Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds

Find Out Why We’re Backing Senators

Toronto Maple Leafs (52-26-4, 25-13-3 Away) square off against Ottawa Senators (45-30-7, 27-11-3 at Home) in this Stanley Cup Playoffs first round matchup at Canadian Tire Centre. The Leafs lead the series 3-0.

We are having a bet on the Senators to beat the Maple Leafs. You can back our prediction at odds of 1.88 on the Moneyline and we think this offers good value.

Leafs Overtime Win in Previous H2H

Toronto Maple Leafs and Ottawa Senators faced off two nights ago and it was the Leafs who claimed a 3-2 (OT) victory at Canadian Tire Centre.

The Leafs had 20 shots on goal, with Auston Matthews, Matthew Knies and Simon Benoit scoring one goal each. The Sens recorded 20 shots on goal, with Claude Giroux and Brady Tkachuk each scoring one goal.

The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved the Sens winning six times.

Starting Goalies

Anthony Stolarz (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	15-8-3	2.4	.917	1
23/24	16-7-1	2.03	.925	2

Linus Ullmark (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	19-13-3	2.78	.908	3
23/24	22-10-5	2.57	.915	2

9 wins and 1 loss, averaging 3.5 goals from 24.8 shots on goal, with a 14.3% powerplay efficiency. The Leafs have been giving up 1.6 goals from 28.3 shots, averaging 4.2 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 85.7%.

Mitchell Marner is the top points scorer with 15 points, 4 goals and 11 assists, with Auston Matthews racking up 14 points, 5 goals and 9 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Anthony Stolarz have a 1.26 goal against average with a .952 save percentage, including three shutouts.

The Sens have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 overtime losses, averaging 3.4 goals from 29.6 shots on goal, with a 17.2% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.1 goals from 27.1 shots, averaging 4.3 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 81.4%.

The top points scorer is Drake Batherson with 11 points, 6 goals and 5 assists, while Thomas Chabot is next best after registering 11 points, 3 goals and 8 assists. Goalie Linus Ullmark have a 3.14 GAA with a .873 SV%, including one shutout.

Expert NHL Analysis

The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making NHL picks. Team news is also an important port of call, while the player and goalie stats we present always tell an interesting story.

Key Maple Leafs vs Senators stats:

• Senators have won 14 of their last 20 games at home.
• Senators have won 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• Senators have won 6 of their last 10 games against Maple Leafs.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Prediction

We’re heading to the Moneyline and our pick is for the home team to win this NHL encounter. They have a strong chance of landing a victory and the 1.88 makes plenty of appeal.

If you’re wanting bigger odds about Ottawa, then there are a number of alternative game lines and props including the 3-Way Moneyline, Puck Line and Winning Margin.

Senators Moneyline Probability

According to the sportsbooks, there’s a 53.2% likelihood of our pick landing a return. However, our cappers research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Our Pick

Senators Moneyline @ 1.88 Watch Live Bet Now

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Props

Top Pick: Drake Batherson Over 1.5 Shots 1.52

Drake Batherson (Senators) has fired Over 1.5 shots on goal in 5 straight home games. We think it’s achievable that he will cover the Shots on Goal line and there are odds of 1.52 available.

Latest Drake Batherson Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

2.88

First

11.50

Shots on Goal

Over 1.5

1.52

Under 1.5

2.45

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Maple Leafs 1 - 3 Senators

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Think the Game Could Go Either Way

There’s the opportunity to back Ottawa Senators at 1.78 on the Moneyline although Toronto Maple Leafs are priced up at betting odds of 2.06. The leading sportsbooks give the hosts a 56% chance of success.

The puck line is calculated to be 1.5, while total goals comes in at 5.5. NHL fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Totals wager. If you want to wager Over 5.5, there are odds of 1.88.

