108 0.659 41 51 268 231 37 27-13-1 25-13-3 1-2 9-1 5W
5 Dallas 82 50 26 6 106 0.646 41 48 277 224 53 28-10-3 22-16-3 2-2 3-7 7L
6 LA Kings 81 48 24 9 105 0.648 43 47 249 201 48 31-5-4 17-19-5 1-3 8-2 4W
7 Tampa Bay 82 47 27 8 102 0.622 41 45 294 219 75 29-8-4 18-19-4 2-3 5-5 1L
8 Colorado 82 49 29 4 102 0.622 40 45 277 234 43 26-12-3 23-17-1 4-3 5-5 1W
9 Edmonton 82 48 29 5 101 0.616 36 48 259 236 23 25-13-3 23-16-2 0-1 7-3 1W
10 Carolina 82 47 30 5 99 0.604 42 47 266 233 33 31-9-1 16-21-4 0-3 3-7 3L
11 Florida 82 47 31 4 98 0.598 37 41 252 223 29 27-12-2 20-19-2 6-0 3-7 2L
12 Ottawa 82 45 30 7 97 0.591 35 44 243 234 9 27-11-3 18-19-4 1-2 6-4 1W
13 Minnesota 82 45 30 7 97 0.591 33 42 228 239 -11 22-17-2 23-13-5 3-3 5-5 2W
14 St Louis 82 44 30 8 96 0.585 32 40 254 233 21 24-14-3 20-16-5 4-2 7-3 1W
15 Calgary 81 40 27 14 94 0.58 30 35 220 237 -17 23-12-6 17-15-8 5-2 6-4 3W
16 New Jersey 82 42 33 7 91 0.555 36 40 242 222 20 19-17-5 23-16-2 2-2 5-5 1L
17 Montreal 82 40 31 11 91 0.555 30 38 245 265 -20 23-12-6 17-19-5 2-4 7-3 1W
18 Vancouver 82 38 30 14 90 0.549 28 35 236 253 -17 17-16-8 21-14-6 3-2 4-6 1L
19 Utah 82 38 31 13 89 0.543 30 37 241 251 -10 18-15-8 20-16-5 1-4 6-4 1L
20 Columbus 82 40 33 9 89 0.543 30 34 273 268 5 26-10-5 14-23-4 6-1 7-3 6W
21 Detroit 82 39 35 8 86 0.524 30 36 238 259 -21 22-16-3 17-19-5 3-0 6-4 1L
22 NY Rangers 82 39 36 7 85 0.518 35 38 256 255 1 19-19-3 20-17-4 1-0 5-5 2W
23 NY Islanders 82 35 35 12 82 0.5 28 33 224 260 -36 19-17-5 16-18-7 2-3 3-7 2L
24 Pittsburgh 82 34 36 12 80 0.488 24 33 243 293 -50 21-15-5 13-21-7 1-6 5-5 1W
25 Anaheim 82 35 37 10 80 0.488 24 31 221 263 -42 21-18-2 14-19-8 4-2 3-7 4L
26 Buffalo 82 36 39 7 79 0.482 29 32 269 289 -20 23-15-3 13-24-4 4-2 6-4 1W
27 Seattle 82 35 41 6 76 0.463 28 33 247 265 -18 18-18-5 17-23-1 2-3 5-5 1L
28 Boston 82 33 39 10 76 0.463 26 33 222 272 -50 20-14-7 13-25-3 0-1 3-7 1L
29 Philadelphia 82 33 39 10 76 0.463 21 27 238 286 -48 20-20-1 13-19-9 6-3 5-5 3L
30 Nashville 82 30 44 8 68 0.415 24 28 214 274 -60 20-18-3 10-26-5 2-0 3-7 1W
31 Chicago 82 25 46 11 61 0.372 20 23 226 296 -70 15-20-6 10-26-5 2-4 4-6 2W
32 San Jose 82 20 50 12 52 0.317 14 18 210 315 -105 12-27-2 8-23-10 2-5 0-10 11L

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