Bills vs Chiefs Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds

By Paul Thomas, Senior NFL Analyst | Published: 3 months ago | 4 min read

Buffalo Bills

American Football NFL GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium Mon 27 Jan 06:30

Kansas City Chiefs

  1. Prediction
  2. Bet Builder
  3. Odds
  4. Player Props
  5. Stats
  6. Team News
  7. Lineups
  8. Injuries
  9. Standings

Why We’re Expecting Bills to Win

We are eager to back the Bills to beat the Chiefs and that leads us to the Moneyline for our prediction. It’s difficult to turn down the 2.10 that they claim the win.

Bills Beat Chiefs in Pair’s Last Matchup

Buffalo Bills claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 27-25 triumph against Baltimore Ravens at Highmark Stadium made it back-to-back wins. The Bills had a gain of 147 rushing and 126 passing yards, totalling 273 yards. They scored 3 touchdowns. All 3 were rushing TD’s.

Kansas City Chiefs last game was a 23-14 victory over Houston Texans at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. That means it’s now been nine home wins on the spin. The Chiefs gained 50 rushing and 162 passing yards, making 212 yards in total. They scored 2 touchdowns. 1 rushing and 1 passing TD.

The last matchup between the Bills and the Chiefs saw the former win. It was a 30-21 scoreline at Highmark Stadium. Both teams have four wins on the board when we look at the 8-game H2H record.

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen
Patrick Mahomes

Expert NFL Analysis

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the form guide are important duties ahead of making NFL picks. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can be effective.

Key Bills vs Chiefs stats:

  • Bills have won 8 of their last 10 games.
  • Bills have won 4 of their last 5 games.
  • Bills have won 2 consecutive games.

Bills vs Chiefs Prediction

We strongly fancy the chances of the Bills, with odds of 2.10 available on our pick. Place a bet that there will be a road win for this AFC Championship Game.

Fancy the Bills to win but want more juice in the odds? Why not take a look at the spread and consider them to cover one of the available lines.

Bills Moneyline Probability

The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 47.6% prospect of winning. However, our cappers think that the probability sits between 50-55% taking all factors into consideration. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

Our Pick

Bills Moneyline @ 2.10 Bet Now Bet365 logo
Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.
Published 12:26, 25 January 2025

Bills vs Chiefs Bet Builder Tips

Moneyline Bills
Anytime Touchdown Josh Allen
Receiving Yards Travis Kelce Under 67.5

We’ve lined up a same game parlay involving Bills to win, Josh Allen to score a touchdown and Travis Kelce (Chiefs) to have Under 67.5 receiving yards.

Should you want to back different outcomes for the same football game, then a bet builder will suit your needs. The betting sites create this personalised wagering tool where you can hand-pick different outcomes and combine the odds together.

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Bills Bills logo 31 - 27 Chiefs logo Chiefs

We’ll roll the dice and go for the Bills to enjoy a 31-27 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the massive odds.

Bills vs Chiefs Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Expecting Close Encounter

You can choose Kansas City Chiefs at 1.85 or alternatively Buffalo Bills who have betting odds of 2.00. According to the top sportsbooks, the home team have an implied probability of 54%.

The current spread is 1.5 and total points is 49.5. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular NFL bets. If you’re going for Under 49.5, this outcome can be backed at 1.89.

You can find hundreds of team props and game lines for every National Football League clash, with the betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Player Props

Prop bets don’t involve betting on a franchise to win and instead might look at a player’s individual performance. For example, the number of Passing Yards a quarterback might have or the number of Touchdowns a player might score.

Josh Allen Favorite to Be First Touchdown Scorer

Josh Allen is available at 1.69 when it comes to Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The favorite is now priced at odds of 6.00 to score the first TD.

Touchdown

Receiving Yards

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)
Over 67.5
1.91
Under 67.5
1.91
Bet365 Logo
Khalil Shakir (Bills)
Over 58.5
1.91
Under 58.5
1.91
Bet365 Logo
Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)
Over 51.5
1.91
Under 51.5
1.91
Bet365 Logo
Marquise Brown (Chiefs)
Over 41.5
1.91
Under 41.5
1.91
Bet365 Logo

Rushing Yards

Passing Yards

Best Betting Offers

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Buffalo Bills logo Buffalo Bills Stats

Kansas City Chiefs logo Kansas City Chiefs Stats

Moneyline

  • 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

  • 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

Point Spread

Total Points

Total Points

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games
Last 10 Games on the Road
Last 10 Home Games