If you’re planning to place a National Hockey League bet, visit the betting sites and check out the wide range of game lines and team props. Find the lines and odds which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Maple Leafs

2.06

Senators

1.78

3-Way Moneyline

Maple Leafs

2.65

Tie

4.25

Senators

2.28

Puck Line

Maple Leafs +1.5

1.43

Senators -1.5

2.86

Total Goals

Under 5.5

1.94

Over 5.5

1.88

Auston Matthews Favorite to Be First Goalscorer

There is 2.25 available that Auston Matthews finds the net at anytime. If you’re interested in the favorite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure 8.50.

Player Goals

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

First

8.50

Anytime

2.25

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

First

11.00

Anytime

2.80

Brady Tkachuk (Senators)

First

11.00

Anytime

2.80

Drake Batherson (Senators)

First

11.50

Anytime

2.88

Tim Stützle (Senators)

First

12.00

Anytime

3.10

Mitchell Marner (Maple Leafs)

First

13.00

Anytime

3.40

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

First

13.00

Anytime

3.40

Dylan Cozens (Senators)

First

14.00

Anytime

3.45

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

First

14.00

Anytime

3.50

Claude Giroux (Senators)

First

17.00

Anytime

4.20

Ridly Greig (Senators)

First

17.00

Anytime

4.20

Shane Pinto (Senators)

First

18.00

Anytime

4.40

David Perron (Senators)

First

19.00

Anytime

4.70

Bobby McMann (Maple Leafs)

First

20.00

Anytime

4.90

Adam Gaudette (Senators)

First

20.00

Anytime

5.00

Jake Sanderson (Senators)

First

20.00

Anytime

5.00

Fabian Zetterlund (Senators)

First

21.00

Anytime

5.30

Max Domi (Maple Leafs)

First

23.00

Anytime

5.60

Max Pacioretty (Maple Leafs)

First

23.00

Anytime

5.60

Michael Amadio (Senators)

First

23.00

Anytime

5.75

Nicholas Robertson (Maple Leafs)

First

23.00

Anytime

6.00

Player Shots

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

Over 3.5

1.88

Under 3.5

1.88

Brady Tkachuk (Senators)

Over 3.5

1.62

Under 3.5

2.25

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

Over 2.5

1.74

Under 2.5

2.04

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

Over 2.5

2.15

Under 2.5

1.67

Jake Sanderson (Senators)

Over 2.5

2.30

Under 2.5

1.59

Drake Batherson (Senators)

Over 1.5

1.52

Under 1.5

2.45

Tim Stützle (Senators)

Over 1.5

1.54

Under 1.5

2.40

Mitchell Marner (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

1.64

Under 1.5

2.20

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

1.61

Under 1.5

2.25

Dylan Cozens (Senators)

Over 1.5

1.50

Under 1.5

2.50

Claude Giroux (Senators)

Over 1.5

1.85

Under 1.5

1.91

Bobby McMann (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

1.80

Under 1.5

1.97

Micro Betting

Micro betting provides an interesting rollercoaster ride for NHL bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Goal and Next Goalscorer. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

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Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

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Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

NHL Standings

Division Conference League

Metropolitan	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Washington	82	51	22	9	111	0.677	43	49	288	232	56	26-9-6	25-13-3	2-3	4-6	1L
2 Carolina	82	47	30	5	99	0.604	42	47	266	233	33	31-9-1	16-21-4	0-3	3-7	3L
3 New Jersey	82	42	33	7	91	0.555	36	40	242	222	20	19-17-5	23-16-2	2-2	5-5	1L
4 Columbus	82	40	33	9	89	0.543	30	34	273	268	5	26-10-5	14-23-4	6-1	7-3	6W
5 NY Rangers	82	39	36	7	85	0.518	35	38	256	255	1	19-19-3	20-17-4	1-0	5-5	2W
6 NY Islanders	82	35	35	12	82	0.5	28	33	224	260	-36	19-17-5	16-18-7	2-3	3-7	2L
7 Pittsburgh	82	34	36	12	80	0.488	24	33	243	293	-50	21-15-5	13-21-7	1-6	5-5	1W
8 Philadelphia	82	33	39	10	76	0.463	21	27	238	286	-48	20-20-1	13-19-9	6-3	5-5	3L