Team News

Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs Lineups

Kansas City Chiefs

Manager:
Andy Reid
2
Joshua Williams
7
Harrison Butker
8
DeAndre Hopkins
11
Carson Wentz
14
Matt Araiza
21
Jaden Hicks
29
Kareem Hunt
30
Christian Roland-Wallace
34
Samaje Perine
35
Jaylen Watson
41
James Winchester
42
Carson Steele
44
Cam Jones
50
Swayze Bozeman
54
Leo Chenal
60
Hunter Nourzad
70
D.J. Humphries
76
Kingsley Suamataia
81
Nikko Remigio
83
Noah Gray
84
Justin Watson
88
Peyton Hendershot
90
Charles Omenihu
91
Derrick Nnadi
97
Felix Anudike-Uzomah
98
Tershawn Wharton

Buffalo Bills

Manager:
Sean McDermott
1
Curtis Samuel
2
Tyler Bass
5
Kaiir Elam
8
Sam Martin
11
Mitch Trubisky
18
Amari Cooper
22
Ray Davis
26
Ty Johnson
27
Kareem Jackson
39
Cameron Lewis
40
Von Miller
41
Reggie Gilliam
42
Dorian Williams
44
Joe Andreessen
46
Ja'Marcus Ingram
48
Edefuan Ulofoshio
56
Javon Solomon
68
Tylan Grable
69
Reid Ferguson
70
Alec Anderson
77
Will Clapp
85
Quintin Morris
86
Dalton Kincaid
94
Dawuane Smoot
97
Jordan Phillips
98
Austin Johnson

Kansas City Chiefs Substitutes

  • 1 Xavier Worthy
  • 5 Marquise Brown
  • 6 Bryan Cook
  • 9 JuJu Smith-Schuster
  • 10 Isaih Pacheco
  • 13 Nazeeh Johnson
  • 15 Patrick Mahomes
  • 20 Justin Reid
  • 22 Trent McDuffie
  • 23 Drue Tranquill
  • 27 Chamarri Conner
  • 32 Nick Bolton
  • 51 Mike Danna
  • 52 Creed Humphrey
  • 56 George Karlaftis
  • 62 Joe Thuney
  • 65 Trey Smith
  • 66 Mike Caliendo
  • 69 Mike Pennel
  • 74 Jawaan Taylor
  • 87 Travis Kelce
  • 95 Chris Jones

Buffalo Bills Substitutes

  • 0 Keon Coleman
  • 3 Damar Hamlin
  • 4 James Cook
  • 7 Taron Johnson
  • 10 Khalil Shakir
  • 13 Mack Hollins
  • 17 Josh Allen
  • 24 Cole Bishop
  • 31 Rasul Douglas
  • 43 Terrel Bernard
  • 47 Christian Benford
  • 50 Gregory Rousseau
  • 57 A.J. Epenesa
  • 58 Matt Milano
  • 64 O'Cyrus Torrence
  • 66 Connor McGovern
  • 73 Dion Dawkins
  • 76 David Edwards
  • 79 Spencer Brown
  • 88 Dawson Knox
  • 91 Ed Oliver
  • 92 DaQuan Jones

Buffalo Bills Injuries

Type
Name
Info
Christian Benford
Concussion
Shane Buechele
Neck
Travis Clayton
Shoulder
Tommy Doyle
Knee
Taylor Rapp
Hip
Brandon Shell
Undisclosed
Baylon Spector
Calf

Kansas City Chiefs Injuries

Type
Name
Info
Jack Cochrane
Ankle
Jody Fortson
Knee - ACL
Mecole Hardman
Knee
Jaaron Hayek
Shoulder
McKade Mettauer
Knee - MCL
Skyy Moore
Abdomen
Rashee Rice
Knee
Spencer Shrader
Hamstring
BJ Thompson
Chest
Marlon Tuipulotu
Undisclosed
Jared Wiley
Knee - ACL

Previous Buffalo Bills Lineups

20 Jan NFL Playoffs
Ravens 25-27 Bills
13 Jan NFL Playoffs
Broncos 7-31 Bills
06 Jan NFL
Bills 16-23 Patriots
30 Dec NFL
Jets 14-40 Bills
23 Dec NFL
Patriots 21-24 Bills
16 Dec NFL
Bills 48-42 Lions
09 Dec NFL
Bills 42-44 Rams
02 Dec NFL
49ers 10-35 Bills
18 Nov NFL
Chiefs 21-30 Bills
11 Nov NFL
Bills 30-20 Colts