East Atlantic	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Toronto	82	52	26	4	108	0.659	41	51	268	231	37	27-13-1	25-13-3	1-2	9-1	5W
2 Tampa Bay	82	47	27	8	102	0.622	41	45	294	219	75	29-8-4	18-19-4	2-3	5-5	1L
3 Florida	82	47	31	4	98	0.598	37	41	252	223	29	27-12-2	20-19-2	6-0	3-7	2L
4 Ottawa	82	45	30	7	97	0.591	35	44	243	234	9	27-11-3	18-19-4	1-2	6-4	1W
5 Montreal	82	40	31	11	91	0.555	30	38	245	265	-20	23-12-6	17-19-5	2-4	7-3	1W
6 Detroit	82	39	35	8	86	0.524	30	36	238	259	-21	22-16-3	17-19-5	3-0	6-4	1L
7 Buffalo	82	36	39	7	79	0.482	29	32	269	289	-20	23-15-3	13-24-4	4-2	6-4	1W
8 Boston	82	33	39	10	76	0.463	26	33	222	272	-50	20-14-7	13-25-3	0-1	3-7	1L

East Central	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Winnipeg	82	56	22	4	116	0.707	43	54	277	191	86	30-7-4	26-15-0	2-1	7-3	1W
2 Dallas	82	50	26	6	106	0.646	41	48	277	224	53	28-10-3	22-16-3	2-2	3-7	7L
3 Colorado	82	49	29	4	102	0.622	40	45	277	234	43	26-12-3	23-17-1	4-3	5-5	1W
4 Minnesota	82	45	30	7	97	0.591	33	42	228	239	-11	22-17-2	23-13-5	3-3	5-5	2W
5 St Louis	82	44	30	8	96	0.585	32	40	254	233	21	24-14-3	20-16-5	4-2	7-3	1W
6 Utah	82	38	31	13	89	0.543	30	37	241	251	-10	18-15-8	20-16-5	1-4	6-4	1L
7 Nashville	82	30	44	8	68	0.415	24	28	214	274	-60	20-18-3	10-26-5	2-0	3-7	1W
8 Chicago	82	25	46	11	61	0.372	20	23	226	296	-70	15-20-6	10-26-5	2-4	4-6	2W

West Pacific	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Vegas	82	50	22	10	110	0.671	46	49	275	219	56	29-9-3	21-13-7	1-5	6-4	1W
2 LA Kings	81	48	24	9	105	0.648	43	47	249	201	48	31-5-4	17-19-5	1-3	8-2	4W
3 Edmonton	82	48	29	5	101	0.616	36	48	259	236	23	25-13-3	23-16-2	0-1	7-3	1W
4 Calgary	81	40	27	14	94	0.58	30	35	220	237	-17	23-12-6	17-15-8	5-2	6-4	3W
5 Vancouver	82	38	30	14	90	0.549	28	35	236	253	-17	17-16-8	21-14-6	3-2	4-6	1L
6 Anaheim	82	35	37	10	80	0.488	24	31	221	263	-42	21-18-2	14-19-8	4-2	3-7	4L
7 Seattle	82	35	41	6	76	0.463	28	33	247	265	-18	18-18-5	17-23-1	2-3	5-5	1L
8 San Jose	82	20	50	12	52	0.317	14	18	210	315	-105	12-27-2	8-23-10	2-5	0-10	11L