Previous Kansas City Chiefs Lineups

19 Jan NFL Playoffs
Texans 14-23 Chiefs
06 Jan NFL
Chiefs 0-38 Broncos
26 Dec NFL
Chiefs 29-10 Steelers
22 Dec NFL
Texans 19-27 Chiefs
16 Dec NFL
Chiefs 21-7 Browns
09 Dec NFL
Chargers 17-19 Chiefs
30 Nov NFL
Raiders 17-19 Chiefs
25 Nov NFL
Chiefs 30-27 Panthers
18 Nov NFL
Chiefs 21-30 Bills
11 Nov NFL
Broncos 14-16 Chiefs

NFL Standings Select Season

AFC East W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Bills 13 4 0 0.765 525 368 157 8-0-0 5-4-0 5-1-0 9-3-0 3-2-0 1L
Dolphins 8 9 0 0.471 345 364 -19 5-3-0 3-6-0 3-3-0 6-6-0 3-2-0 1L
Jets 5 12 0 0.294 338 404 -66 3-5-0 2-7-0 2-4-0 5-7-0 2-3-0 1W
Patriots 4 13 0 0.235 289 417 -128 2-6-0 2-7-0 2-4-0 3-9-0 1-4-0 1W
AFC North W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Ravens 12 5 0 0.706 518 361 157 6-2-0 6-3-0 4-2-0 8-4-0 4-1-0 4W
Steelers 10 7 0 0.588 380 347 33 5-3-0 5-4-0 3-3-0 7-5-0 1-4-0 4L
Bengals 9 8 0 0.529 472 434 38 3-5-0 6-3-0 3-3-0 6-6-0 5-0-0 5W
Browns 3 14 0 0.176 258 435 -177 2-6-0 1-8-0 2-4-0 3-9-0 0-5-0 6L
AFC South W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Texans 10 7 0 0.588 372 372 0 5-3-0 5-4-0 5-1-0 8-4-0 3-2-0 1W
Colts 8 9 0 0.471 377 427 -50 5-3-0 3-6-0 3-3-0 7-5-0 3-2-0 1W
Jaguars 4 13 0 0.235 320 435 -115 3-5-0 1-8-0 3-3-0 4-8-0 2-3-0 1L
Titans 3 14 0 0.176 311 460 -149 1-7-0 2-7-0 1-5-0 3-9-0 0-5-0 6L
AFC West W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Chiefs 15 2 0 0.882 385 326 59 8-0-0 7-2-0 5-1-0 10-2-0 4-1-0 1L
Chargers 11 6 0 0.647 402 301 101 5-3-0 6-3-0 4-2-0 8-4-0 3-2-0 3W
Broncos 10 7 0 0.588 425 311 114 6-2-0 4-5-0 3-3-0 6-6-0 3-2-0 1W
Raiders 4 13 0 0.235 309 434 -125 2-6-0 2-7-0 0-6-0 3-9-0 2-3-0 1L
NFC East W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Eagles 14 3 0 0.824 463 303 160 8-1-0 6-2-0 5-1-0 9-3-0 4-1-0 2W
Commanders 12 5 0 0.706 485 391 94 7-2-0 5-3-0 4-2-0 9-3-0 5-0-0 5W
Cowboys 7 10 0 0.412 350 468 -118 2-7-0 5-3-0 3-3-0 5-7-0 2-3-0 2L
Giants 3 14 0 0.176 273 415 -142 1-8-0 2-6-0 0-6-0 1-11-0 1-4-0 1L
NFC North W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Lions 15 2 0 0.882 564 342 222 7-2-0 8-0-0 6-0-0 11-1-0 4-1-0 3W
Vikings 14 3 0 0.824 432 332 100 8-1-0 6-2-0 4-2-0 9-3-0 4-1-0 1L
Packers 11 6 0 0.647 460 338 122 6-3-0 5-3-0 1-5-0 6-6-0 2-3-0 2L
Bears 5 12 0 0.294 310 370 -60 4-5-0 1-7-0 1-5-0 3-9-0 1-4-0 1W
NFC South W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Buccaneers 10 7 0 0.588 502 385 117 5-4-0 5-3-0 4-2-0 8-4-0 4-1-0 2W