Eastern	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Washington	82	51	22	9	111	0.677	43	49	288	232	56	26-9-6	25-13-3	2-3	4-6	1L
2 Toronto	82	52	26	4	108	0.659	41	51	268	231	37	27-13-1	25-13-3	1-2	9-1	5W
3 Tampa Bay	82	47	27	8	102	0.622	41	45	294	219	75	29-8-4	18-19-4	2-3	5-5	1L
4 Carolina	82	47	30	5	99	0.604	42	47	266	233	33	31-9-1	16-21-4	0-3	3-7	3L
5 Florida	82	47	31	4	98	0.598	37	41	252	223	29	27-12-2	20-19-2	6-0	3-7	2L
6 Ottawa	82	45	30	7	97	0.591	35	44	243	234	9	27-11-3	18-19-4	1-2	6-4	1W
7 New Jersey	82	42	33	7	91	0.555	36	40	242	222	20	19-17-5	23-16-2	2-2	5-5	1L
8 Montreal	82	40	31	11	91	0.555	30	38	245	265	-20	23-12-6	17-19-5	2-4	7-3	1W
9 Columbus	82	40	33	9	89	0.543	30	34	273	268	5	26-10-5	14-23-4	6-1	7-3	6W
10 Detroit	82	39	35	8	86	0.524	30	36	238	259	-21	22-16-3	17-19-5	3-0	6-4	1L
11 NY Rangers	82	39	36	7	85	0.518	35	38	256	255	1	19-19-3	20-17-4	1-0	5-5	2W
12 NY Islanders	82	35	35	12	82	0.5	28	33	224	260	-36	19-17-5	16-18-7	2-3	3-7	2L
13 Pittsburgh	82	34	36	12	80	0.488	24	33	243	293	-50	21-15-5	13-21-7	1-6	5-5	1W
14 Buffalo	82	36	39	7	79	0.482	29	32	269	289	-20	23-15-3	13-24-4	4-2	6-4	1W
15 Boston	82	33	39	10	76	0.463	26	33	222	272	-50	20-14-7	13-25-3	0-1	3-7	1L
16 Philadelphia	82	33	39	10	76	0.463	21	27	238	286	-48	20-20-1	13-19-9	6-3	5-5	3L

Western	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Winnipeg	82	56	22	4	116	0.707	43	54	277	191	86	30-7-4	26-15-0	2-1	7-3	1W
2 Vegas	82	50	22	10	110	0.671	46	49	275	219	56	29-9-3	21-13-7	1-5	6-4	1W
3 Dallas	82	50	26	6	106	0.646	41	48	277	224	53	28-10-3	22-16-3	2-2	3-7	7L
4 LA Kings	81	48	24	9	105	0.648	43	47	249	201	48	31-5-4	17-19-5	1-3	8-2	4W
5 Colorado	82	49	29	4	102	0.622	40	45	277	234	43	26-12-3	23-17-1	4-3	5-5	1W
6 Edmonton	82	48	29	5	101	0.616	36	48	259	236	23	25-13-3	23-16-2	0-1	7-3	1W
7 Minnesota	82	45	30	7	97	0.591	33	42	228	239	-11	22-17-2	23-13-5	3-3	5-5	2W
8 St Louis	82	44	30	8	96	0.585	32	40	254	233	21	24-14-3	20-16-5	4-2	7-3	1W
9 Calgary	81	40	27	14	94	0.58	30	35	220	237	-17	23-12-6	17-15-8	5-2	6-4	3W
10 Vancouver	82	38	30	14	90	0.549	28	35	236	253	-17	17-16-8	21-14-6	3-2	4-6	1L
11 Utah	82	38	31	13	89	0.543	30	37	241	251	-10	18-15-8	20-16-5	1-4	6-4	1L
12 Anaheim	82	35	37	10	80	0.488	24	31	221	263	-42	21-18-2	14-19-8	4-2	3-7	4L
13 Seattle	82	35	41	6	76	0.463	28	33	247	265	-18	18-18-5	17-23-1	2-3	5-5	1L
14 Nashville	82	30	44	8	68	0.415	24	28	214	274	-60	20-18-3	10-26-5	2-0	3-7	1W
15 Chicago	82	25	46	11	61	0.372	20	23	226	296	-70	15-20-6	10-26-5	2-4	4-6	2W
16 San Jose	82	20	50	12	52	0.317	14	18	210	315	-105	12-27-2	8-23-10	2-5	0-10	11L