Falcons 8 9 0 0.471 389 423 -34 4-5-0 4-4-0 4-2-0 7-5-0 2-3-0 2L
Saints 5 12 0 0.294 338 398 -60 3-6-0 2-6-0 2-4-0 4-8-0 1-4-0 4L
Panthers 5 12 0 0.294 341 534 -193 3-6-0 2-6-0 2-4-0 4-8-0 2-3-0 1W
NFC West W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Rams 10 7 0 0.588 367 386 -19 5-4-0 5-3-0 4-2-0 6-6-0 4-1-0 1L
Seahawks 10 7 0 0.588 375 368 7 3-6-0 7-1-0 4-2-0 6-6-0 3-2-0 2W
Cardinals 8 9 0 0.471 400 379 21 6-3-0 2-6-0 3-3-0 4-8-0 2-3-0 1W
49ers 6 11 0 0.353 389 436 -47 4-5-0 2-6-0 1-5-0 4-8-0 1-4-0 4L
AFC Conference W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Chiefs 15 2 0 0.882 385 326 59 8-0-0 7-2-0 5-1-0 10-2-0 4-1-0 1L
Bills 13 4 0 0.765 525 368 157 8-0-0 5-4-0 5-1-0 9-3-0 3-2-0 1L
Ravens 12 5 0 0.706 518 361 157 6-2-0 6-3-0 4-2-0 8-4-0 4-1-0 4W
Texans 10 7 0 0.588 372 372 0 5-3-0 5-4-0 5-1-0 8-4-0 3-2-0 1W
Chargers 11 6 0 0.647 402 301 101 5-3-0 6-3-0 4-2-0 8-4-0 3-2-0 3W
Steelers 10 7 0 0.588 380 347 33 5-3-0 5-4-0 3-3-0 7-5-0 1-4-0 4L
Broncos 10 7 0 0.588 425 311 114 6-2-0 4-5-0 3-3-0 6-6-0 3-2-0 1W
Bengals 9 8 0 0.529 472 434 38 3-5-0 6-3-0 3-3-0 6-6-0 5-0-0 5W
Colts 8 9 0 0.471 377 427 -50 5-3-0 3-6-0 3-3-0 7-5-0 3-2-0 1W
Dolphins 8 9 0 0.471 345 364 -19 5-3-0 3-6-0 3-3-0 6-6-0 3-2-0 1L
Jets 5 12 0 0.294 338 404 -66 3-5-0 2-7-0 2-4-0 5-7-0 2-3-0 1W
Raiders 4 13 0 0.235 309 434 -125 2-6-0 2-7-0 0-6-0 3-9-0 2-3-0 1L
Jaguars 4 13 0 0.235 320 435 -115 3-5-0 1-8-0 3-3-0 4-8-0 2-3-0 1L
Titans 3 14 0 0.176 311 460 -149 1-7-0 2-7-0 1-5-0 3-9-0 0-5-0 6L
Patriots 4 13 0 0.235 289 417 -128 2-6-0 2-7-0 2-4-0 3-9-0 1-4-0 1W
Browns 3 14 0 0.176 258 435 -177 2-6-0 1-8-0 2-4-0 3-9-0 0-5-0 6L
NFC Conference W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Lions 15 2 0 0.882 564 342 222 7-2-0 8-0-0 6-0-0 11-1-0 4-1-0 3W
Eagles 14 3 0 0.824 463 303 160 8-1-0 6-2-0 5-1-0 9-3-0 4-1-0 2W
Rams 10 7 0 0.588 367 386 -19 5-4-0 5-3-0 4-2-0 6-6-0 4-1-0 1L
Buccaneers 10 7 0 0.588 502 385 117 5-4-0 5-3-0 4-2-0 8-4-0 4-1-0 2W
Vikings 14 3 0 0.824 432 332 100 8-1-0 6-2-0 4-2-0 9-3-0 4-1-0 1L
Commanders 12 5 0 0.706 485 391 94 7-2-0 5-3-0 4-2-0 9-3-0 5-0-0 5W
Packers 11 6 0 0.647 460 338 122 6-3-0 5-3-0 1-5-0 6-6-0 2-3-0 2L
Seahawks 10 7 0 0.588 375 368 7 3-6-0 7-1-0 4-2-0 6-6-0 3-2-0 2W
Falcons 8 9 0 0.471 389 423 -34 4-5-0 4-4-0 4-2-0 7-5-0 2-3-0 2L
Cowboys 7 10 0 0.412 350 468 -118 2-7-0 5-3-0 3-3-0 5-7-0 2-3-0 2L
Cardinals 8 9 0 0.471 400 379 21 6-3-0 2-6-0 3-3-0 4-8-0 2-3-0 1W
49ers 6 11 0 0.353 389 436 -47 4-5-0 2-6-0 1-5-0 4-8-0 1-4-0 4L
Saints 5 12 0 0.294 338 398 -60 3-6-0 2-6-0 2-4-0 4-8-0 1-4-0 4L
Bears 5 12 0 0.294 310 370 -60 4-5-0 1-7-0 1-5-0 3-9-0 1-4-0 1W
Panthers 5 12 0 0.294 341 534 -193 3-6-0 2-6-0 2-4-0 4-8-0 2-3-0 1W
Giants 3 14 0 0.176 273 415 -142 1-8-0 2-6-0 0-6-0 1-11-0 1-4-0 1L
NFL Team W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Lions 15 2 0 0.882 564 342 222 7-2-0 8-0-0 6-0-0 11-1-0 4-1-0 3W
Chiefs 15 2 0 0.882 385 326 59 8-0-0 7-2-0 5-1-0 10-2-0 4-1-0 1L
Vikings 14 3 0 0.824 432 332 100 8-1-0 6-2-0 4-2-0 9-3-0 4-1-0 1L
Eagles 14 3 0 0.824 463 303 160 8-1-0 6-2-0 5-1-0 9-3-0 4-1-0 2W
Bills 13 4 0 0.765 525 368 157 8-0-0 5-4-0 5-1-0 9-3-0 3-2-0 1L
Ravens 12 5 0 0.706 518 361 157 6-2-0 6-3-0 4-2-0 8-4-0 4-1-0 4W
Commanders 12 5 0 0.706 485 391 94 7-2-0 5-3-0 4-2-0 9-3-0 5-0-0 5W
Packers 11 6 0 0.647 460 338 122 6-3-0 5-3-0 1-5-0 6-6-0 2-3-0 2L
Chargers 11 6 0 0.647 402 301 101 5-3-0 6-3-0 4-2-0 8-4-0 3-2-0 3W
Broncos 10 7 0 0.588 425 311 114 6-2-0 4-5-0 3-3-0 6-6-0 3-2-0 1W
Texans 10 7 0 0.588 372 372 0 5-3-0 5-4-0 5-1-0 8-4-0 3-2-0 1W
Rams 10 7 0 0.588 367 386 -19 5-4-0 5-3-0 4-2-0 6-6-0 4-1-0 1L
Steelers 10 7 0 0.588 380 347 33 5-3-0 5-4-0 3-3-0 7-5-0 1-4-0 4L
Seahawks 10 7 0 0.588 375 368 7 3-6-0 7-1-0 4-2-0 6-6-0 3-2-0 2W
Buccaneers 10 7 0 0.588 502 385 117 5-4-0 5-3-0 4-2-0 8-4-0 4-1-0 2W
Bengals 9 8 0 0.529 472 434 38 3-5-0 6-3-0 3-3-0 6-6-0 5-0-0 5W
Cardinals 8 9 0 0.471 400 379 21 6-3-0 2-6-0 3-3-0 4-8-0 2-3-0 1W
Falcons 8 9 0 0.471 389 423 -34 4-5-0 4-4-0 4-2-0 7-5-0 2-3-0 2L
Colts 8 9 0 0.471 377 427 -50 5-3-0 3-6-0 3-3-0 7-5-0 3-2-0 1W
Dolphins 8 9 0 0.471 345 364 -19 5-3-0 3-6-0 3-3-0 6-6-0 3-2-0 1L
Cowboys 7 10 0 0.412 350 468 -118 2-7-0 5-3-0 3-3-0 5-7-0 2-3-0 2L
49ers 6 11 0 0.353 389 436 -47 4-5-0 2-6-0 1-5-0 4-8-0 1-4-0 4L
Panthers 5 12 0 0.294 341 534 -193 3-6-0 2-6-0 2-4-0 4-8-0 2-3-0 1W
Bears 5 12 0 0.294 310 370 -60 4-5-0 1-7-0 1-5-0 3-9-0 1-4-0 1W
Saints 5 12 0 0.294 338 398 -60 3-6-0 2-6-0 2-4-0 4-8-0 1-4-0 4L
Jets 5 12 0 0.294 338 404 -66 3-5-0 2-7-0 2-4-0 5-7-0 2-3-0 1W
Jaguars 4 13 0 0.235 320 435 -115 3-5-0 1-8-0 3-3-0 4-8-0 2-3-0 1L
Raiders 4 13 0 0.235 309 434 -125 2-6-0 2-7-0 0-6-0 3-9-0 2-3-0 1L
Patriots 4 13 0 0.235 289 417 -128 2-6-0 2-7-0 2-4-0 3-9-0 1-4-0 1W
Browns 3 14 0 0.176 258 435 -177 2-6-0 1-8-0 2-4-0 3-9-0 0-5-0 6L
Giants 3 14 0 0.176 273 415 -142 1-8-0 2-6-0 0-6-0 1-11-0 1-4-0 1L
Titans 3 14 0 0.176 311 460 -149 1-7-0 2-7-0 1-5-0 3-9-0 0-5-0 6L

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