	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Winnipeg	82	56	22	4	116	0.707	43	54	277	191	86	30-7-4	26-15-0	2-1	7-3	1W
2 Washington	82	51	22	9	111	0.677	43	49	288	232	56	26-9-6	25-13-3	2-3	4-6	1L
3 Vegas	82	50	22	10	110	0.671	46	49	275	219	56	29-9-3	21-13-7	1-5	6-4	1W
4 Toronto	82	52	26	4	108	0.659	41	51	268	231	37	27-13-1	25-13-3	1-2	9-1	5W
5 Dallas	82	50	26	6	106	0.646	41	48	277	224	53	28-10-3	22-16-3	2-2	3-7	7L
6 LA Kings	81	48	24	9	105	0.648	43	47	249	201	48	31-5-4	17-19-5	1-3	8-2	4W
7 Tampa Bay	82	47	27	8	102	0.622	41	45	294	219	75	29-8-4	18-19-4	2-3	5-5	1L
8 Colorado	82	49	29	4	102	0.622	40	45	277	234	43	26-12-3	23-17-1	4-3	5-5	1W
9 Edmonton	82	48	29	5	101	0.616	36	48	259	236	23	25-13-3	23-16-2	0-1	7-3	1W
10 Carolina	82	47	30	5	99	0.604	42	47	266	233	33	31-9-1	16-21-4	0-3	3-7	3L
11 Florida	82	47	31	4	98	0.598	37	41	252	223	29	27-12-2	20-19-2	6-0	3-7	2L
12 Ottawa	82	45	30	7	97	0.591	35	44	243	234	9	27-11-3	18-19-4	1-2	6-4	1W
13 Minnesota	82	45	30	7	97	0.591	33	42	228	239	-11	22-17-2	23-13-5	3-3	5-5	2W
14 St Louis	82	44	30	8	96	0.585	32	40	254	233	21	24-14-3	20-16-5	4-2	7-3	1W
15 Calgary	81	40	27	14	94	0.58	30	35	220	237	-17	23-12-6	17-15-8	5-2	6-4	3W
16 New Jersey	82	42	33	7	91	0.555	36	40	242	222	20	19-17-5	23-16-2	2-2	5-5	1L
17 Montreal	82	40	31	11	91	0.555	30	38	245	265	-20	23-12-6	17-19-5	2-4	7-3	1W
18 Vancouver	82	38	30	14	90	0.549	28	35	236	253	-17	17-16-8	21-14-6	3-2	4-6	1L
19 Utah	82	38	31	13	89	0.543	30	37	241	251	-10	18-15-8	20-16-5	1-4	6-4	1L
20 Columbus	82	40	33	9	89	0.543	30	34	273	268	5	26-10-5	14-23-4	6-1	7-3	6W
21 Detroit	82	39	35	8	86	0.524	30	36	238	259	-21	22-16-3	17-19-5	3-0	6-4	1L
22 NY Rangers	82	39	36	7	85	0.518	35	38	256	255	1	19-19-3	20-17-4	1-0	5-5	2W
23 NY Islanders	82	35	35	12	82	0.5	28	33	224	260	-36	19-17-5	16-18-7	2-3	3-7	2L
24 Pittsburgh	82	34	36	12	80	0.488	24	33	243	293	-50	21-15-5	13-21-7	1-6	5-5	1W
25 Anaheim	82	35	37	10	80	0.488	24	31	221	263	-42	21-18-2	14-19-8	4-2	3-7	4L
26 Buffalo	82	36	39	7	79	0.482	29	32	269	289	-20	23-15-3	13-24-4	4-2	6-4	1W
27 Seattle	82	35	41	6	76	0.463	28	33	247	265	-18	18-18-5	17-23-1	2-3	5-5	1L
28 Boston	82	33	39	10	76	0.463	26	33	222	272	-50	20-14-7	13-25-3	0-1	3-7	1L
29 Philadelphia	82	33	39	10	76	0.463	21	27	238	286	-48	20-20-1	13-19-9	6-3	5-5	3L
30 Nashville	82	30	44	8	68	0.415	24	28	214	274	-60	20-18-3	10-26-5	2-0	3-7	1W
31 Chicago	82	25	46	11	61	0.372	20	23	226	296	-70	15-20-6	10-26-5	2-4	4-6	2W
32 San Jose	82	20	50	12	52	0.317	14	18	210	315	-105	12-27-2	8-23-10	2-5	0-10	11L

NHL Predictions

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